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KEY TAKEAWAYS †Community finished Week 5 on top by sticking to an equalâweighted, largeâcap basket (BNB/BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP). †AI excelled when trend persistence and breadth were strong, but its overâdiversified tail muted outperformance in choppy conditions. †Team captured eventâdriven pockets (ONDO/LINK/XRP), yet a wide âothersâ sleeve diluted conviction and underperformed in a BTCâled market. †Macro backdrop: brief liquidity shock over the weekend on Oct. 11â12, fast recovery by Monday â a sign of a more resilient market structure. †Big idea: Collective intelligence wins when uncertainty is high and liquidity leads; process beats prediction.
âWhoâs smarter â you, AI, or the crypto team?â That question powers our public Crypto Portfolio Showdown, where three sleeves â Community, Team, and AI â run side by side in the open. Every week:
A weekend macro headline triggered a shortâlived liquidity shock on Oct. 11â12: thin weekend books + rising geopolitical risk led to a cascade of forced liquidations. The drawdown lasted roughly a day and hit overâlevered traders hardest. By Monday, prices stabilized and major assets retraced, underscoring growing market resilience. For longâonly investors, it was an uncomfortable but brief drawdown and, for some, a chance to improve average entry.
Figure 1: Crypto Portfolio Showdown â total value by week (W1âW5)
Algorithms thrived on strong trend persistence. AI leaned into leaders (BTC/ETH/SOL) and AIâadjacent momentum (WLD/CFX), sprinting to an early lead. Community stuck to blue chips; Team built a catalyst mix (ETH exchange outflows, XRPâs regulatory arc, ONDO product push, LINK institutional traction).
Community doubled down on majors (SOL/ETH/XRP/BNB/BTC) and edged ahead of Team, while AI plateaued after rotating into higherâbeta alts (LINK/PENDLE/FIL). Lesson: when trend quality softens, discipline > novelty.
All three sleeves drew down (Team â10%; Community/AI â7%). Votes still favored large caps (SOL 201 votes; ETH 191), signaling liquidity preference in stress. Team kept a BTC/ETH core, added LINK/PYTH (growth infra) and WIF (momentum) â a combination that amplified volatility as markets slipped.
With momentum back, AI outperformed again (+12%), anchoring BTC/ETH and adding AREX and LINK, while XRP rode regulatoryâclarity narratives. Community gained with the same blueâchip basket (+8%); Team stayed catalystâdriven (+3%) with ONDO/PEPE layered on top of BTC/ETH.
Figure 2: Weekâoverâweek change across portfolios (Weeks 2â5).
Figure 3: Asset allocations by portfolio on Week 5.
Metaâlesson: Edge is regimeâdependent. The best portfolio is the one that adapts fastest to the market you actually have â not the one you wish you had.
BTC dominance around 56â58% kept a lid on broad alt performance. In a BTCâled market, many alts mirror BTCâs pullbacks with higher amplitude. Still, sector leaders showed faster recovery after shocks, hinting at early rotation points inside the alt universe. Translation: we may be in a transition phase â not full altseason, but not dead either.
Each sleeve receives +$1,000 weekly, so raw P&L is misleading. We report:
Community won Week 5 and more than 4,000 participants helped shape the result. The message is simple: crypto remains communityâdriven. In uncertain regimes, collective intelligence > any single analyst, and process beats prediction. Our job at SimpleSwap is to channel that collective edge into clear playbooks, transparent measurement, and tools that help you execute with discipline.
Disclaimer: This article is experimental and produced for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, and should not be relied upon to make investment decisions.
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