Solana is nearing a triangle breakout at $145, with $44.95 million in long liquidations looming below $143. Will SOL crash to $134?
With the broader market experiencing a slight pullback, Solana is trading at $144.48. After a nearly 2% surge on May 5, the price is undergoing an intraday decline of approximately 1.5%.
Amid short-term volatility, Solana's price is approaching the apex of a triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout. Will the SOL price avoid a breakdown below $143 and the potential liquidation of nearly $45 million in long positions?
Solana Price Nears Triangle Breakout
On the 4-hour chart, Solana’s price trend is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, marked by two converging trend lines. This indicates a tightening of the SOL price range near the $145 level.
Solana Price Chart
The recent pullback within the triangle has caused the price to breach both the 50- and 100-period simple moving averages. This raises the risk of a negative crossover between these averages, potentially triggering a sell signal.
However, as Solana nears the triangle’s apex, the MACD and signal lines are converging in negative territory, hinting at a possible shift in momentum.
SOL Price Targets
While Solana continues to trade within the triangle, it remains in a no-trade zone. A breakout from the pattern could test the immediate resistance at $155.
A successful breakout rally would significantly increase the probability of Solana reaching the $180 level. Conversely, a breakdown could lead to a retest of the 200-period simple moving average at $134, signaling a potential downside of nearly 7%.
Bearish Sentiments on the Rise in Solana Derivatives
While Solana holds within the triangle pattern, the derivatives market shows a slight uptick in bearish sentiment. According to CoinGlass’s long-to-short ratio chart, short positions have increased to 51.72% over the past four hours.
This shift has brought the long-to-short ratio down to 0.9335, indicating a marginally bearish-dominated market.
Solana Long/Short Ratio Chart
Additionally, the SOL exchange liquidation map signals a potential $44.95 million in long liquidations if Solana drops to $143.3. A sharp increase in long liquidations could trigger a more severe correction due to a domino effect.
Solana Liquidation Map