FOMC Meeting Today [LIVE] Updates

Bitcoin often sees sharp moves around FOMC meetings, and history suggests caution. In 2025, BTC fell after 7 of 8 Fed meetings, with drops ranging from –6% to –29%. Only one meeting triggered a brief rally.For 2026’s first meeting, the chance of a rate cut is just 2.8%, meaning no major support from lower rates is expected. While markets usually turn hopeful before the Fed decision, Bitcoin has mostly reacted negatively afterward. FOMC weeks remain high-risk periods for volatility and downside moves.

The Federal Reserve begins its FOMC meeting today, with markets expecting no interest rate cut for now. Official data shows inflation holding steady, while job numbers remain strong, giving the Fed room to wait. Policymakers are also cautious because recent inflation and labor figures were affected by the 2025 government shutdown. However, independent price data paints a different picture, showing a sharp drop in inflation in January. For now, the Fed is likely to stay patient and watch the data closely.