OUSG (OUSG) - Complete Fundamental Analysis February 2026

OUSG (Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries) is a tokenized fund that brings U.S. Treasury bonds onto the blockchain. Think of it as a digital wrapper around traditional government bonds—you get the safety and yield of U.S. Treasuries with the speed and accessibility of crypto.

What Makes OUSG Unique?

OUSG is issued by Ondo Finance, a company specializing in "real-world asset" (RWA) tokenization. Instead of just being a speculative crypto token, OUSG is backed by actual financial assets:

• BlackRock's BUIDL fund (~$142M)
• Fidelity Treasury Digital Fund (~$151M)
• WisdomTree Treasury Money Market Fund (~$151M)
• Franklin OnChain Government Money Fund (~$150M)
• Other institutional-grade Treasury products

Total backing: ~$684 million in real assets under management.

Key Stats (February 2026)

• Price: $114.25
• Market Cap: $701 million (ranked #82)
• Current Yield: 3.47% APY
• Volatility: Extremely low (0.0167)—this is a stable, bond-like asset
• Available on: Ethereum, Polygon, Solana, XRP Ledger

How It Works

1. Deposit USDC → Ondo converts it to OUSG tokens at current Net Asset Value (NAV)
2. Earn yield daily → As the underlying Treasuries earn interest, your token value increases
3. Redeem anytime → Convert back to USDC instantly, 24/7 (unlike traditional bonds with T+2 settlement)

There are two versions:

• OUSG (Accumulating): Token price rises as yield accrues (currently $114.25)
• rOUSG (Rebasing): Price stays at $1, but you receive more tokens as yield

Who Can Use It?

Catch: OUSG is only available to accredited investors and qualified purchasers (U.S. regulatory requirement). Minimum investment is $5,000 for instant transactions.

Why It Matters

OUSG represents a major trend in crypto: bringing traditional finance on-chain. Instead of purely speculative assets, you get:

• ✅ Government-backed stability
• ✅ Instant 24/7 liquidity
• ✅ DeFi composability (can be used as collateral)
• ✅ Transparent, audited backing

Recent milestone: The SEC closed a multi-year investigation into Ondo in December 2025 without charges, giving the project regulatory clarity.

Bottom Line

OUSG is essentially a crypto-native Treasury bond—low risk, stable yield, and institutional-grade backing. It's not a moonshot investment, but a safe harbor for earning yield on stablecoins while staying in the crypto ecosystem. Perfect for institutional cash management or conservative investors wanting Treasury exposure without leaving DeFi.

OUSG Investment Analysis: Comprehensive Verdict

Based on my multi-source research, here's a complete evaluation of OUSG as an investment:

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What is OUSG?

OUSG (Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries) is a tokenized US Treasury ETF created by Ondo Finance. It's not a traditional cryptocurrency—it's a blockchain-based wrapper around short-term US Treasury bills, primarily backed by BlackRock's BUIDL fund.

Current Stats (February 2026):

• Price: $114.25
• Market Cap: $700.99 Million
• Rank: #82
• Yield: 3.47-3.75% APY
• Volatility: Extremely low (0.0167 score)
• 24h Change: +0.01% (essentially stable)

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Investment Verdict: It Depends on Your Goals

✅ OUSG IS a Good Investment IF You Want:

1. Stable, Government-Backed Yield

   • 3.47-3.75% APY backed by US Treasury securities
   • Extremely low volatility (0.0167)—behaves like a stablecoin with yield
   • Capital preservation during crypto market volatility

2. Institutional-Grade DeFi Access

   • 24/7 instant minting/redemption (vs. traditional T-bill settlement delays)
   • Multi-chain availability (Ethereum, Polygon, Solana, XRP Ledger)
   • Use as collateral in DeFi protocols like Flux Finance

3. Regulatory Compliance & Legitimacy

   • SEC investigation closed without charges (Nov 2025)
   • Partnerships with BlackRock, JPMorgan, Fidelity, State Street
   • Fully compliant with US securities regulations

4. Strong Growth Trajectory

   • TVL grew 6x from $110M (Feb 2024) to $700M+ (Feb 2026)
   • Represents 25% of Ondo Finance's $2.69B total TVL
   • Part of rapidly growing $7.2B+ tokenized Treasury market

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❌ OUSG IS NOT a Good Investment IF You Want:

1. Price Appreciation or Speculative Gains

   • Designed for stability, not growth
   • 24h change: +0.01% | 7-day change: +0.06%
   • Price tracks underlying Treasury value (~$114), not crypto market pumps

2. High Liquidity for Active Trading

   • Daily trading volume: ~$0-157K (extremely low)
   • Difficult to exit large positions quickly on secondary markets
   • Best suited for buy-and-hold strategies

3. Decentralized, Permissionless Access

   • Requires KYC/AML verification
   • $5,000 minimum investment ($100K for non-instant)
   • Restricted to accredited investors in most jurisdictions
   • Centralized custody (not self-custodial)

4. High Crypto-Native Yields

   • 3.47% APY is conservative vs. DeFi staking/lending (often 5-20%+)
   • Better than traditional money markets, but not competitive with riskier crypto yields

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Key Strengths (Why Community is Bullish)

✅ Institutional Validation: BlackRock, JPMorgan, Fidelity, State Street partnerships ✅ Regulatory Clarity: SEC investigation ended without charges ✅ Proven Growth: 6x TVL increase in 2 years ✅ Low Fees: 0.15% management fee (waived until July 2026) ✅ Multi-Chain Deployment: Accessible across major blockchains ✅ 24/7 Liquidity: Instant minting/redemption vs. traditional T-bill delays ✅ Stable Yield: Government-backed returns decoupled from crypto volatility

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Key Risks (What You Need to Know)

⚠️ Centralization: Assets held by custodians, not on-chain—contradicts crypto ethos ⚠️ Regulatory Risk: Tokenized securities remain evolving; future restrictions possible ⚠️ Access Barriers: $5K minimum, KYC required, accredited investor restrictions ⚠️ Low Secondary Liquidity: Minimal trading volume makes large exits difficult ⚠️ Interest Rate Risk: Yields tied to US Treasury rates (currently ~3.5%) ⚠️ Fee Resumption: 0.15% fee waiver ends July 2026, reducing net yield ⚠️ Moderate-High Risk Score: 66.21/100 suggests elevated risk vs. traditional assets

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Community Sentiment (X.com Analysis)

Overwhelmingly Positive (100% bullish/neutral posts):

• Strong support for fundamentals (TVL growth, institutional backing)
• Viewed as "safe haven" during crypto volatility
• High engagement on milestone announcements (200-400 likes, 10K+ views)

Informed Caution:

• Sophisticated investors acknowledge centralization risks
• Concerns about KYC requirements and accessibility barriers
• Warnings about disconnect between OUSG stability and ONDO token (-88% from ATH)

No Red Flags: Zero scam allegations, rug pull warnings, or coordinated FUD

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Who Should Invest in OUSG?

✅ Ideal For:

• Accredited/institutional investors seeking compliant on-chain Treasury exposure
• Risk-averse crypto holders wanting stable yields during market volatility
• DeFi participants needing yield-bearing collateral
• DAOs/protocols managing treasury reserves
• Long-term RWA believers betting on tokenization trend

❌ NOT Suitable For:

• Retail investors (access restricted, high minimums)
• Speculative traders (no price appreciation potential)
• High-yield seekers (3.5% APY is conservative)
• Crypto purists (requires KYC, centralized custody)
• Active traders (low liquidity, high exit friction)

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Final Recommendation

OUSG is a legitimate, well-regulated product—but it's NOT a traditional crypto investment.

Think of it as a tokenized money market fund rather than a speculative crypto asset. It's best suited for:

• Capital preservation (not growth)
• Stable yield generation (3.5% APY)
• Institutional treasury management
• DeFi collateral with yield

Risk Level: Low-to-Moderate (stable underlying assets, but regulatory/operational risks remain)

Bottom Line: If you're looking for a safe place to park capital with government-backed yields and blockchain benefits (24/7 access, instant settlement, DeFi composability), OUSG is excellent. If you're seeking price appreciation or high crypto yields, look elsewhere.

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Next Steps:

1. Verify eligibility: Check if you meet accredited investor requirements in your jurisdiction
2. Review official docs: Visit ondo.finance/ousg for current terms
3. Compare alternatives: Consider traditional Treasury ETFs (SGOV, BIL) vs. OUSG's blockchain benefits
4. Assess your goals: Match OUSG's stability profile against your risk/return expectations

Would you like me to compare OUSG with similar tokenized Treasury products (like Franklin Templeton's FOBXX or Hashnote's USYC), or explore higher-yield DeFi alternatives?

OUSG (OUSG) Price Prediction Analysis

🎯 Critical Context: OUSG is NOT a Speculative Crypto Asset

Before diving into predictions, it's essential to understand what OUSG actually is:

OUSG (Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries) is a tokenized U.S. Treasury fund, not a volatile cryptocurrency. It's designed for stable yield generation (3.35-5% APY), not price speculation. Think of it as a blockchain-based money market fund backed by short-term U.S. Treasury bills.

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📊 Current Market Snapshot (February 11, 2026)

• Current Price: $114.25 USD
• Market Cap: $701 million
• Market Rank: #82
• 24h Change: +0.01% (essentially flat)
• 7-Day Change: +0.06% (minimal movement)
• Circulating Supply: 6,135,550 OUSG
• Current APY: 3.35-3.51%
• Total Value Locked: $731.78 million

Blockchain Presence:

• Ethereum (Primary)
• Polygon, Solana, XRP Ledger

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🔮 Price Predictions

Short-Term (2026)

Analyst Consensus:

• LBank Forecast: $119.30 USD
• OSL Scenarios:
  • Bear Case: $0.60-$1.00
  • Base Case: $1.00-$1.80
  • Bull Case: $1.80-$3.00
• CoinDCX Range: $0.60-$1.40

Realistic Expectation for OUSG Token: Given OUSG's current price of ~$114 and its yield-bearing nature, expect $118-$120 by end of 2026, representing the ~4-5% annual yield accrual.

⚠️ Note: Some analyst predictions appear to reference the $ONDO governance token rather than OUSG itself, which explains the wide variance.

Medium-Term (2027-2030)

• 2027: $122-$126 (continued yield accrual)
• 2030: $128-$145 (assuming 3-5% compounding annually)

CoinDCX Long-Term Outlook:

• 2027: $0.90-$1.10 (if RWA adoption expands)
• 2030: $3.00-$6.00 (if tokenized assets mature)
• 2040: $10-$18 (if Ondo dominates tokenized finance)

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🚀 Key Bullish Catalysts

1. Institutional Adoption Momentum

• Fidelity Integration (January 2026): OUSG became the sole anchor investor in Fidelity's tokenized fund (FDIT) - a massive institutional validation
• BlackRock Partnership: Primary holdings in BlackRock's BUIDL fund
• 21Shares ETF Filing: Potential ONDO ETF linked to OUSG performance
• $50M Allocation: Solstice Finance committed significant capital

2. Multi-Chain Expansion

• Recently launched on XRP Ledger and SEI Network
• Each integration expands accessibility and liquidity
• 24/7 instant minting/redemption capabilities

3. Diversified Yield Sources

• $25M Investment in Figure's YLDS (November 2025)
• Holdings from world's top asset managers: BlackRock, Fidelity, Franklin Templeton, WisdomTree, Wellington Management
• SWEEP partnership with State Street for enhanced cash management

4. Market Leadership

• ~60% market share of tokenized Treasury market
• TVL growth: +177% year-over-year
• Ecosystem-wide: $2.6B across all Ondo products

5. Regulatory Tailwinds

• Mastercard Multi-Token Network partnership (February 2025)
• SEC and EU regulatory frameworks progressing
• U.S. Treasury report projects stablecoins could 8x to $2T by 2028

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⚠️ Risk Factors & Headwinds

1. Interest Rate Sensitivity

• Yields tied directly to U.S. Treasury rates
• Fed rate cuts would reduce APY and attractiveness
• Current 3.35-5% APY could compress if rates fall

2. Regulatory Uncertainty

• RWA sector still evolving
• Potential changes to tokenized securities regulations
• Qualified Purchaser requirements limit retail access

3. Competition

• Other tokenized Treasury products emerging (BUIDL, USTB, BENJI, FDIT)
• Traditional finance alternatives (money market funds, T-bills)

4. Liquidity Constraints

• $5,000 minimum investment limits retail participation
• Limited secondary market trading volume compared to major cryptocurrencies
• Redemption processes still developing

5. Market Adoption Speed

• Growth depends on pace of institutional RWA adoption
• Education gap: Many investors don't understand tokenized Treasuries yet

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💬 Community Sentiment: 100% Bullish

The X.com crypto community shows overwhelmingly positive sentiment toward OUSG:

Key Themes:

1. "Boring But Beautiful" - Stability viewed as a feature, not a bug
2. "Smart Money Play" - Institutional capital flowing in while retail chases meme coins
3. "Infrastructure for RWA Revolution" - Foundation for multi-trillion dollar tokenized asset market
4. "Supply Shock Setup" - Institutional demand outpacing retail awareness

Notable Community Quotes:

"$772,000,000 in TVL just for this one treasury fund ($OUSG). While the market chases volatile pumps, smart money is quietly earning ~3.77% risk-free on-chain. 24/7 liquidity. No banking hours. Boring is bullish." - @RWAPulseFi

"The yield compression on OUSG is actually bullish—means they're deploying capital faster than they're attracting it. Classic supply shock setup when the RWA narrative catches its next bid." - @Wellseee_

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📈 What to Monitor

Critical Metrics:

1. TVL Growth: Track OUSG and ecosystem-wide AUM trends
2. Redemption Flows: On-chain activity indicating sustained demand
3. Collateral Audits: Quarterly verification of underlying Treasury backing
4. Institutional Partnerships: New integrations with TradFi giants
5. Regulatory Developments: U.S. and EU policy clarity on tokenized assets
6. Yield Spreads: OUSG APY vs. traditional money market funds

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🎯 Final Verdict

For OUSG Token Itself:

Expected Price Path: $114 → $118-120 (2026) → $122-126 (2027) → $128-145 (2030)

This represents 3-5% annual appreciation from yield accrual, not speculative price action.

Investment Thesis:

✅ Buy/Hold if you want:

• Stable, predictable returns (3-5% APY)
• On-chain exposure to U.S. Treasuries
• 24/7 liquidity with institutional-grade backing
• Diversification from volatile crypto assets

❌ Avoid if you want:

• High-risk, high-reward speculation
• Short-term trading opportunities
• Exponential "moon shot" gains

Ecosystem Impact ($ONDO Governance Token):

The community is far more bullish on $ONDO (the governance token) than OUSG itself:

• Near-term targets: $0.31-$0.42
• Bull case: 3-5x from current levels
• Rationale: OUSG's growth drives value to ONDO token holders

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⚠️ Critical Disclaimers

1. OUSG is NOT a speculative trading asset - it's a stable, yield-bearing fund token
2. Price predictions are speculative opinions, not guarantees
3. Past performance does not indicate future results
4. All forecasts depend on uncertain factors: institutional adoption, regulatory outcomes, interest rates
5. Investment risks exist: including potential loss of principal
6. This is educational analysis, NOT financial advice - always do your own research and consult qualified advisors

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🏆 Bottom Line

OUSG represents a bridge between traditional finance and blockchain, offering institutional-grade exposure to U.S. Treasuries with daily yields. While it won't deliver explosive crypto-style gains, it provides:

• Stability in volatile markets
• Predictable returns (3-5% APY)
• Institutional validation (BlackRock, Fidelity, State Street)
• 24/7 liquidity without banking hours
• Foundation for the RWA revolution

Price prediction summary: Expect modest, steady appreciation of 4-5% annually as yields accrue. The real story isn't OUSG's price action—it's its role as infrastructure for the emerging multi-trillion dollar tokenized asset market.

If you're looking for speculative crypto gains, look elsewhere. If you want stable, on-chain yield with institutional backing, OUSG delivers exactly what it promises. 🎯

OUSG Price Potential: A Comprehensive Analysis

Great question! Let me clarify what OUSG is and provide realistic expectations for its price trajectory.

🔍 What is OUSG?

OUSG is NOT a typical cryptocurrency—it's a tokenized U.S. Treasury fund by Ondo Finance. Think of it as a blockchain-based money market fund that holds short-term Treasury bills, primarily invested in BlackRock's BUIDL fund, iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (SHV), and USDC.

Current Stats (February 2026):

• Price: ~$114.25
• Market Cap: $701 million
• Rank: #82
• Volatility: Extremely low (0.0167)—designed for stability, not speculation
• Yield: ~4-5% APY from Treasury bill returns

📈 How High Can OUSG Go?

The Reality Check:

OUSG's price is fundamentally tied to U.S. Treasury yields and asset accrual, not speculative trading. Unlike meme coins or altcoins, it won't "moon" 10x overnight. Instead, it offers steady, predictable appreciation.

Price Projections:

Short-Term (2026):

• Conservative: $115-$118 (steady yield accrual)
• Base Case: $118-$122 (continued institutional adoption)
• Bullish: $122-$130 (accelerated AUM growth, higher Treasury yields)

Medium-Term (2027-2029):

• $150+ if tokenized Treasury market scales as projected
• Growth driven by institutional inflows, not retail speculation

What Drives OUSG's Price:

✅ Treasury Yield Environment – Higher short-term rates = faster price appreciation ✅ Assets Under Management (AUM) – Currently $700M+, potential to reach $5B+ if RWA adoption scales ✅ Institutional Adoption – Recent partnerships with State Street, Galaxy Digital signal strong demand ✅ Regulatory Clarity – SEC investigation closed (Dec 2025), EU approval secured ✅ Multi-Chain Expansion – Now on Ethereum, Solana, Polygon, XRP Ledger

🚀 Major 2026 Catalysts

1. State Street Partnership (SWEEP Fund)

• Ondo announced a $200M anchor investment in the State Street Galaxy Onchain Liquidity Sweep Fund
• Signals Wall Street institutional confidence

2. Regulatory Wins

• SEC investigation closed without charges (Dec 2025)
• EU regulatory approval for 500M+ investors across 30 countries
• Most comprehensive SEC registrations for digital asset services

3. Ecosystem Expansion

• Ondo Global Markets: $2B in volume, $370M TVL in tokenized stocks
• Ondo Chain: New Layer 1 blockchain for institutional RWAs
• $250M Ondo Catalyst Initiative for next-gen tokenization

4. Fee Structure

• 0.15% management fee currently waived until July 1, 2026
• Fee resumption could drive revenue and ecosystem growth

💡 Key Insights from Market Sentiment

Community Consensus (70-80% Bullish):

• 2026 is "the year of tokenization" with the tokenized Treasury market projected to exceed $10B
• Ondo holds 60% market share in tokenized Treasuries
• TVL grew 218% year-over-year in 2025
• BlackRock predicts tokenized assets could reach $16 trillion by 2030

Realistic Expectations:

• Not a "moon shot" – No 10x or 100x gains expected
• Steady 4-6% annual returns plus potential market cap expansion
• Institutional play – Growth tied to TradFi adoption, not retail FOMO

⚠️ Important Considerations

OUSG vs. ONDO Token:

Don't confuse these two:

• OUSG = Stable, yield-bearing Treasury fund (this discussion)
• ONDO = Governance token with higher volatility and speculative potential

Access Limitations:

• KYC requirements and $5,000 minimum for instant transactions
• Limited retail trading (no DEX volume)
• Designed for institutions and accredited investors

Risk Profile:

• Risk Score: 66.21/100 (moderate-high for a "stable" asset)
• Volatility: Extremely low compared to crypto markets
• Returns capped by Treasury yields (~4-5% currently)

🎯 Bottom Line

OUSG's upside is NOT about explosive price pumps—it's about:

1. Safe, on-chain yield in volatile markets (4-5% APY)
2. Steady appreciation as Treasury yields accrue to token price
3. Long-term growth potential if tokenization reaches multi-trillion dollar scale
4. Infrastructure play for institutions seeking blockchain efficiency with TradFi stability

Who Should Consider OUSG:

✅ Institutions seeking stable, yield-bearing crypto exposure ✅ Investors wanting Treasury returns with blockchain benefits ✅ Long-term holders betting on RWA tokenization growth

Who Should Look Elsewhere:

❌ Retail traders seeking high volatility and quick gains ❌ Speculators looking for 10x+ returns ❌ Investors without KYC/accredited status

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Final Answer: OUSG can realistically reach $120-$130 in 2026 and $150+ by 2028-2029, driven by institutional adoption and Treasury yield accrual. However, its true "ceiling" depends on the broader tokenization market reaching projected scale—if Ondo captures even 1% of the $50+ trillion bond market, OUSG's market cap could expand dramatically while maintaining its stable, yield-bearing nature.

Think of OUSG as digital Treasury bills, not a speculative crypto play. Its value proposition is stability and institutional-grade returns, not moonshots. 🌙📊

How to Buy OUSG (Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries)

⚠️ Important: This is NOT a Regular Crypto Token

OUSG is a highly restricted, institutional-grade tokenized treasury fund from Ondo Finance. It's NOT available on regular exchanges like Binance or Coinbase, and has strict eligibility requirements.

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What is OUSG?

OUSG is a tokenized fund that provides on-chain exposure to short-term US Treasury bills, primarily investing in BlackRock's BUIDL fund and other institutional money market instruments.

• Current Price: ~$114.25 USD
• Current APY: ~3.47-3.50%
• Market Cap: $701 million
• Available Networks: Ethereum, Polygon, Solana, XRP Ledger

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Eligibility Requirements (CRITICAL)

You MUST meet ALL of these criteria:

✅ Accredited Investor status (SEC Regulation D Rule 501) ✅ Qualified Purchaser status (typically requires $5M+ net worth for individuals or $25M+ for entities) ✅ Located in an eligible country ✅ Pass KYC/AML screening

If you don't meet these requirements, consider Ondo's USDY token instead, which has lower eligibility barriers.

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How to Buy OUSG: Step-by-Step

Step 1: Complete Onboarding (3-5 business days)

1. Visit: https://app.ondo.finance/assets/ousg
2. Click "Sign Up / Log In"
3. Complete KYC verification by providing:
   • Government-issued ID
   • Proof of address
   • Tax ID number
   • Proof of accredited investor status (account statements, etc.)
4. Provide your wallet address (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet, etc.)
5. Sign fund documents: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1ox0c69HXKSOmAOYp0QT2YeMolZMxhhng

Step 2: Prepare Your Payment

For Instant Purchase (24/7):

• Have USDC, PYUSD, or RLUSD in your wallet
• Minimum: $5,000
• Tokens received instantly

For Wire Transfer:

• Contact support@ondo.finance for wire instructions
• Minimum: $100,000
• Processing: 1-2 business days

Step 3: Execute Purchase

1. Go to https://app.ondo.finance/assets/ousg?tab=buy&toToken=ousg
2. Connect your wallet
3. Select payment method (USDC recommended for instant)
4. Enter amount (minimum $5,000)
5. Approve transaction in your wallet
6. Receive OUSG tokens instantly (or within 1-2 days for wire)

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Contract Addresses (Verify Before Buying!)

• Ethereum: 0x1b19c19393e2d034d8ff31ff34c81252fcbbee92
• Polygon: 0xba11c5effa33c4d6f8f593cfa394241cfe925811
• Solana: i7u4r16TcsJTgq1kAG8opmVZyVnAKBwLKu6ZPMwzxNc

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Fees & Costs

• Management Fee: 0.15% annually (waived until July 1, 2026)
• Subscription/Redemption Fees: 0%
• No trading fees for instant minting

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Key Restrictions

🚫 NOT available on centralized exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, etc.) 🚫 Transfer restrictions: Can only transfer to other verified OUSG investors 🚫 Not registered securities: Not SEC-registered 🚫 Accredited investors only

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Selling/Redeeming OUSG

To convert back to stablecoins:

1. Visit https://app.ondo.finance/assets/ousg?tab=sell&fromToken=ousg
2. Connect wallet
3. Enter amount (minimum $5,000 for instant)
4. Receive USDC/PYUSD instantly

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Need Help?

• Official Website: https://ondo.finance/ousg
• Support Email: support@ondo.finance
• Documentation: https://docs.ondo.finance/qualified-access-products/ousg
• Twitter: @OndoFinance
• Discord: https://discord.com/invite/YzhZaFbB92

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Summary

OUSG is designed for institutional and high-net-worth investors seeking low-risk, yield-bearing treasury exposure on-chain. The process requires meeting strict eligibility criteria, completing comprehensive KYC, and purchasing directly through Ondo Finance's official app—not through regular crypto exchanges.

If you meet the requirements and want to proceed, start your onboarding at https://app.ondo.finance today!