Worldcoin (WLD) Daily Market Analysis 16 February 2026

Worldcoin (WLD) Market Update

Price Movement and Market Performance

Worldcoin (WLD) is trading at $0.41, up 5% from $0.39 recorded 24 hours ago. The token has a 24-hour trading volume of $108.5 million, with a market cap of $1.15 billion, ranking #51 on CoinMarketCap.

Over the past seven days, WLD has declined 6.50%, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market which is up 4.20%.

Recent Developments and Catalysts

OpenAI Partnership Speculation

WLD surged 27% on January 30, 2026, following speculation that OpenAI may use Worldcoin's biometric technology for a "human-only" platform. The price jump followed a Forbes report that OpenAI is building a biometric-verified social platform to combat bots, with speculation centered on potential use of Worldcoin's iris-scanning Orb technology.

SoftBank Investment in OpenAI

On February 2, 2026, SoftBank's potential $30 billion investment in OpenAI boosted AI narrative sentiment, lifting sentiment for related tokens like WLD. SoftBank is reportedly in talks to invest up to $30 billion more into OpenAI as part of a potential $100 billion funding round, following a $41 billion investment in December 2025.

Ecosystem Expansion

Worldcoin introduced a "Grow Program" to incentivize mini app developers by rewarding them for referring users to verify World ID and credentials. WLD and USDC are now supported for deposits and withdrawals on the World Chain within the Kalshi ecosystem, aiming to improve liquidity and accessibility.

In December 2025, the World App added transfers and encrypted chat features, enabling instant WLD payments and secure, human-verified messaging.

Market Sentiment and Outlook

The consensus on WLD remains mixed, caught between short-term AI narrative pumps and long-term structural skepticism, with traders chasing volatility from OpenAI rumors while analysts warn that tokenomics and regulation remain unresolved anchors.

Worldcoin (WLD) 24-Hour Price Analysis

Current Price and Performance

Worldcoin is down 5.18% to $0.402 in the last 24 hours, with trading activity showing mixed signals. The trading volume of Worldcoin (WLD) is $66,190,653.06 in the last 24 hours, representing a -10.90% decrease from one day ago and signalling a recent fall in market activity.

Primary Market Drivers

The decline is primarily driven by a correlated sell-off with Bitcoin and the wider crypto sector, with the move being beta-driven and moving in lockstep with a broader market pullback. The drop aligns with a broader crypto market retreat, where the total market cap fell 2.1% and Bitcoin declined 1.97%.

Secondary Factors

Elevated selling volume indicates increased capitulation or distribution near yearly lows. Whales are reportedly rotating capital into Zero Knowledge Proof projects, suggesting potential capital reallocation away from WLD.

Market Context

With a price decline of -6.50% in the last 7 days, Worldcoin (WLD) is underperforming the global cryptocurrency market which is up 4.20%, while underperforming when compared to similar Smart Contract Platform cryptocurrencies which are up 5.30%. The token's market capitalization stands at $1.14 billion, maintaining its position in the top 60 cryptocurrencies.

Technical Outlook

If WLD holds above the $0.38 yearly low, consolidation is likely; a break below could trigger a swift drop toward $0.35, with Bitcoin's direction serving as the key macro trigger.

Market Sentiment Analysis: Worldcoin (WLD)

Overall Sentiment Assessment

The consensus on WLD is mixed, caught between short-term AI narrative pumps and long-term structural skepticism. Current market sentiment reflects a conflicted outlook driven by competing bullish catalysts and bearish technical signals.

Price Performance and Technical Indicators

Worldcoin is down 2.70% to $0.381 in 24h, underperforming a slightly weaker broader market primarily driven by a correlated sell-off with Bitcoin and the wider crypto sector. Worldcoin is testing crucial support at the $0.38 yearly low. If this level holds, the coin may consolidate between $0.38 and $0.42.

The platform currently rates WLD as Strong Sell across nearly every major category. Both technical indicators and moving averages align on the bearish side. Technical analysis shows a bearish market outlook, supported by a Fear & Greed Index reading of 8 (Extreme Fear).

Derivatives Market Positioning

Derivatives market data shows open interest in Worldcoin has dipped sharply to under $120 million, while the weighted funding rate is at -0.0006%. Such an OI-weighted funding rate, on the 4-hour period, highlights bearish sentiment in the token's perpetual futures market.

Social Media and Community Sentiment

In the last 24 hours, across all social media platforms, Worldcoin has an average sentiment score of 4.2 out of 5. Current Worldcoin news sentiment is positive (87/100), based on 13 news articles from the past 6 months.

AI Narrative and Partnership Speculation

SoftBank Weighs $30B OpenAI Bet (2 February 2026) – Potential mega-investment boosts AI narrative, lifting sentiment for related tokens like WLD. WLD Surges 27% on OpenAI Social Network Rumors (30 January 2026) – Speculation that OpenAI may use Worldcoin's biometric tech for a "human-only" platform drove a sharp, brief rally.

Traders are chasing volatility from OpenAI rumors, while analysts warn that tokenomics and regulation are unresolved anchors.

Institutional Activity

Eightco Holdings surged over 5,000% on Monday after announcing a $250 million private placement to build a treasury of Worldcoin (WLD) tokens and secure a $20 million backing from crypto‑miner BitMine. Eightco's treasury strategy and BitMine's investment provide significant capital inflows and signal institutional confidence, likely sustaining higher prices and trading volumes.

Regulatory and Fundamental Concerns

The core bearish counterpoint remains unchanged: significant regulatory and privacy challenges persist for Worldcoin's biometric model. The project faces growing regulatory scrutiny, with Thai authorities ordering a halt to iris‑based enrollment and the removal of biometric data, following earlier setbacks in Indonesia and Kenya.

Key Technical Levels

Watch for a sustained break above $0.50 to gauge if technical optimism can override the fundamental overhang. A breakdown below $0.38, however, risks a quick drop toward the next psychological level near $0.35.

WORLDCOIN (WLD) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Current Market Status

WLD trades at $0.3970, showing a 0.79% downtrend over the last 24 hours. The token is currently ranked #60 by market capitalization at $1.14B with daily trading volume of $61.1M.

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Key Support & Resistance Levels

Primary Support Levels

• $0.3899 - Main buyer-defense zone
• $0.4048, $0.3803, and $0.3637 (strongest support)
• $0.31 - Key support observed from recent lows

Primary Resistance Levels

• $0.4023 - Current resistance where sellers are rejecting prices
• $0.4460, $0.4626, and $0.4871
• $2.00 - Aligns with previous highs

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Technical Indicators Analysis

Moving Averages

The 50-day moving average of WLD, currently at $0.5, is below its 200-day moving average of $0.8, indicating a bearish trend. This 'death cross' suggests that the stock has been losing momentum over the short-term compared to its longer-term trend.

RSI (Relative Strength Index)

RSI sits near 43, which reflects weak momentum rather than panic selling. This neutral reading suggests the token is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for movement in either direction.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

MACD Histogram: 0.0000 – Indicating bearish momentum with the histogram at zero. Investors should monitor the MACD line remaining above the signal line for potential changes in this outlook.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands Position: 0.54 – WLD is trading slightly above the middle band, with room to move toward either extreme.

Stochastic Oscillator

The Stochastic oscillator shows %K at 81.89 and %D at 65.52, suggesting the recent upward move may be losing steam.

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Chart Pattern Analysis

Worldcoin (WLD) is displaying mixed technical signals as it consolidates around the $0.42 level, presenting both opportunities and risks for traders. WLD is down because sellers keep rejecting prices near $0.4023 resistance, which weakens rebounds and pulls WLD back toward $0.3970. With momentum soft, even modest selling pressure can keep price drifting lower while $0.3899 support continues to act as the main buyer-defense zone.

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Trading Volume Analysis

With a daily Average True Range (ATR) of $0.04, Worldcoin forecast models indicate moderate volatility expectations. Volume remains critical for confirming breakout attempts above resistance levels.

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Short-Term Outlook (1-7 Days)

Short-term target (1 week): $0.44-$0.45 with bullish breakout level at $0.52 (Upper Bollinger Band) and critical support at $0.39 (Strong Support Level). In an optimistic scenario, WLD price prediction models suggest a breakout above the immediate resistance at $0.44 could propel the token toward the upper Bollinger Band at $0.52. This represents a potential 24% upside from current levels.

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Medium-Term Outlook (1-4 Weeks)

The medium-term Worldcoin forecast favors a trading range between $0.39 and $0.52, with the direction largely dependent on broader market conditions and WLD's ability to generate sustained buying interest above current levels. A sustained break above $0.52 could open the path toward previous analyst targets in the $0.58-$0.62 range.

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Bearish Scenario

The bearish scenario becomes more likely if WLD fails to hold the $0.41 immediate support level. A breakdown could target the strong support at $0.39, representing a 7% downside risk. More concerning would be a break below the lower Bollinger Band at $0.32, though this appears unlikely given current market structure.

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Bullish Confirmation Signals

The bullish case strengthens if: Daily RSI breaks above 60, MACD histogram turns positive, and volume exceeds the current 24-hour average of $11.4 million.

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Risk Factors

Main risk factors include: Continued MACD bearish divergence, RSI falling below 40, and overall crypto market weakness.