PEPE at a Crossroads – Can The Meme Coin Rebound For a 54% or Even 150% Rally?

23d ago•

bullish:

bearish:

PEPE has lost nearly half its value recently, dropping about 47.78%—and the past 24 hours have only deepened that slide with an additional 1.89% drop. However, fresh market signs suggest a turnaround might be on the horizon. Some experts believe that if these trends continue, it could bounce back with a rally of around 54%, potentially turning its fortunes around.

Accumulation Fuels Optimism

Market sentiment appears to be turning around for this memecoin. The Accumulation/Distribution Ratio shows significant buying, with 635.23 trillion tokens changing hands—an indication that investors may be expecting a rebound. Meanwhile, the RSI is climbing toward 50, which could confirm increasing buying momentum.

The spot market has seen a steady stream of buyers.

Adding to this, exchange data from Coinglass reveals a negative netflow, which usually points to buying rather than selling. While spot market buys have been significant—one transaction alone was $148.86 million. Since the start of 2025, the spot market has seen a steady stream of buyers, with about $30 million worth of the coin purchased just last week—and one standout transaction reaching $148.86 million. Such large acquisitions suggest that investors may be gearing up to push the coin past its near-term resistance levels.

Can PEPE Survive the Negative Funding Rate?

However, not all indicators are positive. The Open-Interest Weighted Funding Rate, which mixes derivatives market data with funding rates, has fallen significantly and remains in negative territory. After peaking at 0.0101% on February 14, this rate has since dropped to a mere 0.0002, remaining in the negative territory.

PEPE at a Crossroads - Can The Meme Coin Rebound For a 54% or Even 150% Rally? = The Bit Journal

However, market observers warn that if the Open-Interest Weighted Funding Rate begins trending upward, it would further lead to a bullish case.

Can Ascending Channel Lead Towards A Breakout?

Recent technical analysis reveals that this memecoin navigates an ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. After bouncing off a key support level, the coin now seems to be moving toward a critical resistance area at about $0.00001056. Breaking above this barrier could open the door to a broader rally, possibly lifting PEPE to $0.00001477—a potential gain of about 54.22%.

However, it also needs to overcome resistance points at $0.00001137, $0.00001217, and $0.00001331 to maintain any bullish momentum. There is a “death cross” (where the 50-day WMA falls below the 200-day WMA) and a “bearish flag” pattern, plus the price is now below the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.000011).

The “falling wedge” pattern on the charts points to a bullish reversal.

If this continues, Pepe could slide to around $0.0000058, which it last touched in August. There is a silver lining, though. A “falling wedge” pattern on the charts sometimes points to a bullish reversal. If its price breaks above the top of this wedge, it could climb to around $0.000025—roughly a 150% increase from current levels.

Memecoin Hype Meets Reality

Pepe is now trading at about $0.000010—down 65% from its December high—wiping out roughly $6 billion in market value and mirroring a wider meme coin downturn. Yet, the holder count has climbed from 384,000 to over 404,000, indicating that some investors are still accumulating despite the price drop. However, with a massive 4.21 billion trillion coins, reaching that price would push its total value to about $842 billion—bigger than Bitcoin and even the whole crypto market. Even if a lot of coins were burned, the huge supply problem wouldn’t just go away.

Realistically, this memecoin might stay around $0.000009 soon. Dropping a zero (to push up the price) would require a big jump in demand, which isn’t guaranteed. Long-term, hoping for $0.01 by 2030 is still a stretch.

Conclusion

Pepe has dropped nearly 50% recently, but technical signs like an ascending channel and a falling wedge hint at a possible rebound of 54% to 150%—if it breaks through key resistance levels. Despite large buys, the negative Open-Interest Weighted Funding Rate signals caution. Given PEPE’s massive supply and the broader meme coin slump, a big price jump remains doubtful.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. Is a 54% or even 150% price rally possible?

Yes, if PEPE breaks key resistance levels and maintains bullish momentum.

2. Why are investors optimistic despite the drop?

Accumulation and a climbing RSI suggest renewed buying interest.

3. Does negative netflow point to more buying?

Generally, yes—negative netflow often indicates higher buying pressure than selling.

4. Is the negative funding rate a deal-breaker?

It’s a concern, but if it turns positive, PEPE’s bullish case could strengthen.

5. What’s crucial about the ascending channel?

It could lead to a breakout above $0.00001056, paving the way for a 54% rally.

Glossary of Key Terms:

PEPE: A meme-inspired cryptocurrency known for its extreme price swings.

Accumulation/Distribution Ratio: A metric showing if traders are mainly buying (accumulating) or selling (distributing).

Near-term resistance levels: Price thresholds where an asset tends to struggle moving higher in the short term.

Death cross: A bearish signal triggered when a shorter moving average falls below a longer moving average.

Falling wedge: A chart pattern often indicating a potential bullish reversal once it breaks out upward.

Fibonacci Retracement: A technical analysis tool used to identify potential support and resistance levels by applying Fibonacci ratios to recent price movements.

Funding Rate Data: Metrics derived from futures contracts that indicate the cost or credit for holding a position are used to gauge market sentiment.

On-chain Signals: Data points obtained directly from the blockchain (such as transaction volume, wallet activity, and staking behavior) that provide insights into market trends and investor behavior.