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Toncoin (TON) 24-Hour Price Analysis

Current Price and Performance

Toncoin (TON) Market Sentiment Analysis

Overall Sentiment Assessment

TONCOIN (TON) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Current Price Action

Price: $1.61 USD
Market Cap: $3.92 billion
24-Hour Volume: $103.5 million

Price Performance

• 1-Hour Change: -3.31%
• 24-Hour Change: -7.48%
• 7-Day Change: -7.90%

Market Structure Analysis

Supply Metrics

• Available Supply: 2.43 billion TON
• Total Supply: 5.15 billion TON
• Fully Diluted Valuation: $8.31 billion

The significant difference between available and total supply indicates substantial future dilution potential, which should be considered in medium-term positioning.

Key Support Levels

Primary Support: $1.50 - $1.55

• Represents the recent consolidation floor
• Aligns with the 7-day decline baseline

Secondary Support: $1.40 - $1.45

• Psychological level and potential capitulation zone
• Would represent approximately 13% downside from current price

Tertiary Support: $1.25 - $1.30

• Longer-term support zone
• Significant distance but relevant for extended downtrends

Key Resistance Levels

Immediate Resistance: $1.70 - $1.75

• Represents the recent swing high
• Requires recovery of intraday losses first

Primary Resistance: $1.85 - $1.95

• Major technical barrier
• Would represent approximately 15-20% upside move

Secondary Resistance: $2.00+

• Psychological round number
• Significant technical level for sustained rallies

Volume Analysis

Current 24-Hour Volume: $103.5 million

• Moderate trading activity relative to market cap
• Volume-to-market-cap ratio suggests selective interest
• Monitor for volume expansion on directional moves

Short-Term Outlook (1-7 Days)

• Trend: Bearish bias with intraday weakness
• Key Watch: Ability to hold $1.50 support
• Volatility: Elevated with -7.48% daily decline
• Action: Watch for stabilization patterns or further breakdown

Medium-Term Outlook (1-4 Weeks)

• Trend: Downtrend in progress
• Key Watch: $1.40 support zone for potential reversal signals
• Dilution Risk: Monitor supply dynamics given 2.1x ratio between total and available supply
• Recovery Potential: Resistance cluster at $1.85-$1.95 represents significant hurdle

Trading Considerations

• Volatility: Recent -7.9% weekly decline indicates elevated price sensitivity
• Liquidity: $103.5M daily volume provides moderate liquidity for position sizing
• Risk/Reward: Current price action favors defensive positioning until support holds
• Supply Overhang: Future token unlocks could pressure price recovery attempts