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Aptos

Aptos

APT·0.87
-9.64%

Aptos (APT) Daily Market Analysis 28 February 2026

By CoinStats AI

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What are the latest news for APT?

Aptos (APT) Recent Developments

Price Movement and Market Performance

Aptos is trading at $0.9767 with a 24-hour trading volume of $227.24M, up 15.27% in the last 24 hours. However, the token is currently down 11.73% from its 7-day all-time high of $1.11. The token is ranked #82 on CoinGecko with a market capitalization of $740,817,769.

Major Tokenomics Overhaul

The Aptos Foundation has proposed a sweeping reform to shift APT's economics from high inflation to a deflationary model, with key changes including a hard supply cap of 2.1 billion tokens and a 50% cut in staking rewards to 2.6% APR. This major tokenomics overhaul was announced on February 19, 2026.

This is considered a long-term bullish pivot for APT because it directly addresses the oversupply and sell-pressure from unlocks and emissions, aiming to create scarcity if network usage grows.

Decibel Upgrade and Perpetuals Launch

Aptos's Decibel upgrade, combined with network activity, pushed its token (APT) price past $1. Earlier this week, Decibel launched on-chain perpetuals capabilities on Aptos, with pre-launch interest exceeding $50 million.

Ecosystem Developments

PACT, the #1 RWA protocol on Aptos, announced its native $PACT token is now supported on Kraken, MEXC, and Gate cryptocurrency exchanges.

On January 16, 2026, Bitnomial Exchange listed the first regulated APT futures, a key step for institutional access.

Token Unlock Schedule

Aptos's next token unlock is scheduled for March 12, which will release 11.31M APT tokens ($10.75M), representing 0.94% of the total supply.

Why is APT price down today?

Aptos (APT) 24-Hour Price Analysis

Current Price and Performance

APT is trading at $0.9258 USD, down 5.81% over the last 24 hours. The token has declined from its intraday high, with hourly losses of 1.2% recorded in the most recent trading session.

Market Metrics

Trading volume has decreased 58.80% from one day ago, signaling a recent fall in market activity. Current 24-hour volume stands at approximately $117.5 million, while market capitalization sits at $722.6 million, ranking APT at position #84 globally.

Key Factors Driving the Decline

Broader Market Weakness

APT fell 4.9% over the last 24 hours, underperforming the broader crypto market (-3.87%) amid weak technicals and mixed ecosystem signals. Bitcoin dominance rose to 58.52%, signaling capital rotation away from alts, with the Fear & Greed Index at 21 ("Extreme Fear")—lowest since November 2025, suppressing speculative altcoin demand.

Technical Weakness

APT's 3-day RSI hit its lowest level since 2022, signaling potential for a sharp reversal. Persistent oversold conditions suggest exhaustion, but failed to hold $1.59 support triggered stop-loss cascades.

Network Activity Decline

Daily active accounts fell from 1.418 million on February 1 to 793,010 on February 19, further confirming reduced network usage. Short-term, yield chasers have rotated or are rotating out of Aptos, keeping its price suppressed.

Positive Developments Offset by Selling Pressure

Despite recent positive announcements—including a major tokenomics overhaul proposed on February 19, 2026, introducing a hard supply cap of 2.1 billion tokens and a 50% cut in staking rewards to 2.6% APR—the market remains bearish. With total value locked (TVL) metrics remaining elevated and other key underlying fundamentals appearing solid, today's move seems tied to a broader shift away from speculative asset classes by investors looking to rotate their portfolio holdings.

What is the market sentiment for APT today?

I'll now gather social media sentiment, trading data, and market indicators for APT.

APT Technical Analysis: Key Support & Resistance Levels?

APTOS (APT) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Current Price & Market Data

APT is trading at $0.9604 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $126.87 million. The token is currently ranked #84 by market capitalization at $722.62 million, with a circulating supply of 780.13 million tokens.


Price Performance

  • 1-Hour Change: -1.2%
  • 24-Hour Change: -5.81%
  • 7-Day Change: +5.23%

Technical Indicators

Momentum Indicators

RSI (Relative Strength Index)

The 14-period RSI is at 27.5, indicating oversold conditions. This extreme reading suggests potential for short-term bounce activity, though it reflects significant selling pressure.

MACD

The MACD and signal lines are both at -0.1122 with a histogram reading of 0.0000, reflecting bearish momentum despite recent price stability. The flat histogram indicates momentum is stalling but remains negative.

Moving Averages

APT is trading above its 7-day simple moving average of $0.89 and just above the 20-day SMA at $0.94, indicating short-term momentum recovery. However, APT remains well below longer-term moving averages (50-day SMA at $1.32 and 200-day SMA at $2.81), suggesting vulnerability to deeper corrections.


Key Support Levels

LevelStrengthNotes
$0.8210CriticalShows strong confluence on 1D and 3D timeframes; lower boundary of low-volume consolidation region with 87% rejection rate
$0.8934StrongSupport 1 level
$0.8154ModerateSupport 2 level
$0.83ImmediateBreak below on high volume could signal further downside toward $0.71

Key Resistance Levels

LevelStrengthNotes
$0.90Strong24-hour high; recent rejection point
$0.8463CriticalStrong supply zone on 1D timeframe with high-volume rejection over last 48 hours
$1.01StrongEMA20 level
$1.10ModerateSupertrend resistance
$1.24SignificantStrong resistance offering nearly 30% upside potential if sustained break above $1.10 occurs

Chart Patterns & Structure

APT price is positioned in a clear downtrend within the overall market structure, trading below EMA20 ($1.01) with the Supertrend indicator giving a bearish signal (resistance $1.10).

The current $0.83 level is near the lower band of the 24-hour range $0.82-$0.90; volume at 53.73M supports the decline, but oversold RSI could trigger short-term reaction buying.


Volume Analysis

Volume of 53.73M supports the decline, indicating institutional selling pressure. However, with oversold RSI, there is a 55% probability of bounce at $0.8210 if confluence with volume and multi-timeframe confirmation occurs.


Timeframe Analysis

Daily (1D) Trading below EMA20 ($1.01) with Supertrend giving bearish signal. Strong confluence identified on 1D timeframe.

3-Day (3D) 1 support/1 resistance identified on 3D timeframe with strong confluence.

Weekly (1W) 2 support/0 resistance confluence on 1W timeframe. Supply imbalance zones remain from March 2025 peak.


Market Structure & Correlation

0.85 correlation with BTC; if BTC breaks below 67k, APT tests $0.8210. BTC daily closes determine 70% of APT movement.


Short-Term Outlook

Holding above $0.8210 signals bullish reversal (long bias, targets $0.8463-$1.01, R/R 1:3); below signals short bias (targets $0.80-$0.64, stop $0.8350).

Short-term target (1 week): $1.10; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.83-$1.24 range; Critical support: $0.83.


Medium-Term Outlook

A sustained break above $1.10 could open the path to the strong resistance at $1.24, offering nearly 30% upside potential. Technical confirmation for bullish momentum would require the RSI to push above 50 and the MACD histogram to turn positive; sustained trading above the 20-day moving average at $0.94 remains essential.


Risk Factors

Big players (institutional whales) are hunting stop-loss liquidity below the $0.8210 support; this zone is filled with equal lows covering 40% of retail longs.

Dominance increase poses risk for altcoins; if BTC holds 60k support, APT bounce chance rises.