Why Is The Crypto Market Up Today?
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The crypto market ticked up on June 12, with the total crypto market cap rising just 0.39% to $2.15 trillion as easing Middle East tensions lifted broader markets.
Bitcoin (BTC) gained about 1.6% over 24 hours to $63,425 but stayed below resistance. Hyperliquid (HYPE), back among the gainers, rose 7% as perpetual trading around the SpaceX listing built.
In the news today:-
- The SEC proposed scrapping Rule 611 of Regulation NMS, which Galaxy’s Alex Thorn called one of the biggest structural barriers to trading tokenized US stocks in DeFi.
- Crypto prediction markets crossed $2 billion in World Cup winner bets across Polymarket and Kalshi, the largest single prediction-market event in crypto history, with Spain and France tied as co-favorites.
- Crypto traders priced SpaceX near a $2.2 trillion valuation through perpetual futures on Hyperliquid and Binance, well above the roughly $1.8 trillion IPO level, ahead of the record listing.
Crypto Barely Joins the Stock Rally as Iran Tensions Ease
The total crypto market cap rose just 0.39% to $2.15 trillion, a marginal move that lagged a much stronger rally in equities. The driver is spillover, and a weak one.
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The S&P 500 closed up 1.75% on June 11 after President Trump signaled progress toward a war-end narrative and stepped back from earlier threats to strike. Oil corrected on the same news, easing the energy-driven inflation that had pressured risk assets all month.
BREAKING:🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 President Trump has declared an official end to the war with Iran, announcing that a peace agreement will soon be signed in Europe. The breakthrough follows direct negotiations between Trump and the leaders of Qatar, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia. Notably, Israeli… pic.twitter.com/rtgTgR8aSe
— Commentary Donald J. Trump Truth Social Posts On X (@TrumpTruthOnX) June 11, 2026
The gap between the two moves is the story. Stocks rallied hard while crypto inched up, which shows digital assets caught only the faint tail of the macro shift rather than leading it.
The de-escalation read is also unconfirmed, since Trump has shifted position repeatedly and no formal agreement has been signed, so the tone is cautious optimism rather than resolution.
The structure is improving but unproven. The $2.02 trillion floor still holds, and the market is inching toward the $2.19 trillion resistance lost on June 4.
A break above $2.19 trillion, helped by the oil correction, opens room toward $2.29 trillion and $2.37 trillion. A failure there keeps the range intact.
Bitcoin Looks Range-Bound as a Weekend Catalyst Stays Absent
Bitcoin traded at $63,425, up about 1.6% over 24 hours but still capped below the $64,637 resistance. The macro spillover lifted BTC modestly, yet the move lacks a crypto-specific catalyst to extend it. Heading into a weekend, when liquidity thins, that absence points to range-bound action rather than a breakout.
The chart supports the stalemate. Both buying and selling pressure have faded, with buying volume dropping since June 7 and selling volume falling sharply since June 5. That balance tends to compress price into a range until a catalyst arrives. A daily close above $64,637 would open $68,137 and $73,731. A fall below $59,019 is the critical risk, a roughly 7% drop with little support beneath.
The SpaceX listing may not supply the spark. The stock lists today, so its full effect lands next week, and the capital it pulls in could stay in equities rather than rotate into crypto. Until a crypto-native catalyst appears, the range holds.
Hyperliquid (HYPE) Climbs 7% as SpaceX Perps Drive Volume
Hyperliquid traded at $59.31, up 7% over 24 hours and back among the gainers after a brief stall. The move has a direct catalyst. Crypto traders are pricing SpaceX near a $2.2 trillion valuation through perpetual futures, and Hyperliquid is hosting a large share of that “perp” activity ahead of the listing, which lifts demand for the token tied to the venue.
The 12-hour chart turned constructive. HYPE corrected from $75 zone in early June after forming a multi-top structure, then found a floor. It has now reclaimed the 50-period exponential moving average, a trend gauge that smooths recent price, at $58.97. It now eyes the 20-period EMA, currently sitting at $60.42.
An 80% rally surfaced May 16 onwards, when price crossed the 20-period average, the last time. A push above $61.50 therefore would open $66.96 and $75.75 as the next targets.
The level to hold is the moving-average reclaim. A sustained move above $61.50 confirms strength, while a drop back below the $58.14 zone would stall the recovery.
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