Tezos (XTZ) Daily Market Analysis

Tezos (XTZ) Price Declines Amid Market Volatility

Tezos is trading at $0.593387 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $47,500,388 USD, as the blockchain network experiences recent price pressure. The token is down 1.08% in the last 24 hours, though it has gained 7.00% over the last 7 days, outperforming the global cryptocurrency market which is up 4.10%.

Tezos currently ranks #80 by market capitalization with a live market cap of $636,413,027 USD.

Recent Protocol Developments

The Tezos protocol was activated successfully on September 19, 2025, with the 19th upgrade offering stronger security and greater flexibility to institutional users through protocol-native multisig accounts. The upgrade introduced aggregated attestations for lower latency and faster finality, and enabled one-click unstaking of funds.

Layer 2 Growth and Ecosystem Expansion

Tezos EVM Etherlink completed 2025 with a technical upgrade, achieved 5566% TVL growth, and integrated major DeFi protocols, marking a transformative year. In Q2 2025, Tezos fees rose to over 109,000 XTZ across L1 and Etherlink, marking a 324% quarter-over-quarter increase, while Etherlink processed 20.5 million transactions, up 474% from Q1, and reached $41.7 million in TVL.

Community Sentiment

On Twitter, people are mostly bullish about Tezos, with 63.91% of tweets showing bullish sentiment compared to 5.5% bearish sentiment.

Tezos (XTZ) 24-Hour Price Analysis

Current Price and Performance

XTZ is up 5.28% in the last 24 hours, trading at $0.5916 USD with a market capitalization of $634.6 million. Tezos is outperforming the global cryptocurrency market which is up 4.10%, while outperforming similar Smart Contract Platform cryptocurrencies which are up 5.20%.

Market Activity

Trading volume of Tezos (XTZ) is $47.1 million in the last 24 hours, representing a -11.60% decrease from one day ago. Despite the volume decline, the price movement demonstrates sustained buying interest.

Key Drivers

Tezos EVM Etherlink completed 2025 with a technical upgrade, achieved 5566% TVL growth, and integrated major DeFi protocols, marking a transformative year. The network just rolled out its 18th protocol upgrade and boosted its Layer-2 (Etherlink), which is attracting new validators and real-world adoption like crypto payments at retailers.

Weekly Context

With a price increase of 7.00% in the last 7 days, Tezos (XTZ) is outperforming the global cryptocurrency market, indicating sustained upward momentum beyond the 24-hour period.

TEZOS (XTZ) MARKET SENTIMENT ANALYSIS

Overall Sentiment Assessment

Current technical indicators signal bearish sentiment while the Fear & Greed Index shows 26 (Fear). The market sentiment for XTZ remains mixed, with conflicting signals between short-term technical weakness and longer-term fundamental optimism.

Technical and Price Action Indicators

Short-Term Bearish Signals:

• Tezos recorded 15/30 (50%) green days with 5.61% price volatility over the last 30 days
• From a total of 17 technical indicators, 0 calls to buy, and 12 to sell, the prediction sentiment short-term is bearish based on technical price analysis
• The price of XTZ is trading below the SMA50 and SMA200 moving averages, confirming a bearish trend in both the short and long term. The Alligator indicator maintains a bearish bias. The indicator lines are descending, pointing to a prevailing downtrend

Recent Price Performance:

• Current price: $0.5916 USD
• With a price increase of 7.00% in the last 7 days, Tezos (XTZ) is outperforming the global cryptocurrency market which is up 4.10%
• 1-hour change: -1.5%
• 24-hour change: +5.28%

Social Media and Community Sentiment

Over the past 24 hours, the sentiment toward XTZ across all social media has been Bullish. However, broader community engagement metrics show mixed signals:

• 1240 unique individuals are talking about XTZ, ranking it 82 for most mentions and activity among collected posts
• Tezos ranks first in terms of developer activity growth among blockchain projects, with a 646% increase
• Tezos is not widely popular in the media, but the available mentions indicate that the asset is perceived as promising and developing. The moderately positive sentiment is supported by both the technical picture and fundamental data

Market Indicators and Positioning

Fear & Greed Index: The Fear & Greed Index is currently in the neutral zone at the 46 mark, indicating overall uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market

Trading Volume and Liquidity:

• The trading volume of Tezos (XTZ) is $47,146,176.21 in the last 24 hours, representing a -11.60% decrease from one day ago and signalling a recent fall in market activity
• Market cap: $634.6 million (Rank #103)

Fundamental Catalysts and Sentiment Drivers

Positive Developments:

• Tezos posted a quiet yet unmatched rebound during 2025. Development updates coincided with improving sentiment
• Tezos has several key upgrades lined up this year, starting with Tezos X in the first half of 2026
• One of the most important near-term catalysts is the Etherlink Bifröst upgrade. Etherlink is Tezos' EVM-compatible Layer 2, and the Bifröst upgrade is designed to improve interoperability with Ethereum and other EVM chains. If successful, Etherlink could become Tezos' main gateway for EVM-native users and capital

Sentiment Challenges:

• It's now trading -93.20% below that peak and 75.80% above its lowest price, reflecting significant historical losses that weigh on investor confidence

Sentiment Divergence

The market exhibits a notable divergence between short-term technical weakness and medium-to-long-term fundamental optimism. Tezos shows early recovery signs in 2026, supported by technical breakouts and upgrades like Etherlink, but sustained growth depends on real adoption. The community maintains cautious optimism regarding network development, though immediate price momentum remains constrained by bearish technical conditions and declining trading volume.

TEZOS (XTZ) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Current Market Data

• Price: $0.5916
• 24h Change: +5.28%
• 7d Change: +5.9%
• 1h Change: -1.5%
• Market Cap: $634.6M
• 24h Volume: $52.7M
• Risk Score: 53.6 (Moderate)

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Key Support Levels

Key support levels include $0.6001 (tested twice) and $0.5978. Below these immediate supports, XTZ price has jumped to $0.55 support zone, which represents a critical floor for the current trading range. Tezos (XTZ) is currently trading within a range of $0.5505 to $0.6305, with these levels serving as key support and resistance levels.

Support Hierarchy:

• Primary: $0.5978–$0.6001
• Secondary: $0.5505
• Tertiary: $0.55 zone

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Key Resistance Levels

Resistance is likely at $0.6059 and $0.6147 based on Fibonacci retracements and prior failures. This zone acted as resistance earlier, so a daily close above it would confirm a stronger trend shift. If that happens, the next upside targets lie near $0.75 by the end of January 2026.

Resistance Hierarchy:

• Primary: $0.6059–$0.6147
• Secondary: $0.60 (key resistance area)
• Tertiary: $0.75
• Extended: $0.7038

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Technical Indicators

RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI hit oversold levels near $0.5978 while Bollinger Bands expanded post-03:00 ET, signaling heightened volatility and uncertain consolidation. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 47.11, suggesting Natural conditions so market is neither overbought nor oversold.

MACD The 5-minute MACD showed bearish divergence as price failed to close above $0.6150 despite a positive crossover earlier in the day.

Moving Averages The 50-day moving average is above the price and falling, potentially acting as resistance. The 200-day moving average, falling since 22/06/2025, supports a declining trend. 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages are among the most commonly used indicators in the crypto market to identify important resistance and support levels. If the XTZ price moves above any of these averages, it is generally seen as a bullish sign for Tezos.

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Chart Patterns

For several months, Tezos was moving inside a descending channel, marked by lower highs and lower lows. However, recent price action shows XTZ broke above the upper trendline of this channel, which is an early bullish signal.

Recent Price Action: A large bearish engulfing pattern formed around 03:00–04:00 ET after a sharp rally above $0.6200 failed to hold. A doji appeared near $0.6015 at 08:45 ET, hinting at short-term indecision.

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Volume Analysis

Volatility surged after 02:00 ET, with volume spiking past 1M on bullish moves but failing to confirm strength. Key support at $0.6001-$0.5978 and resistance at $0.6060-$0.6147 identified, with volume divergence suggesting potential reversal risks.

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Short-Term Outlook (Hourly to Daily)

According to our latest Tezos price prediction, XTZ is forecasted to drop by -6.95% and reach $ 0.5125 by February 4, 2026. Per our technical indicators, the current sentiment is Bearish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 26 (Fear).

Immediate Concerns:

• Bearish divergence on MACD
• Failed bullish confirmation above $0.6200
• Volume divergence on upside moves
• Price trading below falling 50-day MA

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Medium-Term Outlook (Weekly to Monthly)

If the price breaks through the resistance levels of $0.70 and $0.75, it could undergo a long-term recovery. Tezos shows early recovery signs in 2026, supported by technical breakouts and upgrades like Etherlink, but sustained growth depends on real adoption.

Bullish Scenario:

• Daily close above $0.60 confirms trend shift
• Breakout above $0.75 targets extended resistance
• Etherlink upgrades and Tezos X scalability improvements support upside

Bearish Scenario:

• Break below $0.5505 support opens lower targets
• Continued pressure from falling moving averages
• Volume divergence suggests weakness

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Trading Zones