Official Trump (TRUMP) Faces Continued Volatility Amid Foreign Investment Controversy

Price Decline and Market Performance

As of February 4, 2026, Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $4.22, marking a significant decline from its all-time high. The token reached an all-time high of $73.43, indicating a substantial pullback from peak valuations. The cryptocurrency has experienced a -5.50% price decline in the last 24 hours and a -8.40% price decline in the past 7 days.

The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #58, with a live market cap of $962,390,225 USD. The trading volume of Official Trump (TRUMP) is $328,754,440.60 in the last 24 hours, representing a 101.80% increase from one day ago and signalling a recent rise in market activity.

UAE Investment Sparks Ethics Concerns

A major development emerged regarding the Trump family's broader cryptocurrency operations. An investment firm tied to the United Arab Emirates acquired nearly half of the Trump family's cryptocurrency company, a $500 million stake, four days before President Donald Trump's second inauguration.

The deal, signed by the president's son Eric Trump, gave the Emirati-backed firm a 49% stake in World Liberty Financial, the Trump-linked crypto venture co-founded by family members of the president and Steve Witkoff, his top envoy to the Middle East.

Regulatory and Political Backlash

Merkley and Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer introduced a bill to ban senior executive branch officials—including Trump—and their family from profiting off of cryptocurrency. Representative Sam Liccardo, a Democrat who represents Silicon Valley, introduced the Modern Emoluments and Malfeasance Enforcement Act (MEME Act), which would prohibit the issuance or endorsement of any financial asset by the president, senior White House officials, or members of Congress, or their spouses or children.

Token Distribution and Ownership

The initial release of $TRUMP comprised 1 billion tokens, with 200 million made available to the public during the initial coin offering (ICO) on January 17, 2025. The remaining 800 million tokens are retained by two Trump-affiliated entities, CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC, with plans for gradual release over the next three years.

Official Trump (TRUMP) Price Analysis - 24 Hour Movement

Current Price Performance

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $4.14 with a -1.97% decline over the last 24 hours. The token has experienced modest downward pressure, with an additional -0.29% decline in the past hour.

Market Metrics

• Market Capitalization: $962.8 million
• 24-Hour Trading Volume: $267.9 million
• Fully Diluted Valuation: $4.14 billion
• Available Supply: 232.5 million TRUMP tokens
• Total Supply: 1 billion tokens

Price Movement Context

The 24-hour decline of -1.97% represents a relatively contained pullback for a volatile asset. More significantly, TRUMP has declined -12.73% over the past 7 days, indicating a broader downtrend beyond today's session. The hourly decline of -0.29% suggests stabilization or consolidation at current levels.

Key Observations

The token maintains substantial liquidity with $267.9 million in daily trading volume, supporting its rank of 66 in the broader cryptocurrency market. The gap between market cap ($962.8M) and fully diluted valuation ($4.14B) reflects the significant portion of tokens not yet in circulation, which could present dilution risks as supply increases over time.

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Note: This analysis is based on current market data. TRUMP is a highly volatile asset, and price movements can be influenced by broader market sentiment, regulatory developments, and social media activity.

Official Trump (TRUMP) Market Sentiment Analysis

Overall Sentiment: Bearish

The community is bearish about Official Trump (TRUMP) today. The Official Trump price prediction sentiment is currently bearish, while Fear & Greed Index is showing 26 (Fear). This represents a significant shift from the token's launch momentum, with market participants adopting a cautious stance toward the asset.

Price Performance Indicators

OFFICIAL TRUMP is down 2.25% in the last 24 hours. Over longer timeframes, the decline is more pronounced: OFFICIAL TRUMP price has fallen by −12.71% over the last week, its month performance shows a −20.34% decrease, and as for the last year, OFFICIAL TRUMP has decreased by −78.95%.

Current market metrics show:

• The live OFFICIAL TRUMP price today is $4.14 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $243,599,365 USD.
• The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #58, with a live market cap of $962,390,225 USD.

Social Media and Community Sentiment

In the last 24 hours, across all social media platforms, OFFICIAL TRUMP has an average sentiment score of 4.6 out of 5. However, this positive metric contrasts with more nuanced findings: On Twitter, people are mostly neutral about OFFICIAL TRUMP. More specifically, There were 43.16% of tweets with bullish sentiment compared to 5.13% of tweets with a bearish sentiment about OFFICIAL TRUMP.

1,464 unique individuals are talking about OFFICIAL TRUMP and it is ranked #16 in most mentions and activity from collected posts. This indicates moderate community engagement, though declining from peak levels.

Trading Patterns and Volume Dynamics

The trading volume of Official Trump (TRUMP) is $328,754,440.60 in the last 24 hours, representing a 101.80% increase from one day ago and signalling a recent rise in market activity. This volume surge suggests renewed trading interest despite bearish sentiment.

Historical context reveals significant deterioration: The meme coin saw $36 billion worth of trading volume alongside Trump's inauguration on January 20, but that daily mark fell by 90% to $3.5 billion on Wednesday. One in five wallets—or 125,000 wallets—have since cashed in.

Fundamental Concerns and Sentiment Drivers

The Official TRUMP team deposited 381,000 TRUMP tokens, worth approximately $2 million, to a Binance address, potentially impacting market dynamics. Multiple claims allege the Trump family profited over $300M from memecoins linked to the TRUMP ecosystem.

Despite its initial success, $TRUMP has faced substantial criticism and ethical concerns. Experts argue that the President's direct involvement in a financial venture like this presents potential conflicts of interest, especially given his influential position.

Sentiment Volatility Factors

Like many meme coins, TRUMP's value fluctuates based on social media hype, investor sentiment, and news coverage. Increased engagement could fuel rallies, while negative press may trigger declines.

The announcement lifted the token's price by 3.3%, but the move was not enough to alter the prevailing bearish sentiment. This demonstrates the difficulty in sustaining positive momentum despite positive developments.

Technical Sentiment Indicators

According to the 1 week rating TRUMP shows the sell signal. The token has lost significant momentum as bearish sentiment dominates and price action stays below major EMAs.

Regulatory and Reputational Risk

The accompanying calls for investigations and regulatory scrutiny introduce systemic risk. The market's reaction is often mixed: some see the massive reported profits as a successful endorsement, while others view the potential for increased regulatory oversight as a serious long-term threat to the token's stability.

OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

CURRENT MARKET STATUS

The live OFFICIAL TRUMP price today is $4.14 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $243,599,365 USD. OFFICIAL TRUMP is down 2.25% in the last 24 hours with a live market cap of $962,390,225 USD.

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KEY SUPPORT LEVELS

Primary Support Zones:

• $5.56–$5.68 support zone (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement + pivot point)
• Support at $12.52
• Trading within a range of $4.98 to $6.64, with these levels serving as key support and resistance levels
• $4.57 support

Critical Support:

• As long as $7.13 holds, the possibility of a rebound toward key resistance levels remains strong. However, a breakdown below this support would likely extend the bearish continuation.

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KEY RESISTANCE LEVELS

Primary Resistance Zones:

• Resistance at $5.74 (7-day SMA) and $6.07 (Fibonacci 61.8%)
• The first major resistance level for TRUMP is at $6.64, and if the price manages to break above this level, the next resistance levels to watch out for are $8.36 and $9.66
• Major resistance levels lie at $21.55 and $28.95

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TECHNICAL INDICATORS

Relative Strength Index (RSI):

• RSI (14) at 38.43 suggests room for recovery if bulls defend $5.50
• RSI-7 at 21.87 signals oversold conditions but lacks reversal catalysts

MACD Analysis:

• MACD histogram turned positive (+0.014) for the first time in 7 days, signaling momentum shift
• MACD histogram (-0.0102) shows bearish momentum accelerating

Moving Averages:

• TRUMP trades below critical SMAs (7-day: $5.52; 30-day: $6.02) and tests Fibonacci support at $5.19

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CHART PATTERNS

Consolidation Structure:

• The TRUMP/USD pair is consolidating near the strong horizontal support zone at 12.45–12.15, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous bullish leg

Descending Triangle Formation:

• The most notable feature on the chart is the descending triangle formation where the price is consolidating while showing strong bullish divergences across multiple indicators

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TRADING VOLUME ANALYSIS

24-hour trading volume stands at $243,599,365 USD. The token remains vulnerable to broader meme coin weakness (-25.97% MTD) and concentrated insider ownership (80% supply locked).

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SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK (1-7 Days)

• RSI at 38.43 suggests room for recovery if bulls defend $5.50
• Resistance at $5.74 (7-day SMA) and $6.07 (Fibonacci 61.8%) could cap gains without volume surge
• Failure to reclaim $5.80 resistance could trigger a drop to $4.57 support

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MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks)

• From a total of 17 technical indicators, 6 calls to buy, and 10 to sell, the prediction sentiment short-term is bearish based on technical price analysis
• Should the memecoin keep trading below this resistance point, it could be challenging for the token to resume the uptrend
• Key watch: Can TRUMP hold above $5.50 amid December's token unlocks? Failure here risks retesting the 2025 low of $5.56.

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RISK FACTORS

• Increased circulating supply (199M → 274M by 2026) dilutes holdings and incentivizes profit-taking. Historical unlocks have coincided with price drops: TRUMP fell 73% from its $73 peak in 2024 after initial unlocks began.
• Concentrated insider ownership (80% supply locked)

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