Ondo (ONDO) Daily Market Analysis

What is the latest news for ONDO?

Ondo Finance Expands Tokenized Equities to Solana

Ondo Finance is expanding its tokenized equities business to Solana, bringing more than 200 tokenized U.S. stocks and exchange-traded funds to the blockchain. The move extends the platform, called Ondo Global Markets, beyond Ethereum and BNB Chain, where it launched in late 2025.

Ian De Bode, president of Ondo Finance, stated that "Ondo's tokenized stocks are built to address that by bringing liquidity inherited from traditional exchange venues and a broad catalog of stocks and ETFs onchain." The Solana rollout significantly broadens the range of tokenized assets available on the network, spanning technology and growth stocks, blue-chip equities, broad-market and sector ETFs, and commodity-linked products.

Major Token Unlock Completed

Ondo Finance completed a significant token unlock event on January 18, 2026, where approximately 1.9 billion ONDO tokens were released, designated for founders, team members, community pools, and private investors. The circulating supply of Ondo Finance's native token jumped by 61% as $737 million worth of ONDO tokens were unlocked for trading.

Strategic Partnerships Drive Adoption

LBank, a cryptocurrency exchange, partnered with Ondo Finance to integrate tokenized real-world assets into its platform, supporting U.S. stock futures trading that has surpassed $6.3 billion in volume, allowing 24/7 futures trading for major U.S. equities with settlement in USDT and up to 20x leverage.

On January 5, 2026, TermMax launched the first fixed-rate borrowing market on BNB Chain that accepts tokenized stock collateral, specifically integrating Ondo Global Markets' tokenized securities, addressing institutional demand for predictable rates in DeFi.

New Tokenized Assets and Record TVL

SLVON, a new tokenized asset, was introduced on January 11, 2026, providing non-U.S. investors with on-chain exposure to the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) ETF through the Ondo Global Markets framework, bridging traditional finance and DeFi.

Ondo Finance's Total Value Locked (TVL) reached a record $1.93 billion following the announcement of tokenized U.S. stock and ETF launches on Solana in early 2026.

Upcoming Summit and Roadmap

On February 3, 2026, the world's leading executives, investors, and policymakers will reconvene in New York for the Ondo Summit to define the next era of capital markets. Building on October 2025's Chainlink partnership and BNB Chain integration, the summit aims to establish interoperability standards for tokenized stocks and ETFs, with regulatory clarity from Ondo's SEC roadmap submission likely to frame discussions.

Market Performance

As of January 25, 2026, the price of Ondo Finance (ONDO) is $0.34. The token has experienced recent downward pressure, with current sentiment showing as Bearish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 28 (Fear).

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Why is ONDO price down today?

ONDO Price Analysis: 24-Hour Decline

Current Price and 24-Hour Performance

ONDO is trading at $0.3285 with a 24-hour decline of 3.15%. The token's market capitalization stands at $1.60 billion, with trading volume reaching $63.56 million over the past day.

Key Market Factors

Token Unlock Impact

Approximately 1.94 billion ONDO tokens, valued at ~$726–756M and representing about 61% of market cap, were scheduled to unlock for early investors on January 18, 2026. This token unlock potentially flooded markets with 40% of circulating supply, creating bearish near-term pressure from early investors and teams, though dilution risk is partially offset by ONDO's $1.82B TVL showing real adoption.

Broader Market Headwinds

ONDO fell 10% in 24 hours as crypto markets dropped 2.4% overall, with the sell-off triggered by U.S. tariff threats against EU nations, pushing investors toward safe havens like gold. With a price decline of -7.50% in the last 7 days, Ondo is underperforming the global cryptocurrency market which is up 4.60%.

Technical Indicators

Current sentiment is Bearish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 28 (Fear). The RSI value is at 41.14, which indicates that the ONDO market is in a neutral position.

Market Context

Analysts debate a "paradox" – strong institutional adoption versus token price lag, with real-world utility praised as tokenized assets gain mainstream traction, though the 2026 roadmap fuels bullish sentiment despite current consolidation.

What is the market sentiment for ONDO today?

ONDO Market Sentiment Analysis

Overall Sentiment: Mixed-to-Bearish (Short-term) with Bullish Fundamentals (Long-term)

The community is bullish about Ondo (ONDO) today, yet this contrasts with technical indicators and recent price action. The market exhibits a bifurcated sentiment structure: strong institutional adoption and ecosystem growth offset by near-term supply concerns and price weakness.

Price Performance and Technical Indicators

Ondo is down 3.22% in the last 24 hours, while with a price decline of -7.50% in the last 7 days, Ondo (ONDO) is underperforming the global cryptocurrency market which is up 4.60%. Current price stands at approximately $0.33 USD, representing -82.70% below that peak of its all-time high.

Currently, the RSI value is at 41.14, which indicates that the ONDO market is in a neutral position. However, the general Ondo Finance price prediction sentiment is bearish with 5 technical analysis indicators signaling bullish signals, and 21 signaling bearish signals.

Social Media and Community Sentiment

There were 35.82% of tweets with bullish sentiment compared to 11.24% of tweets with a bearish sentiment about Ondo. 64.18% of tweets were neutral about Ondo. These sentiments are based on 1494 tweets.

Community engagement remains active but cautious. The community is active on Twitter, Reddit, and Telegram, with thousands engaging in discussions on governance and updates.

Trader Positioning and Market Indicators

ONDO's price stabilized near $0.38, with RSI at 42 (neutral) and volume down 39% from the prior day. Analysts noted accumulation near support, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.

The trading volume of Ondo (ONDO) is $75,228,130.01 in the last 24 hours, representing a 34.20% increase from one day ago and signalling a recent rise in market activity.

Recent Sentiment Shifts and Catalysts

Negative Pressure:

On Jan 18, 2026, Ondo unlocked 1.94B ONDO tokens (≈40% of circulating supply), potentially flooding markets. Token unlock sparks supply concerns – 1.94B ONDO released Jan 18 risks dilution. This followed a pattern seen in January 2025, where a similar unlock triggered a 10% price drop as early investors offloaded tokens.

Analysts debate "paradox" – strong institutional adoption vs. token price lag.

Positive Catalysts:

Ondo Finance announced the SEC closed its year‑long probe with no charges, signaling a more crypto‑friendly stance. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission closed a multi‑year probe of Ondo Finance without filing charges. The SEC probe closure removes a major regulatory hurdle, improving investor sentiment and potentially lifting ONDO's price.

TVL Surpasses $2B: Ondo Finance's total value locked (TVL) doubled to over $2 billion, signaling robust growth in tokenized assets. State Street Partnership: Collaboration with State Street and Galaxy Asset Management for a tokenized liquidity fund on Solana boosted institutional confidence.

2026 roadmap fuels bullish sentiment despite current consolidation.

Fundamental vs. Price Disconnect

ONDO sits in 'no-man's land' – tokenized US equities up 2,695% YTD, yet token down 80%. Repricing awaits settlement layer integration.

This collaboration validates Ondo's infrastructure among traditional finance giants, attracting capital from institutions seeking blockchain efficiency. Enhanced liquidity and reduced friction could accelerate ONDO's adoption as a gateway to tokenized assets.

Risk Assessment

With concerns about the associated risks intensifying in the past few days, we don't think the coin would be a profitable asset in the short term, even though it might have strong fundamentals.

Summary

ONDO exhibits a classic divergence between institutional adoption momentum and token price performance. While ecosystem metrics—TVL, regulatory clarity, and enterprise partnerships—signal bullish fundamentals, near-term supply dilution and technical weakness create bearish pressure. Community sentiment leans neutral-to-bullish on social platforms, but trading volume and price action reflect investor caution. The February 3, 2026 Ondo Summit represents a key catalyst that could shift sentiment if major announcements materialize.

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ONDO Technical Analysis: Key Support & Resistance Levels?

ONDO Technical Analysis: Key Support & Resistance Levels

Current Price Overview

Current Price: $0.3348 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $41,958,230.07 USD

Market Cap: $1.60 billion (Rank #51)

Recent Performance:

1-Hour: -0.11%
24-Hour: -3.15%
7-Day: -3.55%

Key Support Levels

ONDO has support levels of $0.3657, $0.3446, and the strongest at $0.3339

Additional Support Zones:

Key support levels are at $0.39, $0.38, and $0.37
The $0.43 level acting as a tentative support zone

Key Resistance Levels

Ondo Finance resistance levels are at $0.3974, $0.4082, and $0.4292

Extended Resistance Zones:

Resistance levels at $0.41 likely to cap any rallies
Critical $0.5445 resistance level needing sustained breakout for reversal validation
Next resistance levels to watch out for are $0.8186 and $0.9167

Technical Indicators

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI value is at 41.14, which indicates that the ONDO market is in a neutral position
14-day RSI of 40.162, which suggests that the pair is Sell

MACD

MACD is -0.002, which suggests that the pair is Sell
MACD bullish crossover but price below key moving averages

Moving Averages

5-day moving average is 0.39204, suggesting that the pair is Sell
50-day moving average is 0.39856, suggesting that the pair is Sell
Short-term 50-Day SMA is estimated to hit $0.3573 by Feb 01, 2026
Ondo price currently sits below all exponential moving averages

Chart Patterns & Structure

Downtrend Formation

On the 12H timeframe remains within a clear primary downtrend structure after failing to hold the high area above 0.95. Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, confirming seller dominance

Consolidation Zone

Price action indicates a period of consolidation following a prolonged downward trend from its peak. The market appears to be establishing a near-term equilibrium, with the $0.43 level acting as a tentative support zone and the $0.45 area posing as resistance

Potential Reversal Patterns

Price printed a 3 white knight bullish engulfing pattern, jumping above the daily pivot and the descending resistance trend-line

Trading Volume Analysis

Trading volume of Ondo (ONDO) is $75,228,130.01 in the last 24 hours, representing a 34.20% increase from one day ago and signalling a recent rise in market activity

Volume Context:

RSI at 42 (neutral) and volume down 39% from the prior day

Short-Term Outlook (Daily/Hourly)

Daily buy/sell signal for ONDO/USD is Strong Sell. The moving averages for ONDO/USD show a Strong Sell outlook, considering moving averages ranging from MA5 to MA200, with 0 Buy signals and 12 Sell signals

Price Range Expectations:

For the upcoming trading day, predicted closing price for Ondo at approximately $0.3983, with a potential range between $0.3900 (low) and $0.4100 (high)
Over the week, anticipated closing price around $0.4000, with a range from $0.3900 to $0.4200

Medium-Term Outlook (Weekly/Monthly)

Bearish Signals Persist

Technical indicators suggest a bearish sentiment, as the RSI is currently at 44.0758, indicating a neutral trend but leaning towards bearish. The ATR of 0.0229 suggests low volatility, which may limit significant price movements

Critical Breakout Level

Price must get above $0.5 to negate the bearish divergence that has emerged

Supply Pressure Concern

Upcoming 1.94B token unlock in January 2026 could increase supply by 61%, posing significant downside risks despite smart money absorbing dips in $0.35-$0.40 range

Key Catalysts & Risk Factors

Positive Developments:

TVL Surpasses $2B: Ondo Finance's total value locked (TVL) doubled to over $2 billion. State Street Partnership: Collaboration with State Street and Galaxy Asset Management for a tokenized liquidity fund on Solana boosted institutional confidence

Risk Factors:

Approximately 1.94 billion ONDO tokens, valued at ~$726–756M and representing about 61% of market cap, are scheduled to unlock for early investors on January 18, 2026