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Worldcoin

Worldcoin

WLD·0.41
3.01%

Worldcoin (WLD) - Complete Fundamental Analysis

By CoinStats AI

What is Worldcoin (WLD) crypto?

Worldcoin (WLD) Cryptocurrency: Comprehensive Overview

Core Definition and Technology

Worldcoin (WLD) is a cryptocurrency linked to an identity protocol called World ID that aims to provide "proof-of-personhood," enabling people to prove they're unique humans online without revealing their real-world identity. World, also known as World Network, is a humanity verification project and financial network that was developed and launched as the cryptocurrency project Worldcoin. The project was rebranded as World in 2024, at which point it had partnerships with the governments of Taiwan and Malaysia concerning digital identity verification.

Core Technology and Blockchain Architecture

Biometric Verification System

The backbone of Worldcoin is a specialized biometric device called the Orb, which uses advanced iris-scanning technology and real-time neural networks to verify human uniqueness with high accuracy while processing all biometric data locally for privacy. The Orb verifies humanness through the use of specialized hardware and several neural networks that run in real time on the device, generates and signs an iris code which is subsequently checked for uniqueness in the uniqueness service, and if successful the public key of the World ID is added to a set of verified World IDs.

According to Tools for Humanity, iris codes are used because irises have more randomness and complexity than fingerprints or faces, and are also less susceptible to change. The Iris Recognition Inference System (IRIS) represents the step-by-step process that transforms an iris image into an iris code, the numeric representation of one's iris texture, and is the core engine that validates a person's uniqueness at an Orb and allows the secure verification of their World ID.

Privacy Architecture

Sophisticated cryptographic techniques like zero-knowledge proofs enable users to verify their humanity without revealing personal information. The system employs the Semaphore protocol, originally developed by the Ethereum Privacy and Scaling Exploration (PSE) group, with modifications to support global scale, allowing users to prove their humanity to any verifier while maintaining their privacy through sophisticated cryptographic techniques.

In May 2024, World switched its data storage to a secure multi-party computation (MPC) encryption method, stating the move was part of its efforts to comply with the EU's General Data Protection Regulation, and according to World, after stored iris codes were migrated to their new SMPC system, the old codes were then deleted.

Blockchain Infrastructure

WLD is described as part of a larger effort to drive a more unified and equitable global economy, with the token to be a Layer 2 Ethereum-based cryptocurrency that leverages the security of the Ethereum blockchain while having its own economy. Worldcoin (WLD) exists as an ERC‑20 token on Ethereum, and as such, WLD inherits the Proof of Stake consensus security of Ethereum's Consensus Layer.

The network operates on World Chain, a dedicated blockchain built on the OP Stack (Optimism's technology) designed to prioritize transactions from verified humans. Built on the OP Stack and powered by reth, World Chain prioritizes scalability and accessibility for real users, providing the rails for a frictionless onchain UX, with verified World ID holders receiving priority access to blockspace, ensuring everyday users can transact even during peak network demand.

Primary Use Cases and Real-World Applications

Identity Verification

World hopes to provide a reliable way to authenticate humans online via World ID accounts, to counter bots and fake virtual identities facilitated by artificial intelligence. Once the scan is complete, the system assigns the user a World ID, which can be used for a variety of online applications, such as logging into websites or participating in secure voting systems.

Ecosystem Integrations

Worldcoin has incorporated its World ID feature with several mainstream platforms, including Reddit, Discord, and Minecraft, allowing users to verify their human identity across these platforms using World ID, potentially receiving VIP roles. In early 2025, Razer began incorporating World ID to facilitate "human-only" modes or servers in games, cutting out bots.

World announced an upcoming debit card project with Visa and partnered with Match Group, which owns dating apps such as Tinder.

Financial Applications

The token's primary utilities are governance (allowing holders to vote on the protocol's future) and paying for services like transaction fees on World Chain. Verified World ID users can enjoy gas-free transactions on-chain.

Universal Basic Income Vision

If successful, Worldcoin could drastically increase economic opportunity, scale a reliable solution for distinguishing humans from AI online while preserving privacy, enable global democratic processes, and eventually show a potential path to AI-funded UBI.

Founding Team, Key Developers, and Project History

Founding Team

Contributors to the project include Tools for Humanity, a company founded in 2019 by Sam Altman, Max Novendstern, and Alex Blania. As of 2025, Altman was the chairman of Tools for Humanity and Blania was the CEO.

Max Novendstern was a former investment associate at Bridgewater Associates and worked previously for a money transfer startup called Wave; Alex Blania had been studying theoretical physics at the California Institute of Technology and the Max Planck Society; by early 2021, Novendstern had moved on to launch another startup while Blania stayed, becoming Worldcoin's CEO.

Project Timeline

In October 2021, the project raised an initial $25 million by investors such as Andreessen Horowitz, and within six months, an additional $100 million was raised, pushing the token's total value up to $3 billion. After accumulating $250 million in funding from venture capital firms such as Andreessen Horowitz, it launched out of beta in 2023.

Worldcoin officially launched on July 24, 2023, introducing both the WLD token and the World ID system to enable community-led governance and global identity verification.

User Growth

World was reported in May 2023 to have onboarded approximately two million users in 33 countries. As of September 2025, World had approximately 33 million World App users, of which 15 million were verified.

Tokenomics: Supply, Distribution, and Mechanics

Total and Circulating Supply

WLD is an ERC-20 token with a fixed maximum supply of 10 billion for its first 15 years. The circulating supply of Worldcoin is 2,724,991,759 tokens and the total supply is 10,000,000,000 tokens.

Token Allocation and Distribution

Before launch, 75% of all WLD were allocated to the World Community, while 25% were allocated to early investors in Tools for Humanity ("TFH"), the development team, and a small reserve held by TFH. The Worldcoin allocation includes Worldcoin Community at 75.00%, TFH Investors at 13.78%, Initial Development Team at 10.02% and TFH Reserve at 1.20%.

Distribution Mechanism

Worldcoin's tokenomics is unique in that the majority of WLD tokens will be freely available to claim by individuals over time – simply for engaging in World Network and verifying their human uniqueness. Individuals can claim WLD tokens by verifying unique humanness via the Orb, with the first WLD amount an individual can claim (currently 16 WLD) constituting about ⅓ of the total amount, while the remaining amount is claimable over the next 11 months.

Inflation and Supply Mechanics

WLD supply will be capped at 10 billion tokens for 15 years, at which point the governance of the network can decide to implement an inflation rate of up to 1.5%, as well as how to allocate the minted tokens. The circulating supply of WLD increases with network scale and user growth.

Consensus Mechanism and Network Security Model

Ethereum-Based Security

WLD inherits the Proof of Stake consensus security of Ethereum's Consensus Layer, and transactions that involve WLD on Ethereum are subject to Ethereum's gas market and finality properties.

Layer 2 Scaling

The World App and many user interactions also utilize the Optimism network (an Optimistic Rollup), which batches transactions off‑chain and posts data to Ethereum for security, and Optimism's design relies on Fraud Proofs and an L2 Sequencer while ultimately settling on Ethereum, improving throughput and lowering fees.

World Chain Innovation

World Chain itself is built in a way that provides unique benefits to verified humans, with verified humans having their gas fees subsidized by fees collected from non-verified humans (i.e. bots), a way of making sure humans benefit from the increased commercial activity by on-chain agents.

Key Partnerships and Ecosystem Integrations

Government and Institutional Partnerships

By late 2024, World had partnerships with Taiwan and Malaysia concerning digital identity verification.

Commercial Partnerships

World announced an upcoming debit card project with Visa and partnered with Match Group, which owns dating apps such as Tinder. In early 2025, Razer began incorporating World ID to facilitate "human-only" modes or servers in games, cutting out bots.

Developer Ecosystem

The Worldcoin token (WLD), alongside World ID, powers a diverse range of "Mini Apps" for utility, entertainment, and social engagement, including financial tools like ORO for daily rewards, UNO for token management, and creative apps like World Art for NFT minting.

Competitive Advantages and Unique Value Proposition

Proof of Personhood at Scale

Worldcoin is building a uniqueness verification system in an adversarial environment on a scale of billions of people. In a time of increasingly powerful AI, the most reliable way to issue a global proof of human is through custom biometric hardware.

Privacy-Preserving Design

A particularly innovative aspect of Worldcoin's architecture is its implementation of privacy-preserving deduplication, with the system able to verify that an individual hasn't previously enrolled without maintaining a centralized database of personal information, achieved through a combination of biometric processing and cryptographic protocols, where iris codes are compared using Hamming distance calculations while maintaining strict privacy guarantees through local processing and zero-knowledge proofs.

Inclusive Financial Access

By leveraging advanced iris biometrics, Worldcoin provides individuals with a unique cryptographic identity, known as World ID, which can be used across various platforms and applications, with the project envisioning a future where identity verification is decentralized, seamless, and accessible to everyone, particularly in regions where traditional identification systems are inefficient or nonexistent.

Current Development Activity and Roadmap Highlights

Recent Technological Advances

In September 2024, World introduced the facial comparison program Face Auth, a competitor to Apple's Face ID software, and in October 2024, World launched a new edition of Orb, its eye-scanning hardware, and also launched Deep Face, an anti-deepfake feature for users with World IDs.

Platform Expansion

In April 2025, the World App enabled a private chat feature allowing users to send messages and tokens. World launched its operations in the USA on May 1, 2025, with locations in Atlanta, Austin, Los Angeles, Miami, Nashville, and San Francisco, and Razer stores.

Future Development Plans

The project is exploring other verification methods, such as passport verification via NFC, to enhance convenience and coverage, and plans to integrate World ID verification into mainstream communication platforms (like FaceTime, WhatsApp, and Zoom), and build a "mini-app" ecosystem within World App for third-party developers to participate.

One of the long-term visions is to explore Worldcoin as a potential pathway for AI-funded universal basic income in the future.


Sources:

  1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_(blockchain)
  2. https://whitepaper.world.org/
  3. https://www.reflexivityresearch.com/all-reports/worldcoin-overview
  4. https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/worldcoin-org/what-is/
  5. https://www.cube.exchange/what-is/worldcoin
  6. https://www.ledger.com/academy/topics/crypto/what-is-worldcoin
  7. https://www.blockchain.com/learning-portal/tokens/worldcoin-explained
  8. https://phemex.com/academy/what-is-worldcoin-wld
  9. https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2024/04/17/worldcoin-sam-altmans-crypto-project-is-building-a-layer-2-chain
  10. https://weareblox.com/en-eu/worldcoin
  11. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sam_Altman
  12. https://world.org/cofounder-letter
  13. https://fintechmagazine.com/articles/in-depth-worldcoin-the-altman-co-founded-crypto-project
  14. https://techcrunch.com/2023/03/07/worldcoin-cofounded-by-sam-altman-is-betting-the-next-big-thing-in-ai-is-proving-you-are-human/
  15. https://techcrunch.com/2024/10/17/sam-altmans-worldcoin-becomes-world-and-shows-new-iris-scanning-orb-to-prove-your-humanity/
  16. https://time.com/6300522/worldcoin-sam-altman/
  17. https://www.newsweek.com/sam-altman-worldcoin-crypto-ai-1920214
  18. https://www.

Is Worldcoin (WLD) a good investment?

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Worldcoin (WLD) price prediction

WORLDCOIN (WLD) PRICE PREDICTION ANALYSIS

CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT

Current Price & Market Cap (February 2, 2026):

  • Price: $0.408 USD
  • Market Cap: $1.13 billion USD
  • 24-hour change: +1.54%
  • 7-day change: -11.61%
  • Rank: #61 by market cap
  • Risk Score: 52.35 (moderate)

SHORT-TERM PREDICTIONS (2025-2026)

2025 Year-End Forecasts

SourceConservativeAverageOptimistic
Cryptopolitan$0.6560$0.7141$0.7860
3commas$0.8732$0.8941
AInvest$1.10$4.18
TradersUnion$0.5477$0.6086$0.6695

2026 Predictions

Cryptopolitan projects Worldcoin to cross support levels at an average price of $1.48, with a minimum of $1.38 and maximum of $1.65.

3commas forecasts a minimum value of $0.8352 and average market value of $0.8986 per coin by 2026.

FastBull projects 2026 prices ranging between $2.50 and $9.50, with an average of approximately $6.00.

CoinCodex forecasts WLD to trade within a range of $0.3183 and $1.27, with potential increases of 176.35% to reach $1.27.

Technical Outlook: CoinCodex's technical analysis indicates a bearish forecast for Worldcoin in 2026.


MEDIUM-TERM PREDICTIONS (2027-2028)

2027 Forecasts

SourceConservativeAverageOptimistic
Cryptopolitan$1.86$2.18$2.22
FastBull$7.00$11.25$15.70
DigitalCoinPrice$2.14$2.51
3commas$0.8022$0.9156

2028 Forecasts

Cryptopolitan projects a minimum WLD price of $2.47 with a maximum of $2.93.

FastBull anticipates 2028 prices between $10.75 and $21.15, with an average of approximately $15.95.

CoinPedia forecasts 2028 prices between $10.75 and $21.15, with an average of about $15.95.


LONG-TERM PREDICTIONS (2029-2030)

2029 Forecasts

CoinPedia projects 2029 prices varying from $15.60 to $27.50, with an average of roughly $21.60.

TradersUnion forecasts WLD at $0.0239 by end of 2029.

2030 Forecasts

SourceConservativeAverageOptimistic
CoinPedia$19.75$27.75$35.60
DigitalCoinPrice$3.43$3.84$3.96
CoinLore$33.97
TradersUnion$0.0154

EXPERT & ANALYST FORECASTS

Notable Predictions

Tim Draper predicts Worldcoin will reach $1.87 by end of 2026 or early 2026.

Reports of OpenAI using Worldcoin for human verification sparked a 25%+ price rally, with WLD rallying from around $0.48 to a local high near $0.68 within 24 hours, as this directly ties the token's utility to a massive, mainstream AI project led by Sam Altman.

CoinPedia analysts note that if price surpasses the $1.00-$1.25 range in Q1 2026, a strong rally could follow, with a target of $2.21 appearing attainable and potentially leading to a retest of the $4.18 level by end of 2026.


ALGORITHMIC & AI PREDICTION AGGREGATIONS

Methodology Overview

CoinCodex's prediction algorithm is calculated using historical Worldcoin price datasets accounting for past volatility and market movements, and uses the cyclical nature of Bitcoin halvings which introduce extra supply-side pressure on BTC every 4 years.

CoinCheckup's predictions are based on historical data, technical indicators, and market sentiment, using a wide array of tools including SMA, EMA, RSI, MACD, Stochastic Oscillators, and Pivot Points.

Long-Term Algorithm Estimates

CoinCodex's algorithm estimates the highest expected price is $13.48 by 2050.

CoinLore forecasts WLD could reach $16.32 in 2025, $33.97 in 2030, and $111.23 in 2040.


HISTORICAL PRICE PATTERN ANALYSIS

Price History Context

Worldcoin hit a low of $0.9758 on September 13, 2023, and reached an all-time high of $4.70 on December 17, 2023. Between December 31, 2023, and January 30, 2024, its price fluctuated significantly, opening at $3.70 and closing at $2.47, with a high of $3.18 and a low of $2.09, representing a 35.71% decrease. In March 2024, WLD surged to over $10 but quickly fell below $5 by April.

Recent Technical Patterns

Over the past two years, Worldcoin has faced a challenging period characterized by declining price action on its weekly chart. However, this downward momentum ceased around mid-2025 as the token stopped establishing new lows. By September 2025, WLD even attempted to break the long-term bearish trend by briefly moving past the $2.12 level, but ultimately failed to sustain the move.

A falling wedge pattern has established a robust presence in December 2025, consolidating along its lower boundary. This movement may signify potential for a substantial upward shift in Q1 2026; nonetheless, two pivotal levels, $0.75 and $1.00, need close monitoring. Achieving these thresholds could indicate a shift in trend, suggesting the onset of a sustainable bullish phase. Breaking through these levels would help clear the upper boundary of the falling wedge, coinciding with resistance around $1.25.


KEY PRICE CATALYSTS & POTENTIAL TRIGGERS

Positive Catalysts

Worldcoin's verified users reached 12M by late 2025, and Eightco Holdings launched a $250M WLD treasury strategy. Integration with platforms like Reddit for bot-resistant IDs hints at real-world utility. Growing adoption strengthens network effects, while institutional accumulation (e.g., $20M from BitMine) may counterbalance retail sell-offs.

Worldcoin's most recent significant technical updates include World App adding transfers and encrypted chat in December 2025 with instant WLD payments and human-verified chat to combat bots, and USDC integration on World Chain in June 2025 enabling native stablecoin transfers.

The U.S. launch in May 2025 opened the door to one of the biggest user bases and brought new attention from both developers and retail users. Growth in the U.S. market and new partnerships helped it recover. A partnership with Nexon put WLD rewards into its 2025 ICONS Match event, and Chainlink now supplies data feeds for the network.

Negative Catalysts & Risks

Regulatory headwinds include ongoing scrutiny over biometric data in multiple countries that threaten expansion. Worldcoin faces bans/investigations in Spain, Thailand, and Germany over privacy concerns linked to its Orb-based iris scans. Recent raids in Thailand (November 2025) highlight operational vulnerabilities.

37.23M WLD (~$18M) unlock weekly until July 2026, adding sell-side pressure. Upcoming unlocks (37M WLD weekly) risk near-term selling pressure.

On 30 January 2026, a severe crypto market crash wiped out over $240 billion in total market cap, leading to more than $2 billion in leveraged position liquidations. Worldcoin was among the hardest-hit altcoins, dropping over 13% as AI coins led the declines. The crash was attributed to geopolitical tensions, a hawkish Fed outlook, and significant spot Bitcoin ETF outflows. This demonstrates WLD's high beta and vulnerability to broader market risk-off sentiment.


FACTORS THAT COULD INVALIDATE PREDICTIONS

Supply Dynamics Risk

The fixed supply of 10 billion WLD tokens, combined with regular emission schedules, creates a scenario where liquidity expansion could outpace demand. If unlock events coincide with bearish market sentiment, the influx of sell orders could drive prices below key support levels.

Regulatory Uncertainty

Sustained regulatory friction may slow user acquisition, directly impacting WLD's utility and price. Conversely, favorable policy shifts could validate its model.

Adoption Execution Risk

Regulatory scrutiny and hardware scalability remain biggest risks, especially as governments tighten data protection laws. Technical indicators point to a consolidation phase, but breaking above $1.40 could unlock targets between $4 and $6 if market sentiment turns bullish. Long-term value depends on execution and real adoption rather than speculation, as Worldcoin's success ultimately relies on proving its identity model works at global scale.

Market Sentiment Volatility

The consensus on WLD is mixed – bullish technical setups clash with bearish regulatory and supply dynamics. While AI partnerships and breakout patterns excite traders, the 19% circulating supply increase since May 2025 and biometric scrutiny keep upside capped. Watch the $1.28 level: sustained closes above could validate bullish momentum, but failure here might reactivate the 2025 downtrend.


PREDICTION RANGE SUMMARY

TimeframeConservativeMid-RangeOptimistic
2025 Year-End$0.55$0.71$4.18
2026 Year-End$0.34$1.48$9.50
2027 Year-End$0.80$2.18$15.70
2028 Year-End$2.47$2.83$21.15
2030 Year-End$3.43$27.75$35.60

SOURCES

  1. CoinCodex - https://coincodex.com/crypto/worldcoin-org/price-prediction/
  2. CoinGape - https://coingape.com/price-predictions/worldcoin-wld-price-prediction/
  3. 3commas - https://3commas.io/predictions/worldcoin-wld
  4. Cryptopolitan - https://www.cryptopolitan.com/worldcoin-price-prediction/
  5. Kraken - https://www.kraken.com/price-prediction/worldcoin
  6. CoinCheckup - https://coincheckup.com/coins/worldcoin-org/predictions
  7. FastBull - https://www.fastbull.com/news-detail/worldcoin-price-prediction-2025-2026--2030
  8. CoinPedia - https://coinpedia.org/price-prediction/worldcoin-wld-price-prediction/
  9. TradersUnion - https://tradersunion.com/currencies/forecast/wld-usd/
  10. CoinMarketCap AI - https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/worldcoin-org/price-prediction/
  11. DigitalCoinPrice - https://digitalcoinprice.com/forecast/worldcoin-org
  12. Finst - https://finst.com/en/crypto/worldcoin/prediction
  13. CoinLore - https://www.coinlore.com/coin/worldcoin-wld/forecast/price-prediction
  14. MEXC - https://www.mexc.com/price-prediction/WLD
  15. Binance - https://www.binance.com/en/price-prediction/worldcoin-org
  16. AInvest - https://www.ainvest.com/news/worldcoin-wld-liquidity-dynamics-institutional-interest
  17. CoinCub - https://coincub.com/price-prediction/worldcoin/
  18. BlockDAG - https://blockdag.network/blog/worldcoin-wld-price-prediction

How high can Worldcoin (WLD) go?

Worldcoin (WLD) Maximum Price Potential Analysis

Current Market Position

WLD trades at $0.40 as of February 2, 2026, representing a dramatic decline from its peak. Worldcoin's all-time high is $11.80, reached on March 10, 2024, meaning the token has declined approximately 97% from its peak. The current market cap stands at approximately $1.1 billion on a fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $4.1 billion.

Historical Context and ATH Analysis

The March 2024 peak occurred during the project's early momentum phase, driven by speculative interest in Sam Altman's involvement and the novel identity verification concept. The worst performing year for Worldcoin was 2025 when the price decreased by -77.07% from $2.10 to $0.4817, reflecting sustained selling pressure despite ecosystem development. This price action indicates that fundamental progress has not yet translated into sustained demand.

Supply Dynamics and Dilution Impact

Supply represents a critical constraint on price appreciation. Approximately 2,724,991,759 Worldcoin (27.25% of total supply) has been unlocked, with significant additional tokens scheduled for release. The circulating supply of WLD tokens ramps up sharply from mid-2024 through 2026, reaching significant volumes by mid-2026. Linear unlock schedule releases a steady stream of new supply daily, estimated to be around $12.4 million per day in value.

This ongoing dilution creates substantial headwinds. For price appreciation to occur, demand must exceed the daily $12.4 million in new supply entering the market. 37.23M WLD (~$18M) unlock weekly until July 2026, with 60% of the 10B total supply earmarked for community grants.

Adoption Metrics and Network Growth

More than 26M people have joined World Network by creating an account in World App, and more than 12M people have an Orb-verified World ID. Worldcoin's verified users reached 12M by late 2025. While this represents meaningful adoption, it remains modest relative to the project's billion-person ambition.

More than 10 million people in 160 countries have created a World ID and compatible wallet, performing 75 million transactions. However, transaction volume does not necessarily correlate with token demand, as many transactions may occur in stablecoins or ETH on World Chain.

Ecosystem Development: World Chain

World Chain enables migration of 10M+ users from OP Mainnet, built on the OP Stack and integrated with the Worldcoin protocol, secured by Ethereum as an L2. All World App users (currently numbering over 10 million) will be migrated onto World Chain.

Worldcoin user transactions account for about 50% of OP Mainnet's activity, sometimes rising to over 80% during peak periods. This demonstrates network congestion rather than necessarily indicating strong token utility. ETH remains the ecosystem's native token, but users will also have the option to pay using WLD, suggesting WLD remains optional rather than essential.

Market Cap Comparison Analysis

Current State:

  • Market Cap: $1.1 billion
  • FDV: $4.1 billion
  • Rank: ~53-61 by market cap

Comparable Projects:

  • Ethereum ecosystem tokens typically trade at $5-50 billion market caps
  • Identity/verification projects remain niche within crypto
  • Layer 2 solutions range from $500 million to $10+ billion

At current price ($0.40), WLD would need to reach $1.18 to return to ATH. This represents a 195% increase from current levels but remains 97% below the peak valuation.

Total Addressable Market (TAM) Analysis

The TAM for digital identity verification is substantial—potentially 8 billion people globally. However, Worldcoin's addressable market faces constraints:

  • Regulatory restrictions in major markets (Spain, Hong Kong, France have suspended operations)
  • Privacy concerns limiting adoption in developed nations
  • Competition from government-backed digital ID systems
  • Biometric data collection concerns limiting institutional adoption

Global crypto adoption reached 9.9% in 2026, with 559M users worldwide. Even if Worldcoin captured 50% of global crypto users, this represents approximately 280 million potential users—far below the billion-person target.

Network Effects and Adoption Curve

Network effects remain underdeveloped. Integration with platforms like Reddit for bot-resistant IDs hints at real-world utility, but these remain limited integrations. Razer began incorporating World ID to facilitate "human-only" modes or servers in games, representing early but narrow use cases.

For meaningful network effects, WLD would require:

  • Widespread integration across major platforms (currently limited)
  • Mandatory use cases driving token demand (not yet established)
  • Ecosystem applications generating sustainable demand (nascent stage)

Regulatory and Limiting Factors

Global regulators target Worldcoin's Orb tech—Spain/Hong Kong suspend scans, 90% tokens held by top 100 wallets, centralization and surveillance concerns overshadow adoption. These regulatory headwinds represent material constraints on expansion into major markets.

Regulatory restrictions on biometric data collection in major markets could limit growth. The EU, UK, and other developed markets have expressed concerns about biometric data collection and privacy implications.

Price Scenario Analysis

Conservative Scenario ($0.75-$1.25 by 2027):

  • Modest adoption growth to 20-30M verified users
  • Limited platform integrations beyond gaming/niche applications
  • Regulatory acceptance in select emerging markets
  • Market cap: $2.1-3.5 billion (FDV basis)
  • Drivers: Gradual ecosystem maturation, World Chain stabilization
  • Constraints: Continued supply dilution, regulatory uncertainty

Base Scenario ($1.50-$2.50 by 2027-2028):

  • Adoption reaches 50-75M verified users
  • Meaningful integration with 3-5 major platforms
  • Regulatory clarity in most markets except EU/UK
  • Market cap: $4.2-7.0 billion (FDV basis)
  • Drivers: Proven utility in payments/identity, institutional adoption, AI integration
  • Constraints: Supply reaching 50%+ of total, competition from alternatives

Optimistic Scenario ($4.00-$8.00 by 2029-2030):

  • Adoption reaches 200-300M verified users
  • Widespread platform integration (major social networks, financial services)
  • Regulatory acceptance globally except select jurisdictions
  • Market cap: $14-28 billion (FDV basis)
  • Drivers: Universal basic income implementations, AI agent licensing, government partnerships
  • Constraints: Requires breakthrough in regulatory acceptance and institutional adoption

Key Catalysts for Appreciation

  1. OpenAI Integration: Worldcoin surged 40% on news of its integration into OpenAI's future social network, though price already pulled back by 20%, indicating speculative interest but weak follow-through.

  2. Institutional Adoption: Institutional accumulation (e.g., $20M from BitMine) may counterbalance retail sell-offs.

  3. Government Partnerships: World had partnerships with the governments of Taiwan and Malaysia concerning digital identity verification.

  4. Developer Ecosystem: Worldcoin introduced a "Grow Program" to incentivize mini app developers, bullish for WLD as it incentivizes third-party development crucial for long-term ecosystem growth.

Realistic Ceiling Assessment

A realistic maximum price potential for WLD depends on achieving several conditions simultaneously:

  • $3-5 range: Requires 100M+ verified users, meaningful platform integrations, and regulatory acceptance in 50%+ of addressable markets. This represents a $10.5-17.5 billion FDV.

  • $5-10 range: Would require Worldcoin to become a standard identity layer across major platforms and financial systems, with 300M+ users and institutional adoption. This represents a $17.5-35 billion FDV—comparable to major Layer 2 solutions.

  • $10+ range: Would require Worldcoin to achieve near-ubiquitous adoption as a global identity standard, with government backing and integration into critical financial infrastructure. This represents a $35+ billion FDV and remains speculative.

The ATH of $11.80 reflected peak speculative enthusiasm rather than fundamental valuation. Returning to that level would require demonstrating that Worldcoin has become an essential infrastructure layer rather than an optional identity verification tool.

Supply Pressure Reality

The ongoing supply dilution creates a structural headwind. Current yearly supply inflation rate is 195.25% meaning 1.83B WLD were created in the last year. Even with strong adoption growth, demand must exceed this daily dilution to drive price appreciation.

Conclusion

Worldcoin's maximum realistic price potential ranges from $2-5 in a base case scenario (2-3x current price) to $5-10 in an optimistic scenario (12-25x current price), contingent on achieving widespread adoption and regulatory acceptance. Reaching the previous ATH of $11.80 would require exceptional circumstances including government-level adoption and becoming a critical infrastructure component.

The primary constraints are ongoing supply dilution, regulatory uncertainty in major markets, and the need to demonstrate utility beyond identity verification. Current price action suggests market skepticism about near-term catalysts, with supply pressure overwhelming adoption-driven demand.


Sources:

  1. https://www.coinbase.com/price/worldcoin-org
  2. https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/worldcoin
  3. https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/worldcoin-org/
  4. https://coincodex.com/crypto/worldcoin-org/
  5. https://www.chainalysis.com/blog/2025-global-crypto-adoption-index/
  6. https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/worldcoin-org/latest-updates/
  7. https://bitcoinworld.co.in/worldcoin-price-prediction-2026-2030-2/
  8. https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/worldcoin-org/price-prediction/
  9. https://ventureburn.com/wld-price-prediction/
  10. https://world.org/blog/announcements/introducing-world-chain
  11. https://world.org/blog/announcements/worldcoin-foundation-launches-world-chain-developer-preview
  12. https://www.developer-tech.com/news/sam-altman-blockchain-project-world-chain-developers/
  13. https://blockworks.co/news/worldcoin-teases-world-chain-layer-2
  14. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_(blockchain)
  15. https://www.tokenomist.ai/worldcoin-wld
  16. https://research.kaiko.com/insights/worldcoin
  17. https://www.mexc.com/price/WLD/tokenomics
  18. https://phemex.com/academy/what-is-worldcoin-wld
  19. https://world.org/blog/foundational-topics/the-circulating-supply-of-worldcoin-wld-an-explainer
  20. https://www.demandsage.com/crypto-adoption-statistics/
  21. https://coinlaw.io/cryptocurrency-adoption-statistics/
  22. https://www.security.org/digital-security/cryptocurrency-annual-consumer-report/

How to buy Worldcoin (WLD)?

Comprehensive Guide to Purchasing Worldcoin (WLD)

Quick Overview of Purchase Options

Worldcoin is available on major exchanges including Binance, KuCoin, Kraken and Bybit. Buyers can acquire WLD through centralized exchanges, decentralized platforms, or payment processors that support direct fiat conversions. Worldcoin can be traded with many fiat currencies including KRW, TRY, EUR, USD, INR and many stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, FDUSD.


Major Exchanges and Platforms

Centralized Exchanges

ExchangeFeaturesPayment MethodsNotes
BinanceLargest amount of Worldcoin trading with fiat is done on BinanceFiat, crypto, bank transferHighest liquidity and trading volume
CoinbaseWorldcoin is available on Coinbase's centralized exchange; can buy with bank account, debit card, or wire transferBank account, debit card, wire transferUS-focused; check regional availability
KrakenMultiple payment methods including bank wire, ACH purchase, credit/debit cardBank transfer, card, ACHSupports 400+ assets
KuCoinListed as major exchange for WLDMultiple optionsGlobal accessibility

Payment Processors and Ramps

MoonPay accepts most major credit and debit cards including VISA and MasterCard; enter the amount in WLD or fiat currency, then enter your crypto wallet address. The minimum amount you can purchase is $20.

MetaMask supports payment methods including credit card, debit card, bank account, Apple Pay, Google Pay, PayPal, PIX, Gcash and local exchanges.

Decentralized Options

Trust Wallet supports millions of assets and blockchains for decentralized exchange trading.


Step-by-Step Purchase Guide: Binance Method

Step 1: Create and Verify Account

  1. Visit Binance.com and click "Register"
  2. Enter email address and create a strong password
  3. Complete email verification
  4. Provide identity verification documents (photo ID and proof of address)
  5. Complete phone number verification

Step 2: Add Funding Method

  1. Navigate to "Wallet" → "Fiat and Spot"
  2. Select "Deposit" and choose your currency
  3. Select payment method (bank transfer, card, or other options)
  4. Follow the platform's instructions to link your account

Step 3: Purchase WLD

  1. Go to "Buy Crypto" section
  2. Select WLD as the cryptocurrency
  3. Enter the amount in your local currency
  4. Review the exchange rate and fees
  5. Confirm and complete payment

Step 4: Receive Tokens

  1. WLD will appear in your Binance wallet
  2. You can hold it on the exchange or transfer to a personal wallet

Recommended Wallets for Storing WLD

Hot Wallets (Software-Based)

The World App is Worldcoin's official wallet and is user-friendly; you can use it to hold, send, and receive WLD.

MetaMask supports Worldcoin cryptocurrency, allowing users to manage their Worldcoin funds directly within their web browser.

Zengo is compatible with iOS and Android devices and delivers unmatched security with its keyless entry system, enhanced by cutting-edge cryptographic measures like biometric authentication, cloud backup, and Web3 Dapp integration.

MyEtherWallet (MEW) is a non-custodial wallet where you retain full control over your private keys; it offers integration through the mobile app and Enkrypt browser extension.

Cold Wallets (Hardware-Based)

For maximum security, it is recommended to store WLD on a hardware wallet like a Ledger device; these devices keep your private keys offline, making them more resistant to hacking, and Ledger supports WLD.

The best wallet for storing Worldcoin is one that keeps your private keys offline while remaining easy to manage; Tangem offers this balance by placing keys in an offline card that you tap with your phone.


Trading Pairs Available

Worldcoin is trading on 78 cryptocurrency exchanges across 110 trading pairs; you can trade Worldcoin with many fiat currencies including KRW, TRY, EUR, USD, INR and many stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, FDUSD.

In the past 24 hours, Tether, KRW, and USD Coin have been the top three trading pairs for Worldcoin.


KYC Requirements Overview

On some exchanges, you will need to go through KYC, so you will need a photo ID and phone number to get SMS verifications.

Expect basic KYC for most purchases, and full identity checks for larger amounts; Simplex and similar processors enable many card flows, offering one-time KYC to speed repeat buys.

How much WLD you can buy will depend on your account limit, with higher purchases requiring increasing/different KYC levels.


Regional Availability Notes

United States Restrictions:
Eligibility for Worldcoin (WLD) tokens is restricted based on geography, age, and other factors; WLD are not intended to be available to U.S. residents.

The platform lists Hawaii, New York, Nevada, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands as places where crypto trading is not available on certain exchanges.

Other Regions:
As of late 2024, operations are limited or under suspension in France, the United Kingdom, South Korea, Brazil, Spain, Portugal, and Hong Kong.


Security Best Practices

Private Key Management:
WLD tokens are ledger entries at blockchain public addresses controlled via private keys; loss or compromise of private keys stored in software, hardware wallets, crypto marketplaces, or other means will result in permanent, irretrievable loss of tokens.

Two-Factor Authentication:
Enable two-factor authentication (2FA) for an added layer of security; use strong, unique passwords and avoid sharing them with anyone.

Seed Phrase Protection:
Make sure to back up your wallet's recovery seed phrase and store it securely; this is the key to restoring your wallet if you lose access to your device.

Hardware Wallet Encryption:
Tangem is IP69K water and dustproof, built to protect against extreme temperatures, EMPs, ESCs, and X-RAYS; an access code and biometric authentication protect against unauthorized access, and private keys are generated and stored on its EAL6+ CC secure element.


Alternative Purchase Methods

Free WLD Through Verification:
Users download the World App, which acts as their main interface and crypto wallet, then verify their identity by visiting a Worldcoin Orb, receiving both a World ID and 25 WLD tokens as a reward for confirming they are a unique human.

Decentralized Swaps:
Trading Worldcoin (WLD) for ETH, WBTC, or SOL can be done directly in MetaMask.


Official Resources