Solana Price Prediction as Mixed Signals Put SOL at a Turning Point

Solana is sending mixed signals as two widely shared charts point in opposite directions. One setup warns of another breakdown below a key average, while the other suggests a breakout retest could start a stronger recovery.

Solana chart points to another possible drop below key average

Solana may be setting up for another move lower, according to a chart shared by analyst Ali Charts on X. The analyst said the token has followed the same three step structure several times since October 2025. That pattern starts with a rally above the 50 day simple moving average, then a loss of that level as support, and finally a short period of sideways trading before a sharper decline begins.

Solana Daily Chart. Source: Ali Charts on X

The daily chart shows Solana trading near $78.99 while sitting below the 50 day SMA, which Ali Charts marked near $85.79. The post said SOL moved back above that trend line in mid March and climbed close to $97. However, the breakout did not hold. Since then, the token has slipped back under the moving average and entered a narrow range around $79 to $81.

Ali Charts linked the current setup to two earlier periods. In November 2025, Solana fell below the 50 day SMA, then traded sideways for several weeks before pushing to a fresh local low. A similar move appeared again in January 2026. At that time, SOL briefly reclaimed the same moving average, lost it again, and then drifted in a tight range before another larger sell off followed.

That history forms the basis of the current bearish view. In this reading, the recent sideways action does not show clear stabilization. Instead, it may reflect a pause before another leg down. The analyst argued that Solana now remains in the consolidation phase of the pattern, which has previously ended with renewed weakness.

The key level remains the area around $86. Ali Charts said Solana would need to reclaim that zone quickly to weaken the bearish setup. Until then, the token stays below its 50 day trend line and within the same range that followed earlier breakdowns. If the pattern repeats again, the chart suggests a possible move toward $52.

Still, this remains a chart based scenario, not a confirmed outcome. Price patterns can fail, especially when broader market conditions shift. Even so, the repeated loss of the 50 day SMA and the weak rebound structure leave Solana at a technical crossroads, with the next move likely to depend on whether buyers can push the token back above resistance soon.

Solana breakout chart points to bullish retest setup

A chart shared by CryptoCurb on X shows a bullish setup for Solana after what the analyst described as a breakout and retest of a long descending trendline. The post argues that SOL may have completed a technical shift after spending months trading under downward resistance. CryptoCurb summarized the setup in three steps: breakout, retest, and then a possible stronger move higher.

SOL / TetherUS 1D Chart. Source: CryptoCurb on TradingView,shared via X

The daily chart maps a falling resistance line from late 2025 into early April 2026. According to the setup, Solana recently moved above that trendline and then came back to test it from above. In technical analysis, that kind of retest can matter because former resistance often turns into support if buyers stay in control. The chart marks that zone as the key area where the structure changed.

CryptoCurb’s projection suggests the trendline break could open the way for a broader rally. The chart includes a forward path that shows momentum building after the retest, with a move back above the $100 zone and then a possible push much higher if strength continues. That projected path is not confirmation, but it shows the analyst’s view that the breakout may mark the end of the previous downtrend.

Still, the setup depends on the retest holding. If Solana fails to stay above the broken trendline, the breakout thesis would weaken. For now, the chart presents a clear bullish argument: a long period of lower highs may have ended, and the retest phase could decide whether Solana starts a stronger recovery move.