Sei Network Experiences Mixed Market Signals Amid Major Ecosystem Developments

Recent Price Action and Market Performance

Sei (SEI) is trading at $0.08579 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $55,193,877.82 USD. The token has faced recent headwinds, with a price decline of -19.60% in the last 7 days, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market.

Major Exchange Support for Network Upgrade

Major exchange OKX supports Sei's mainnet upgrade, ensuring smooth user transitions. Binance announced its support for the upcoming Sei (SEI) network upgrade. OKX announced it will support the upcoming Sei Network mainnet upgrade, halting deposits and withdrawals during the process to ensure security and stability, though trading remains unaffected.

Institutional DeFi Integration

Ondo's yield-bearing stablecoin USDY integrates with Sei, boosting DeFi appeal. Ondo Finance deployed its yield-generating stablecoin USDY on Sei Network, backed by short-term U.S. Treasuries, leveraging Sei's speed for near-instant settlements.

Technical Infrastructure Upgrades

Sei's core team is finalizing SIP-3 (Giga upgrade), shifting to an EVM-only architecture to eliminate Cosmos SDK dependencies, targeting 200K+ TPS with sub-400ms finality. SeiDB Storage Overhaul in October 2025 cut state size by 60% and improved sync speeds.

Ecosystem Activity and User Engagement

SEI crossed one million active accounts in December, making it the most active EVM-compatible chain at the time. Sei ended staking promo but maintains strong DEX volumes, signaling organic demand.

Market Outlook and Technical Analysis

Technical sentiment remains divided. Bearish technicals warn of breakdown risks below $0.089, with SEI trading at $0.09176, anchored near support at $0.089. However, bullish potential targets $0.30 – $0.80+ for the year.

SEI Price Analysis: 24-Hour Movement

Current Price and Performance

SEI is trading at $0.085790 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $55,193,878 USD, down 4.21% in the last 24 hours. The decline represents a continuation of broader weakness, with SEI down 19.60% over the last 7 days, underperforming the global cryptocurrency market which is down 14.90%.

Market Metrics

SEI holds a market cap ranking of #75 with a live market cap of $567,261,488 USD. Trading volume increased 39.30% from the previous day to $66,651,027.23 in the last 24 hours, signalling a recent rise in market activity.

Key Drivers of Price Decline

SEI's decline reflects a combination of technical triggers, sector-wide caution, and delayed price recognition of ecosystem growth as network activity increased – $699M in bridge inflows (within 30 days) and a $8.98B stablecoin market cap. Current sentiment is bearish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 25 (Extreme Fear).

Technical Indicators

The RSI value is at 38.35, indicating that the SEI market is in a neutral position. However, on the 1 day time frame, Sei is currently trending bearish with the 50 day moving average currently sloping down and above the current SEI price, which could act as a resistance.

Broader Context

Despite the price decline, SEI Network daily active addresses surged to 1.4 million in late 2025 despite 90% token price decline, with the network maintaining $185 million TVL with 100% uptime and processing 2 million daily transactions. This disconnect between network fundamentals and token price reflects the broader market sentiment affecting the sector.

Market Sentiment Analysis: SEI (SEI)

Overall Sentiment: Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Long-Term

Current technical sentiment is bearish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 25 (Extreme Fear). However, this contrasts with underlying ecosystem fundamentals that remain robust.

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Price Performance & Technical Indicators

SEI represents a -3.20% price decline in the last 24 hours and a -19.60% price decline in the past 7 days. The token is currently trading at approximately $0.083 USD with a market capitalization of $549 million.

Technical analysis shows 7 indicators signaling bullish signals, and 21 signaling bearish signals. The RSI value is at 38.35, which indicates that the SEI market is in a neutral position.

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Social Media & Community Sentiment

Across all social media platforms, Sei has an average sentiment score of 4.4 out of 5. However, sentiment distribution shows mixed positioning:

• 42.47% of tweets show bullish sentiment compared to 11.57% bearish sentiment, with 57.53% neutral
• On Reddit, Sei was mentioned in 91 posts with 2001 comments, showing less upvotes compared to downvotes on posts and more upvotes on comments

The SEI Network community is mostly optimistic, with people excited about institutional progress and technical upgrades, with overall sentiment around 80 to 90 percent positive, although a small group is unhappy with the $SEI price not moving much despite good news.

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Trader Positioning & Market Dynamics

Sei's social buzz oscillates between bearish technical warnings and bullish long-term bets, with bearish technicals warning of breakdown risks below $0.089 and bulls eyeing $0.30–$0.80+ by 2026 despite market headwinds.

Key drivers include technical breakdown with failed pivot point hold at $0.127, oversold RSI (21.52), and extreme fear sentiment (Index 16) amid altcoin weakness during Bitcoin Season.

Trading volume of SEI is $66,651,027.23 in the last 24 hours, representing a 39.30% increase from one day ago and signalling a recent rise in market activity.

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Recent Sentiment Shifts & Catalysts

Positive Developments:

OKX backs Sei upgrade, Ondo launches USDY on Sei, and exchange support for upgrades reduces user friction and enhances network credibility, potentially attracting more developers and users post-upgrade.

Institutional progress has been a big topic, with the updated Staked SEI ETF filing and SEI's inclusion in Coinbase's COIN50 Index seen as important steps toward regulated and long-term adoption.

Sei's pre-installation on 170 million Xiaomi phones annually starting Q2 2026 generated community enthusiasm about mainstream adoption and practical use cases.

Headwinds:

SEI is caught in a broader risk-off rotation, with its decline reflecting a combination of technical triggers, sector-wide caution, and delayed price recognition of ecosystem growth.

The biggest factor is the vesting schedule which releases large supply of tokens through 2027, making short-term (2025) high-risk due to vesting pressure and technical downtrends.

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Ecosystem Activity vs. Price Disconnect

SEI Network daily active addresses surged to 1.4 million in late 2025 despite 90% token price decline. DEX volumes remain robust, indicating sustained user engagement, which is neutral for SEI because while promotional incentives end, persistent organic DEX activity suggests genuine platform utility rather than temporary speculation.

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Risk Score Assessment

The platform's risk score stands at 54.48, indicating moderate risk positioning within the cryptocurrency market.

SEI Technical Analysis: Key Support & Resistance Levels

Current Price & Market Data

Price: $0.0831 USD Market Cap: $549.05M 24h Volume: $62.11M 24h Change: -3.39% 7d Change: -20.45% Risk Score: 54.48 (Moderate)

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Technical Indicators

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI value is at 38.35, which indicates that the SEI market is in a neutral position. This reading suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, with room for movement in either direction.

Moving Averages

On the daily chart, exponential moving averages show a bearish signal. Sei price currently sits below all exponential moving averages. This positioning indicates weakness in the intermediate trend structure.

MACD

According to the MACD, in the 1 Week timeframe, Sei is currently trending bearish since the MACD signal line moved below 50 periods ago, and the histogram has been negative for 50 periods.

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Key Support Levels

Primary Support Zones:

• SEI trades at $0.09176, anchored near support at $0.089. Bearish continuation emerges on breakdown below $0.089, exposing $0.08 support.
• The fate of SEI rests entirely on the $0.14 – $0.15 support zone.
• The price must first undergo a short-term shakeout down to the $0.09 – $0.10 structural floor to clear weak hands.

Secondary Support:

• $0.08 (critical floor level)
• $0.105 (double bottom formation)

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Key Resistance Levels

Primary Resistance:

• The first major resistance level for SEI is at $0.1220, and if the price manages to break above this level, the next resistance levels to watch out for are $0.1742 and $0.2070.

Secondary Resistance Zones:

• Traders will closely watch whether SEI can break out of its descending channel and reclaim the $0.15–$0.18 resistance zone, which would validate the bullish thesis.
• $0.25 (historical support that has held)

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Chart Patterns

Descending Channel

The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.

Double Bottom Formation

Technical analysis identifies a clean double bottom structure on the 4-hour timeframe near the $0.105 level, suggesting potential reversal setup if this level holds.

Falling Wedge Pattern

SEI price is showing a Bullish Pattern of Falling Wedge Pattern, when this pattern will create on chart after price will be upward direction.

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Trading Volume Analysis

Current 24-hour volume of $62.11M reflects moderate liquidity. Despite the end, decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes remain robust, indicating sustained user engagement. This is neutral for SEI because while promotional incentives end, persistent organic DEX activity suggests genuine platform utility rather than temporary speculation.

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Short-Term Outlook (Hourly to Daily)

Bearish Bias: Price action remains constrained below exponential moving averages with RSI in neutral territory. Breakdown below $0.089 would trigger accelerated selling toward $0.08.

Bullish Conditions: A hold above $0.105 with RSI crossing above 50 could signal reversal potential toward $0.1220 resistance.

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Medium-Term Outlook (Weekly to Monthly)

SEI broke above $0.115 in late 2025-a critical resistance level held since August 2023-suggesting a possible trend reversal. However, 55.56M token unlock in Jan 2026 poses sell pressure risks amid $0.15–$0.18 resistance zone.

The price forecast suggests a period of consolidation at the bottom before the next rally can begin, aiming to reclaim the R1 and R2 levels.

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Critical Levels Summary

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