What the Fed’s divided 2026 outlook means for Bitcoin and crypto

The Federal Reserve’s December dot plot revealed sharp divisions on 2026 rate cuts, with analysts predicting one to two cuts could shape crypto momentum.

The US Federal Reserve has been highly influential on crypto market momentum this year, and its impact is likely to continue into 2026 as divisions among policymakers remain.

The Fed made three interest rate cuts in 2025, the most recent on December 10, which brought rates down to between 3.5% to 3.75%. 

However, projections suggest there will only be one additional cut in 2026 despite rates remaining at their highest levels since 2008.

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