Bitcoin averages 100% return after down years: Will the pattern repeat in 2026?

History shows Bitcoin’s rare down years have been followed by triple-digit rebounds, keeping 2026 firmly on traders’ watchlists.

Bitcoin (BTC) ended 2025 slightly in the red with a -6.36% return after a strong start earlier in the year. While the annual loss appears modest, historical patterns suggest that down years have often preceded some of Bitcoin’s strongest rallies.

Key takeaways:

Bitcoin has historically averaged close to 100% gains in the year following a down year.

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