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PayPal USD

PayPal USD

PYUSD·1
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PayPal USD (PYUSD) - Complete Fundamental Analysis

By CoinStats AI

What is PayPal USD (PYUSD) crypto?

PayPal USD (PYUSD) Cryptocurrency: Comprehensive Overview

Core Definition and Technology

PayPal USD (PYUSD) is a stablecoin that is redeemable 1:1 for US dollars. PYUSD is a type of cryptocurrency called a stablecoin and is fully backed by US dollar deposits, US treasuries, and similar cash equivalents. PayPal USD is issued by Paxos Trust Company, LLC (Paxos).

Blockchain Architecture

PayPal USD is issued by Paxos on the Ethereum, Solana and Arbitrum blockchains. PYUSD was launched as a standard ERC-20 token on the Ethereum blockchain. Through LayerZero's integration announced September 18, 2025, PYUSD expanded to nine additional blockchains: Abstract, Aptos, Avalanche, Ink, Sei, Stable, Tron, plus upgraded versions on Berachain and Flow.

The ERC-20 standard provides several benefits that make it an attractive option for stablecoins. One of the key benefits of the ERC-20 standard is its interoperability with various platforms and exchanges. This feature simplifies the process of incorporating PYUSD into smart contracts and facilitates easy acceptance of PYUSD payments.

Primary Use Cases and Real-World Applications

PYUSD paves the way for payment innovation facilitating fast, cross-border money movement to friends & family, international payments, direct flows to developers and creators, and fostering continued expansion into digital assets.

You can send it to other people on PayPal and Venmo without fees. PYUSD supports peer-to-peer payments, allowing for fast, fee-free transfers between PayPal users in the U.S. It can be used for everyday purchases at merchants that accept PayPal, and it facilitates seamless conversion between cryptocurrencies within the PayPal ecosystem.

PYUSD on Stellar can be used for fast (~5 seconds), affordable ($0.001) cross-border payments, giving expanded access to essential financial services to underserved locations across the globe.

PYUSD is also integrated with PayPal's other services, such as Venmo, PayPal's peer-to-peer payment app, and PayPal's business payment solutions.

Founding Team, Key Developers, and Project History

PayPal USD was launched on August 7, 2023, as part of PayPal's initiative to expand its role in the digital currency space. PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) announced the launch of a U.S. dollar-denominated stablecoin, PayPal USD (PYUSD).

PayPal USD, a stablecoin initiative, is not directly linked to the founders of PayPal. Instead, it represents a collaborative effort between PayPal and Paxos to introduce a digital currency that maintains a stable value over time.

PYUSD's integration in the PayPal and Venmo apps introduced it to over 100 million US users.

Tokenomics: Supply, Distribution, and Mechanics

Supply Structure

The tokenomics of PayPal USD (PYUSD) is structured around a centralized supply mechanism, where the total supply is controlled and issued by PayPal to ensure stability and regulatory compliance. Unlike decentralized cryptocurrencies, PYUSD does not have a mining process; instead, new tokens are issued based on demand.

PYUSD's value is directly tied to the US Dollar, which means that the supply of PYUSD tokens is adjusted based on demand. If more people wish to purchase PYUSD, the issuer will create new tokens and back them with an equivalent amount of US Dollars. Conversely, if people redeem their PYUSD for USD, the tokens will be removed from circulation.

Current Circulating Supply

The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #27, with a live market cap of $3,590,492,901 USD. It has a circulating supply of 3,592,666,416 PYUSD coins.

Inflation/Deflation Mechanics

When users deposit U.S. dollars with Paxos, new PYUSD tokens are minted on the blockchain. These tokens can be transferred on supported networks and redeemed 1:1 for USD at any time. Supply Control (2025) – Rate-limited minting/burning via dedicated contract.

Consensus Mechanism and Network Security Model

Consensus Approach

Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies, PayPal USD operates under a centralized model, with PayPal and Paxos Trust Company overseeing its issuance and management. This centralized approach ensures regulatory compliance and maintains the stability of the token's value.

Reserve Backing and Security

Paxos' issuance of the stablecoin PYUSD – and its reserves – are subject to strict regulatory oversight by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). Reserves are held 100% in US dollar deposits, US treasuries and cash equivalents – meaning that customer funds are available for 1:1 redemption with Paxos.

Paxos publishes monthly reserve reports and attestations, independently verified by WithumSmith+Brown, PC, an accounting firm. These reports adhere to the attestation standards of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA), providing an additional layer of trust and assurance to users regarding the stablecoin's backing and stability.

In the event of Paxos' insolvency, customer assets would not be used to satisfy the debts of Paxos because client assets are held in segregated, bankruptcy remote accounts.

Key Partnerships and Ecosystem Integrations

Major Partnerships

PayPal and Mastercard are working together to drive future network settlement capabilities with PYUSD.

Coinbase and PayPal will not only enable simplified customer access to stablecoins, but also make it easier than ever for millions of PayPal customers to bring their finances onchain. Coinbase aims to leverage its leading infrastructure platform to expand support for stablecoins to PayPal's largest merchant partners, promoting broader adoption of faster and more efficient financial services. Coinbase will also collaborate with PayPal to explore new use cases onchain utilizing PYUSD.

PayPal announced plans to make the PayPal USD (PYUSD) stablecoin available on the Stellar network pending regulatory approval by the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS).

DeFi Integration

PYUSD has maintained active integration with major DeFi protocols including Aave and Curve for lending, borrowing, and yield generation. The most notable growth driver was strategic partnerships with Solana-based lending platforms like Kamino.

Platform Integration

PayPal USD is also available on Venmo! This means that PYUSD is available for purchase and sale on Venmo and can be sent to compatible external wallets and friends and family on Venmo and PayPal, and vice versa.

Competitive Advantages and Unique Value Proposition

Brand Trust and Distribution

PYUSD is significant because it is the first stablecoin issued by a major global payments company. This gives it immediate mainstream visibility and direct integration within PayPal's massive ecosystem.

The strategic purpose is leveraging PayPal and Venmo ecosystem integration to drive adoption from mainstream users, acting as a frictionless on-ramp for 400 million users to convert fiat into on-chain PYUSD.

Regulatory Compliance

Unlike other stablecoins, such as USDT and USDC, PYUSD is subject to regulatory oversight by the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS).

Reserve Quality

Unlike many other stablecoins, PYUSD is backed by USD deposits and other cash equivalents, which offer more stability and reliable off-ramps than other common backing methods for stablecoins like commercial paper or commodities.

Multi-Chain Accessibility

PYUSD's September 2025 developments signal an aggressive expansion strategy focused on mainstream payments and multi-chain accessibility. The combination of peer-to-peer crypto functionality, presence across 13 blockchains, and strategic partnerships creates multiple pathways for adoption while maintaining regulatory compliance.

Current Development Activity and Roadmap Highlights

Recent Expansions

PYUSD's expansion to Arbitrum represents a milestone in the stablecoin's evolution, bringing Layer 2 efficiency to payment applications for the first time and providing: Near Instant Settlement at Scale: Transactions on Arbitrum process in seconds, enabling near real-time payment experiences that maintain the transparency and programmability of blockchain technology. Micropayment Viability: With transaction costs typically under one cent, PYUSD unlocks potential use cases including content micropayments, usage-based billing, and instant rewards distribution that would be economically unfeasible on other networks.

2025-2026 Roadmap

PYUSD's 2026 roadmap prioritizes institutional DeFi integration and retail accessibility, aiming to transform it from a payment stablecoin to a yield-bearing asset. PYUSD's roadmap focuses on expanding utility and integration across ecosystems. USDAI Incentive Launch (January 2026) – $1B program offering 4.5% yield on PYUSD deposits for AI infrastructure loans. Spark Institutional Lending (2026) – Fixed-rate loans for large borrowers using PYUSD as collateral. Spark Mobile App (2026) – Retail access to Spark's yield and lending services with PYUSD.

Technical Enhancements

PYUSD integrated EIP-3009 and EIP-2612 standards, letting users approve transfers via signatures instead of on-chain gas payments. This allows delegated spending (e.g., recurring subscriptions) and batch transfers, reducing Ethereum gas costs by ~30% for frequent users.

Merchant Adoption

PayPal is simplifying cross-border commerce for merchants by connecting an unmatched combination of cryptocurrencies, digital wallets, and merchants worldwide, while simultaneously reducing transaction fees by up to 90%. With a transaction rate of 0.99%, Pay with Crypto decreases the cost of transactions by up to 90% when compared to international credit card processing.


Sources:

  1. https://www.paypal.com/us/digital-wallet/manage-money/crypto/pyusd
  2. https://www.paypal.com/us/cshelp/article/what-is-paypal-usd-pyusd-help1005
  3. https://www.paxos.com/pyusd
  4. https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/paypal-usd/
  5. https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/paypal-usd
  6. https://newsroom.paypal-corp.com/2023-08-07-PayPal-Launches-U-S-Dollar-Stablecoin
  7. https://www.coinbase.com/price/paypal-usd
  8. https://www.moonpay.com/learn/cryptocurrency/what-is-pyusd-paypal-stablecoin
  9. https://www.oobit.com/stablecoin/pyusd
  10. https://developer.paypal.com/community/blog/pyusd-stablecoin/
  11. https://developer.paypal.com/community/blog/pyusd-on-stellar/
  12. https://tokeninsight.com/en/coins/paypal-usd/tokenomics
  13. https://bitcompare.net/coins/paypal-usd
  14. https://crypto.com/en-es/university/what-is-pyusd-paypal-stablecoin
  15. https://www.gate.com/crypto-wiki/article/what-is-pyusd-understanding-paypal-s-new-stablecoin-and-its-impact-on-digital-payments
  16. https://www.coinbase.com/blog/coinbase-and-paypal-to-advance-stablecoin-payments
  17. https://newsroom.paypal-corp.com/2025-06-11-PayPal-USD-PYUSD-Plans-to-Use-Stellar-for-New-Use-Cases
  18. https://www.coingecko.com/learn/what-is-paypal-usd-pyusd
  19. https://newsroom.paypal-corp.com/2025-07-17-PayPal-USD-Expands-to-Arbitrum-Bringing-Layer-2-Efficiency-to-Multi-Chain-Development-Stack
  20. https://www.mastercard.com/us/en/news-and-trends/stories/2025/mastercard-stablecoin-utility-and-scale.html
  21. https://www.okx.com/en-us/learn/stellar-xlm-partnerships-protocol-upgrades
  22. https://onekey.so/blog/ecosystem/understanding-paypals-stablecoin-what-is-pyusd/
  23. https://fuze.finance/blog/pyusd-explained-paypal-usd/
  24. https://pyusd.mirror.xyz/TpEwPNybrwzPSSQenLtO4kggy98KH4oQRc06ggVnA0k
  25. https://cryptobriefing.com/solana-blockchain-expansion-paypal/
  26. https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/paypal-usd/latest-updates/
  27. https://investor.pypl.com/news-and-events/news-details/2025/PayPal-USD-PYUSD-Plans-to-Use-Stellar-for-New-Use-Cases/default.aspx
  28. https://investor.pypl.com/news-and-events/news-details/2025/PayPal-Drives-Crypto-Payments-into-the-Mainstream-Reducing-Costs-and-Expanding-Global-Commerce/default.aspx
  29. https://stellar.org/press/paypal-pyusd

Is PayPal USD (PYUSD) a good investment?

PayPal USD (PYUSD) Investment Analysis

Executive Summary

PayPal USD is a stablecoin that's fully backed by US dollar deposits, US treasuries, and similar cash equivalents. With a current market capitalization of $3.53 billion and ranking 31st among cryptocurrencies, PYUSD represents a unique positioning in the stablecoin market—combining institutional-grade regulatory compliance with mainstream consumer accessibility through PayPal's ecosystem.


Fundamental Strengths

Regulatory Compliance and Trust

PayPal USD is issued by Paxos Trust Company, LLC, and monthly attestation reports are issued by an independent third-party accounting firm. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has formally ended its inquiry into PayPal's dollar-backed stablecoin, PYUSD, opting not to pursue enforcement action, removing a potential legal overhang for both PayPal and issuer Paxos. This regulatory clarity provides a significant competitive advantage over less-regulated competitors.

Reserve Backing and Stability

PYUSD's reserves are subject to monthly attestations by an independent accounting firm to verify they are fully backed by U.S. dollars, U.S. treasuries, and cash equivalents. The 1:1 peg to the US dollar has remained stable, with the token trading at $0.999 as of the latest data.

Institutional Backing and Brand Recognition

With over 426 million active users, PayPal has a significant edge in reaching everyday customers and merchants, and this wide user base within the PayPal ecosystem of fiat wallets, banking, and merchant partners could enable PYUSD to gain traction faster than certain competitors. PYUSD is significant because it is the first stablecoin issued by a major global payments company, giving it immediate mainstream visibility and direct integration within PayPal's massive ecosystem.

Multi-Chain Infrastructure

PayPal announced plans to make the PayPal USD (PYUSD) stablecoin available on the Stellar network, and by potentially expanding to Stellar, PYUSD leverages the network's speed, low transaction costs, and ease of integration to enhance its utility for real-world payments, commerce, and micro-financing, offering an additional option to Ethereum and Solana.

Revenue Model Sustainability

Stablecoins like PYUSD derive income from the yield spread on interest-bearing instruments held with customer funds, and PayPal's explicit inclusion of U.S. Treasuries in its holdings aligns with this revenue strategy. When you hold PYUSD on PayPal, you could get 4% rewards.


Fundamental Weaknesses

Limited Market Adoption

The token remains a tiny fraction of the stablecoin market with a $3.7 billion market cap. Despite its growth, PYUSD faces stiff competition from dominant stablecoins like Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), which collectively hold over 80% of the stablecoin market share.

Ecosystem Dependency

PYUSD exists primarily within PayPal's ecosystem, third-party exchange liquidity remains smaller compared to USDT or USDC, and if PayPal already handles your payment flows, this token can reduce settlement friction and FX costs but it lacks the interoperability of its larger peers. While PYUSD's close integration with PayPal provides convenience, it may also restrict freedom for users who prefer platforms outside of the PayPal ecosystem, and established stablecoins like USDT and USDC offer broader compatibility across external wallets, exchanges, and DeFi protocols.

Centralization Risks

PYUSD's dependence on PayPal and Paxos creates concentration risk, and any major issues at either entity—security breaches, insolvency, or adverse regulatory action—could severely impact PYUSD holders. A centralization risk incident highlighted single-point failure risks in PYUSD's centralized issuance model.

Regulatory Uncertainty

The draft CLARITY Act (Jan 2026) proposes banning yield for "holding payment stablecoins," targeting PYUSD's 4% reward program, and Paxos completed its OCC trust charter conversion, aligning with federal standards but exposing PYUSD to stricter oversight, with yield restrictions potentially reducing PYUSD's competitiveness versus rivals like USDC.


Market Position and Competitive Landscape

Positioning Against Competitors

Against USDC, this represents the most direct competition, as both are U.S.-regulated stablecoins with similar reserve models, with the key difference being distribution strategy–USDC grew through crypto-native DeFi integration and partnership with Coinbase, while PYUSD leverages mainstream consumer access through PayPal's network.

Circle's USDC represents PYUSD's closest competitor in terms of regulatory compliance and transparency, with USDC having achieved broader market adoption with approximately $35 billion in market capitalization, compared to PYUSD's smaller but growing presence.

Market Growth Trajectory

PYUSD's market cap surged 680% YoY to $3.9B, driven by YouTube creator payouts and Visa's stablecoin remittance rails. PYUSD's market capitalization stood at approximately $1.35 billion as of September 2025, with transaction volume tripled in Q3 2025, driven by its expansion to Layer-2 networks.


Adoption Metrics and Transaction Activity

User Base and Integration

PayPal's 435 million customers globally provide an immediate user base for PYUSD adoption, positioning it uniquely among stablecoins that typically rely on organic crypto community growth.

Recent Partnership Developments

Visa partnered with BVNK to enable PYUSD payouts via Visa Direct, allowing businesses to send funds globally to digital wallets, with the integration targeting remittance corridors like India and Nigeria, reducing fees from ~6% to under 2%.

YouTube now allows U.S. creators to receive earnings in PYUSD through PayPal's Hyperwallet, with the integration avoiding direct crypto handling by YouTube, leveraging PayPal's existing payout systems.


Risk Factors

Regulatory Risks

Regulatory frameworks for digital assets are evolving, and availability or legality of digital asset services may change without notice, and services may be restricted, suspended, or terminated in certain jurisdictions as required by law or regulation. While USDC has achieved full MiCA authorization, other major stablecoins, including USDT, DAI, and PayPal's PYUSD, are not currently approved under these rules, leaving them at a disadvantage in the European market.

Counterparty Risk

The fiat reserves are held by third-party financial institutions, introducing counterparty risk, as demonstrated by USDC's temporary de-pegging during the Silicon Valley Bank collapse in 2023.

Asset Control Limitations

The freeze and wipe functions fundamentally alter asset ownership compared to decentralized cryptocurrencies, and PYUSD holders don't have absolute control over their funds; assets can be seized based on legal orders.

Platform Dependency

PayPal may stop supporting PYUSD at any time, and PayPal may, but is not obligated to, provide you notice prior to terminating support of PYUSD as a Crypto Asset.


Bull Case Arguments

  1. Regulatory Tailwind: PYUSD's exemption from further investigation could bolster legislative momentum behind the GENIUS Act, a bipartisan Senate bill proposing a separate regulatory path for payment stablecoins, which would formalize licensing frameworks for issuers at either the Federal Reserve or state level, mandate 1:1 reserve backing, and require monthly disclosures.

  2. Institutional Integration: A $1B incentive program offers 4.5% annual yield on PYUSD deposits for AI infrastructure loans, with loans disbursed in PYUSD directly to PayPal accounts.

  3. Cross-Border Payment Expansion: PYUSD on Stellar can be used for fast, affordable cross-border payments and expanded access to essential financial services, with users potentially benefiting from improved daily payment options and financing solutions such as working capital and business loans.

  4. Mainstream Accessibility: The company is betting that mainstream consumer reach will eventually matter more than crypto-native credibility, and as a money-moving tool with one foot in the crypto world and the other deep in PayPal's internal operations, PYUSD plays an important role for the company.


Bear Case Arguments

  1. Entrenched Competition: PYUSD's small market share and reliance on PayPal's ecosystem pose risks, with institutional investors potentially preferring USDC's proven track record, while retail users might favor USDT's liquidity.

  2. Yield Program Uncertainty: The long-term implications of PayPal's yield program on PYUSD's market competitiveness remain to be seen.

  3. Slow Adoption Relative to Scale: Adoption has been slow, with PayPal not breaking out PYUSD circulation in its earnings reports.

  4. Regulatory Compliance Costs: The $2 million fine and ongoing international disputes signal that regulatory costs will remain a drag on profitability.


Historical Performance and Market Cycles

Since its launch in August 2023, PYUSD has demonstrated steady growth within the competitive stablecoin market, with the stablecoin market reaching unprecedented heights in 2025, crossing the $200 billion total market value mark. The token has maintained its 1:1 peg throughout various market conditions, with minimal price deviation (trading at $0.999).


Institutional Interest and Major Holders

Regulatory compliance, while costly, positions PYUSD to weather future scrutiny, a critical factor in a market where USDC's transparency and USDT's legal risks remain contentious. Visa's partnership with BVNK to enable PYUSD payouts expands PYUSD's use in enterprise finance and cross-border transactions.


Risk/Reward Assessment

Risk Profile: Moderate to High

  • Regulatory uncertainty regarding yield programs and stablecoin frameworks
  • Concentration risk dependent on PayPal and Paxos operational stability
  • Competitive pressure from established stablecoins with superior liquidity

Reward Profile: Moderate

  • Potential for significant adoption through PayPal's 435 million user base
  • Regulatory clarity advantage over less-compliant competitors
  • Emerging use cases in cross-border payments and creator economy

Risk/Reward Ratio: The asymmetry favors risk over reward in the near term. While PYUSD offers regulatory advantages and institutional backing, its market share remains marginal relative to USDT and USDC. The token's success depends heavily on PayPal's ability to drive mainstream adoption beyond its existing ecosystem, which has proven challenging despite the company's scale.


Sources:

  1. https://www.paypal.com/us/digital-wallet/manage-money/crypto/pyusd
  2. https://newsroom.paypal-corp.com/2025-06-11-PayPal-USD-PYUSD-Plans-to-Use-Stellar-for-New-Use-Cases
  3. https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/paypal-usd/latest-updates/
  4. https://developer.paypal.com/community/blog/pyusd-stablecoin/
  5. https://eco.com/support/en/articles/12270549-what-is-pyusd-complete-guide-to-paypal-s-regulated-stablecoin
  6. https://www.ainvest.com/news/paypal-pyusd-disruptive-force-stablecoin-market-regulatory-challenges-2512/
  7. https://cryptoslate.com/sec-closes-paypal-stablecoin-probe-clearing-regulatory-hurdle-for-pyusd/
  8. https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/05/01/sec-ditches-paypal-usd-probe-helping-its-stablecoin-offering-grow-further
  9. https://www.okx.com/learn/pyusd-market-growth-paypal-stablecoin
  10. https://www.coingecko.com/learn/what-is-paypal-usd-pyusd
  11. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/CRCL/pressreleases/37209578/better-stablecoin-buy-usd-coin-vs-paypal-usd/
  12. https://www.rapyd.net/blog/top-stablecoins-analysis/
  13. https://www.moonpay.com/learn/cryptocurrency/what-is-pyusd-paypal-stablecoin
  14. https://state-of-crypto.coindesk.com/blog/paypals-stablecoins-move/

PayPal USD (PYUSD) price prediction

PayPal USD (PYUSD) Price Prediction Analysis

Current Market Context

PayPal USD is trading at $1.00 per PYUSD, with a circulating supply of 3,719,828,654 PYUSD and market cap of $3,719,319,037. PYUSD is pegged 1 to 1 with the American dollar and is audited monthly by an independent company.


Short-Term Predictions (2025-2026)

Source2025 Forecast2026 Forecast
Bitget (0.04% growth)$0.9995$1.05
CryptoPredictions$1.007 (0.77% increase)
Gate.io$0.9999 average
Gate.io (bullish)$1.2 high
Gate.io (technical analysis)$1.11 average, $1.62 high
WalletInvestor (via 3commas)$1.0005694 average, $1.0010728 max

Conservative Range (2025-2026): $0.9995–$1.05
Optimistic Range (2025-2026): $1.007–$1.2


Medium-Term Predictions (2027-2028)

Source2027 Forecast2028 Forecast
Kraken (5% annual growth)$1.05
TradingBeasts (via 3commas)$1.0008453 max, $1.0002215 average
Gate.io$1.37 average, $1.94 high
Gate.io (technical analysis)$1.65 average, $2.44 high
Gate.io (historical patterns)$1.02 low, $2.44 high, +65% ROI

Conservative Range (2027-2028): $1.0002–$1.05
Optimistic Range (2027-2028): $1.37–$2.44


Long-Term Predictions (2029-2030)

Source2029 Forecast2030 Forecast
Bitget (5% annual growth)$1.28
Coinbase (5% annual growth)$1.63 (2036), $2.08 (2041)
Gate.io$1.94 low, $2.95 high, +105% ROI
Gate.io$1.87–$3.55 range, $2.5 average, +150% ROI
TradingBeasts (via 3commas)$1.001851 average, $1.0027164 max

Conservative Range (2029-2030): $1.0018–$1.28
Optimistic Range (2029-2030): $1.94–$3.55


Key Price Catalysts and Growth Drivers

PYUSD's utility is expanding through partnerships including USDAI for AI infrastructure financing (4.5% yield incentives) and Google's Universal Commerce Protocol for AI-powered payments, with market cap surging 680% year-over-year to $3.9B, driven by YouTube creator payouts and Visa's stablecoin remittance rails.

The surge led to a 150% increase in stablecoin transactions to 1.8 million, with adjusted PYUSD transaction volume rising 7,000% to over $17 billion.

In bullish scenarios, growth could be supported by widespread cryptocurrency adoption (global market estimated to reach $3 trillion by 2025), integration with PayPal's 400+ million user base, and seamless transactional capabilities.

PYUSD deployments are increasing on Solana, holding a growing share among non-USDC/USDT stablecoins and enhancing on-chain liquidity.


Regulatory and Risk Factors

The draft CLARITY Act (January 2026) proposes banning yield for "holding payment stablecoins," targeting PYUSD's 4% reward program, while Paxos completed its OCC trust charter conversion, aligning with federal standards but exposing PYUSD to stricter oversight, potentially reducing competitiveness versus rivals like USDC.

PYUSD's dollar peg appears resilient near-term due to PayPal's ecosystem integrations and federal compliance, but regulatory uncertainty and liquidity dispersion pose medium-term challenges.

Bearish risks include regulatory pushback limiting stablecoin use, intensifying market competition from alternatives like USDC or Tether, and potential lack of technological innovation.


Prediction Methodology Notes

Most predictions employ one of three approaches:

  1. Fixed Growth Rate Models: Models that ignore market fluctuations and external economic factors, instead focusing on average price trends to help investors analyze profit potential.

  2. Technical Analysis: Historical price patterns and technical indicators projecting potential highs and lows with ROI calculations.

  3. AI-Assisted Analysis: Deep artificial intelligence-assisted technical analysis applied to past price data to predict future prices.


Sources:

  1. Kraken - PayPal USD Price Prediction: https://www.kraken.com/price-prediction/paypal-usd
  2. Bitget - PayPal USD Price Prediction: https://www.bitget.com/price/paypal-usd/price-prediction
  3. Gate.io - PayPal USD Price Prediction: https://www.gate.com/price-prediction/paypal-usd-pyusd
  4. CoinMarketCap AI - PayPal USD Price Prediction: https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/paypal-usd/price-prediction/
  5. 3commas - PayPal USD Price Prediction: https://3commas.io/predictions/paypal-usd
  6. Coinbase - PayPal USD Price Prediction: https://www.coinbase.com/price-prediction/paypal-usd
  7. CryptoPredictions - PayPal USD Price Prediction: https://cryptopredictions.com/paypal-usd/
  8. Botsfolio - PayPal USD Price Prediction: https://botsfolio.com/crypto/paypal-usd/price-prediction
  9. CoinGecko - PayPal USD: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/paypal-usd
  10. Invezz - PayPal Stock Price Forecast: https://invezz.com/news/2025/10/07/paypal-stock-price-forecast-as-pyusd-stablecoin-growth-surges/

How high can PayPal USD (PYUSD) go?

Maximum Price Potential Analysis for PayPal USD (PYUSD)

Fundamental Constraint: Stablecoin Architecture

PYUSD is a stablecoin pegged to the dollar and will remain close to $1, with growth potential lying in market cap, liquidity, and adoption rather than price appreciation. Unlike speculative cryptocurrencies, PYUSD's unit price is mechanically constrained to maintain a 1:1 USD peg. Price appreciation above $1.00 would represent a depeg event—a failure of the stablecoin's core function—rather than legitimate growth.

The realistic price ceiling remains $1.00 per token, with minor temporary deviations during market stress (typically $0.98-$1.02 range before arbitrage mechanisms restore parity). The meaningful metric for PYUSD's potential is market capitalization growth, not per-token price.


Market Cap Comparison Analysis

Current Position (February 2026):

  • PYUSD grew from $500M to $3.9B in 2025 via YouTube's creator economy integration
  • Current market cap: $3.53 billion
  • Rank: 31st among all cryptocurrencies

Competitive Landscape:
USDT holds approximately 60% of the stablecoin market with $175B market cap, while USDC comprises approximately 25% with $73.4B market cap. Total stablecoin market cap stands at $312 billion.

PYUSD currently represents approximately 1.1% of the total stablecoin market, positioning it as a distant third-tier player behind the two dominant stablecoins.


Supply Dynamics and Adoption Metrics

PYUSD supply grew 680% since January 2025, fueled by YouTube creator payouts. The stablecoin registered 216% growth in supply in less than 90 days, signaling increased utility and acceptance in Web3.

PYUSD on TRON unlocks borderless DeFi rails for PayPal's 434M users, with TRON processing over 50% of global stablecoin volume. PYUSD operates on multiple blockchains including Ethereum, Solana, Arbitrum, and Stellar, with plans to expand to Tron.

Network Effects:
PayPal's 435 million customers globally provide an immediate user base for PYUSD adoption, positioning it uniquely among stablecoins that typically rely on organic crypto community growth.


Growth Catalysts

Enterprise Integration:
Visa partnered with BVNK to enable PYUSD payouts via Visa Direct, targeting remittance corridors like India and Nigeria while reducing fees from ~6% to under 2%, expanding PYUSD's use in enterprise finance and cross-border transactions.

AI Platform Integration:
PayPal announced collaboration with OpenAI to embed its wallet into ChatGPT with a projected 2026 launch, making PayPal the first payment option integrated into the AI platform.

Regulatory Clarity:
As regulations for stablecoins become clearer in the United States and other major markets, PYUSD is likely to benefit from increased legitimacy, with PayPal's established reputation potentially making PYUSD a leader among corporate-issued stablecoins.

DeFi Yield Programs:
A $1B incentive program offers 4.5% APY on deposits starting January 2026, blending decentralized finance with real-world AI development.


Limiting Factors and Constraints

Regulatory Headwinds:
The draft CLARITY Act (January 2026) proposes banning yield for "holding payment stablecoins," targeting PYUSD's 4% reward program, which could reduce PYUSD's competitiveness versus rivals like USDC.

Liquidity Concentration:
DeFi integrations concentrate 42% of supply in top 100 wallets, creating centralization risks and potential liquidity constraints during market stress.

Established Competition:
USDT and USDC maintain entrenched positions with significantly larger liquidity pools, deeper exchange integration, and longer operational histories. USDC's growth is driven by clearer regulatory frameworks and growing institutional adoption, while USDT faces headwinds in Europe from delistings and lack of MiCA authorization.


Market Cap Scenario Analysis

Conservative Scenario: Modest Adoption

  • Assumption: PYUSD captures 2-3% of total stablecoin market by 2028
  • Total stablecoin market projection: $400-450 billion
  • PYUSD market cap target: $8-13.5 billion
  • Per-token price: $1.00 (maintained peg)

This scenario assumes limited breakthrough beyond PayPal's existing user base and modest enterprise adoption.

Base Scenario: Current Trajectory Continuation

  • Assumption: PYUSD reaches 3-5% of total stablecoin market by 2028
  • Total stablecoin market projection: $450-500 billion
  • PYUSD market cap target: $13.5-25 billion
  • Per-token price: $1.00 (maintained peg)

This scenario reflects accelerating adoption through YouTube creator integration, Visa partnerships, and multi-chain expansion while maintaining competitive parity with USDC.

Optimistic Scenario: Maximum Realistic Potential

  • Assumption: PYUSD reaches 5-8% of total stablecoin market by 2030
  • Total stablecoin market projection: $600-750 billion
  • PYUSD market cap target: $30-60 billion
  • Per-token price: $1.00 (maintained peg)

This scenario requires successful ChatGPT integration, widespread merchant adoption, regulatory approval of yield programs, and displacement of market share from competitors. It assumes PYUSD becomes the preferred stablecoin for PayPal's 435M users and achieves meaningful penetration in emerging markets through TRON integration.


Total Addressable Market Analysis

PayPal's Pay with Crypto connects merchants to a $3+ trillion market, supporting transactions across 100+ cryptocurrencies and tapping into a global base of more than 650 million crypto users.

The addressable market for stablecoins extends beyond crypto trading into cross-border payments, remittances, and programmable finance. 75% of consumers would use stablecoins if offered by their banks, signaling potential for mainstream financial infrastructure disruption.


Historical Context and Comparable Projects

PYUSD launched in August 2023 and achieved $3.9B market cap within approximately 29 months—a trajectory significantly faster than USDC's early growth but from a smaller institutional base. Unlike USDC (backed by Circle and Coinbase), PYUSD benefits from PayPal's established merchant network but faces regulatory scrutiny as a corporate-issued stablecoin.


Conclusion

PYUSD's price ceiling remains fixed at $1.00 per token due to its stablecoin architecture. The meaningful measure of potential is market capitalization growth, with realistic scenarios projecting $8-60 billion by 2028-2030, depending on adoption trajectory and competitive positioning.

The optimistic scenario ($30-60B market cap) would represent a 8.5x-17x increase from current levels, achievable through successful enterprise integration, regulatory clarity, and PayPal's user base leverage. However, this growth depends on overcoming entrenched competition from USDT and USDC, navigating evolving regulatory frameworks, and executing on announced partnerships and integrations.

The stablecoin market itself remains nascent relative to its potential TAM, suggesting room for multiple competitors to achieve significant scale. PYUSD's institutional backing and payment infrastructure integration provide competitive advantages, but market share gains will likely come incrementally rather than through explosive adoption.


Sources:

  1. https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/paypal-usd/latest-updates/
  2. https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/paypal-usd/price-prediction/
  3. https://defillama.com/stablecoins
  4. https://crystalintelligence.com/thought-leadership/usdt-maintains-dominance-while-usdc-faces-headwinds/
  5. https://www.theblock.co/post/377031/jpmorgan-circle-usdc-stablecoin-tether-usdt-onchain-growth
  6. https://www.ainvest.com/news/paypal-youtube-pyusd-partnership-catalyst-stablecoin-mainstream-adoption-2512/
  7. https://www.bitrue.com/blog/paypal-usd-price-prediction
  8. https://u.today/rlusd-rival-paypal-usd-jumps-216-in-key-supply-metric
  9. https://eco.com/support/en/articles/12270549-what-is-pyusd-complete-guide-to-paypal-s-regulated-stablecoin
  10. https://investor.pypl.com/news-and-events/news-details/2025/PayPal-Drives-Crypto-Payments-into-the-Mainstream-Reducing-Costs-and-Expanding-Global-Commerce/default.aspx
  11. https://newsroom.paypal-corp.com/2025-07-17-PayPal-USD-Expands-to-Arbitrum-Bringing-Layer-2-Efficiency-to-Multi-Chain-Development-Stack
  12. https://www.okx.com/en-us/learn/paypal-usd-pyusd-solana-stablecoin-payments
  13. https://www.cryptopolitan.com/paypal-to-expand-pyusd-to-arbitrum/
  14. https://www.theblock.co/post/362843/paypal-stablecoin-arbitrum-support
  15. https://www.kanalcoin.com/paypal-pyusd-expands-blockchains/

How to buy PayPal USD (PYUSD)?

Comprehensive Guide to Purchasing PayPal USD (PYUSD)

Overview of Purchase Options

PayPal USD (PYUSD) is a stablecoin that is redeemable 1:1 for US dollars. There are three primary methods to acquire PYUSD:

  1. Direct Purchase via PayPal/Venmo - The simplest method for existing users
  2. Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) - Traditional crypto platforms with fiat on-ramps
  3. Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs) - Peer-to-peer trading platforms
  4. On-ramp Services - Third-party payment processors

Exchange Comparison

Centralized Exchanges

The most popular PayPal USD exchanges are KuCoin, Kraken, Bybit and OKX. The top 3 exchanges by volume are Gate, HTX, and OKEX.

Major Platforms:

ExchangeFiat PairsStablecoin PairsPayment MethodsNotes
KrakenPYUSD/USDMultipleBank wire, ACH, Credit/Debit cardLargest amount of PayPal USD trading with fiat, most popular fiat pair is PYUSD/USD
CoinbasePYUSD/USDMultipleBank account, Debit card, Wire transferPayPal USD is currently available to buy on Coinbase's centralized exchange
Gate.ioPYUSD/USDPYUSD/USDTMultipleTop exchange by buy/sell volume with 17.5 million dollars in trading volume
OKXPYUSD/USDMultipleBank transfer, Credit/Debit card, P2PTrusted exchange for beginners
KuCoinMultiplePYUSD/USDTMultipleMajority of PayPal USD trading with stablecoins is done on KuCoin
BitgetMultipleMultipleMultiplePYUSD is available for trading on Bitget Exchange and can be held in custody on Bitget wallet

Decentralized Exchanges

Leading DEXs like Uniswap facilitate the exchange of thousands of cryptocurrency pairs, so there's a high likelihood you can find a DEX that supports buying and trading PayPal USD (PYUSD). To use a DEX, simply connect a supported Web3 wallet like MetaMask or Phantom to begin trading.

On-Ramp Services

MoonPay offers a fast and easy way to buy PayPal USD (PYUSD) with a credit or debit card, bank transfer, Apple Pay, Google Pay, and more. Buy PayPal USD (PYUSD) in 150+ countries using the local currency of your bank account.


Step-by-Step Purchase Guide: PayPal Direct Method

The most straightforward approach for US-based users:

  1. Create or Access Your PayPal Account

    • If you sign up for cryptocurrency services with PayPal, you can buy PYUSD in our app or on our site.
    • Ensure you have a PayPal Balance account
  2. Complete Identity Verification

    • Provide required personal information
    • Verify your identity through PayPal's standard process
  3. Navigate to Crypto Section

    • Open the PayPal app or website
    • Select the Crypto or Digital Assets section
  4. Select PYUSD

    • Search for "PayPal USD" or "PYUSD"
    • Choose the amount to purchase
  5. Complete Purchase

    • You can buy and sell 1 PYUSD for 1 USD on PayPal.
    • Confirm the transaction
  6. Hold or Transfer

    • Send PYUSD to friends on PayPal or Venmo with no network fees.
    • There are no transfer fees for PYUSD on Solana.

Alternative: Centralized Exchange Method (Kraken Example)

  1. Sign Up and Verify

    • Provide your email address and country of residence to get started with secure verification process.
  2. Connect Payment Method

    • Send a bank wire, make an ACH purchase, use a credit/debit card or connect several other payment methods.
  3. Initiate Purchase

    • Select "Buy crypto" on either Kraken's web or mobile app to start your purchase.
  4. Select PYUSD

    • Buy PayPal USD and hundreds of popular cryptocurrencies available on Kraken today (geo restrictions apply).
  5. Enter Amount and Confirm

    • Input the amount you want to spend using your local currency before previewing how much PYUSD you will receive.
    • Confirm the asset price, purchase amount and fees to instantly receive PayPal USD in your Kraken account.

Wallet Recommendations

Hot Wallets (Online Storage)

Best for: Frequent trading and daily transactions

Hot wallets are online-based crypto accounts. You must access them through websites, mobile applications, extensions, or software. Examples include MetaMask and Phantom.

Specific Options:

  • MetaMask - Browser extension and mobile app
  • Trust Wallet - Mobile-focused with multi-chain support
  • Zengo - Zengo's non-custodial wallet offers a secure storage solution for your PYUSD tokens. We use advanced MPC technology in order to protect your assets and ensure their safety.
  • PayPal/Venmo - Custodial option with integrated features

Cold Wallets (Offline Storage)

Best for: Long-term holding and maximum security

Cold storage is offline and tangible hand-held objects. Ledger and Trezor are some of the most popular cold wallets.

Hardware Wallet Options:

  • Ledger Nano X - Industry standard with multi-chain support
  • Trezor Model T - Open-source firmware option
  • Ledger Nano S Plus - Budget-friendly alternative

For crypto portfolios over $1,000, hardware wallets aren't optional—they're essential.

Wallet Selection Criteria

When choosing a crypto wallet, you should look for a solution that offers flexibility, functionality, and exceptional security.


Trading Pairs Available

You can trade PayPal USD with many fiat currencies including USD, EUR, MXN and many stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, PYUSD.

Primary Trading Pairs:

  • PYUSD/USD (fiat pair)
  • PYUSD/USDT (stablecoin pair)
  • PYUSD/USDC (stablecoin pair)
  • PYUSD/EUR (fiat pair)
  • PYUSD/BTC (cryptocurrency pair)
  • PYUSD/ETH (cryptocurrency pair)

Kraken offers over 200 PayPal USD trading pairs so you can move in and out of the market with ease.


Fee Comparison

PayPal Direct

There are no fees to buy, sell, hold or transfer PYUSD to eligible US PayPal Balance accounts. There is a fee to convert between PYUSD and other cryptos.

Exchange Fees

Fees vary by platform and payment method:

  • Credit/Debit Card: Typically 2-4%
  • Bank Transfer/ACH: 0.5-1.5%
  • Trading Fees: 0.1-0.5% per transaction

On-Ramp Services

How much PYUSD you can buy will depend on your account limit, with higher purchases requiring increasing/different KYC levels. The minimum amount you can purchase is $20.

Blockchain Fees

On Ethereum, gas fees can spike. Solana fees are typically lower but depend on network conditions.


Security Best Practices

Private Key Protection

The core of crypto wallet security is ensuring the safety of private keys, which are the main target of attackers.

Key Practices:

  1. Use a strong, unique password, enable two-factor authentication (2FA), and never share your private keys.
  2. Store backups offline, preferably on paper or a hardware device.

Seed Phrase Management

Offline Storage: Write seed phrases on fireproof paper or titanium plates (like Cryptosteel Capsule). Geographically Redundant Backups: Copies should be kept in a bank deposit box, a home safe, and the home of a trusted relative.

Never Digitize: Don't use password managers, cloud storage, or images for seed phrases.

Hot vs. Cold Storage Strategy

It is a good practice to keep only small amounts of bitcoins on your computer, mobile, or server for everyday uses and to keep the remaining part of your funds in a safer environment.

Phishing and Malware Prevention

Hackers can send you a link on Twitter or Discord and require you to click one. They can also pretend to be customer support and request you to call some code or OTP from your phone.

The best practice is to be discreet with your details.

Account Security

Enable 2FA on all accounts. Utilize a sensitive account only email address (or multiple) for sensitive accounts related to banking, crypto, or similar.

Regular Maintenance

Regularly update your wallet software to benefit from security patches and improvements. Enable automatic updates if available.


KYC Requirements Overview

Standard Requirements

On some exchanges, you will need to go through KYC, so you will need a photo ID and phone number to get SMS verifications.

PayPal/Venmo KYC

The stablecoin is available to all eligible PayPal users who have undergone the standard AML/KYC checks.

Regulatory Compliance

BitLicense requires PYUSD to conduct detailed identification of its clients and comply with anti-money laundering requirements. This sets a higher entry threshold for new users for PYUSD, but at the same time, increases its legitimacy and acceptability among regulated financial institutions and informed investors looking for secure and regulated assets.

Verification Levels

How much PYUSD you can buy will depend on your account limit, with higher purchases requiring increasing/different KYC levels.


Regional Availability

United States

PayPal USD (PYUSD) will be a US dollar-backed token available to PayPal users based in the US.

Currently, only US customers are able to buy PayPal USD or add US dollars using PayPal. All other customers are only able to use PayPal to cash out or sell, and transaction availability depends on region.

International Access

Buy PayPal USD (PYUSD) in 150+ countries using the local currency of your bank account.

Regulatory perimeter: Availability and features can vary by jurisdiction; some users may face KYC/AML requirements or product restrictions.


Blockchain Availability

PYUSD is available on Ethereum and Solana. Like other crypto assets, it can move instantaneously, anywhere in the world, at any time, and it's programmable.

Network Details:

  • Ethereum: ERC-20 token standard
  • Solana: SPL token standard
  • Arbitrum: Available on Layer 2
  • Stellar: Available for cross-chain transfers

Reserve Backing and Transparency

Issuance of and custody of PayPal USD is performed by Paxos Trust Company, LLC.

Reserves are held 100% in US dollar deposits, US treasuries and cash equivalents – meaning that customer funds are available for 1:1 redemption with Paxos.

Paxos monthly self-reports the composition of the reserve asset portfolio after each month's end, and monthly attestation reports are also issued by an independent third-party accounting firm.


Key Resources