Analyst Gives Clear Warning About XRP Price – What You Should Know

• Analyst CasiTrades says XRP’s structure has turned bearish after a trendline break, with former support now acting as resistance.
• $1.40 is critical short-term resistance (bearish below it), while a move above $1.65 would be needed to restore a bullish outlook.
• If selling continues, XRP could test support near $1.11, with a deeper drop toward $0.87 possible.

A recent market update from crypto analyst CasiTrades is raising caution flags for XRP traders, as technical signals point to weakening momentum and the potential for further downside. The analyst warns that the asset has entered a critical phase where key resistance and support levels will determine its next major move.

Bearish Structure Emerges as Momentum Shifts

According to CasiTrades, XRP’s market structure has turned bearish following a breakdown below an important trendline and the loss of a prior B-wave low. This shift suggests that sellers are gaining control, increasing the likelihood of continued downward pressure.

The analysis indicates that what previously acted as support is now beginning to function as resistance, a classic sign of weakening bullish momentum. The trendline break also reinforces the idea that the recent consolidation phase may be transitioning into a broader corrective move.

Also Read: Trending: XRP to Hit $15 by March 15? Analysts’ Prediction Ignites Backlash

XRP Structure Shifts Bearish. Key Levels Below!

Price is starting to gather sell strength and the trendline break is looking to form resistance. Price losing the B-wave low shifts momentum toward supports! The $1.11 and $0.87 levels are the main downside targets.

Local… pic.twitter.com/OIWRUcFNCn

— CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) February 23, 2026

Key Resistance Level to Watch

The analyst identifies the $1.40 region as the most important local resistance. As long as XRP remains below this level, the short-term outlook is expected to remain bearish.

In addition, a broader macro resistance zone sits near $1.65. A sustained move above this level would be required to invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential shift back toward bullish conditions. Until such a breakout occurs, the current market environment is described as a “no-trade zone,” with the risk-reward profile considered unfavorable for new positions.

Downside Targets: $1.11 and $0.87

If selling pressure continues, CasiTrades highlights two major downside targets. The first key support lies around $1.11, which aligns with a high-probability demand area. A breakdown below this level could open the door to a deeper decline toward $0.87, a stronger historical support zone.

These levels also correspond with Fibonacci retracement areas visible on the chart, suggesting potential reaction points where buyers may attempt to re-enter the market.

Chart Signals Reinforce Caution

CasiTrades analysis chart shows a completed corrective structure followed by a downward trendline break, indicating a loss of upward momentum. Price action is consolidating beneath a rising support line that is now at risk of failing.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) displayed in the lower panel also reflects weakening strength. After forming lower highs within an ascending channel, the indicator has rolled over, signaling fading bullish momentum and supporting the bearish outlook. The chart further highlights a projected move toward the lower support region near $1.10–$0.90 if current conditions persist.

Wait for Confirmation Before Acting

CasiTrades emphasizes patience, advising traders to wait for either a move into the lower support zones or a confirmed breakout above the $1.65 macro resistance before considering new positions. For now, XRP appears to be at a decision point, with the coming price action likely to determine whether the market stabilizes at lower levels or regains bullish momentum.

Also Read: Breaking: SBI Ripple Asia and DSRV Labs Announce Major XRP Network Research: Details

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