Cardano in 2025:  ADA Price Holds 100-Week EMA Support – Is a $3.10 Comeback Possible?

Cardano (ADA) maintains its position as a top cryptocurrency market, but the Cardano price lacks the recent bullish strength shown by Bitcoin. ADA shows price stability while remaining under $0.62 with its current trading value, although it stood at a peak ADA price of $3.10 during its lifetime. The main issue revolves around whether Cardano (ADA) can hike its price by more than 400% until 2025 to set new milestones or remain second to stronger blockchains. Upcoming advances include a possible interface with BitcoinOS.

ADA Stuck in a Rut: Why It Still Lags Behind

Since its 2023 top of $1.32, Cardano price has fallen sharply and is still much below its 2021 ATH of $3.10. This year, Bitcoin hit new highs, but ADA and other significant altcoins have had difficulty keeping up. A major factor is Cardano’s limited developer activity, which has often led critics to label it a “ghost chain.” 

As of April 2025, the network has just $300 million in Total Value Locked (TVL), according to DeFi Llama – far behind other layer-1 platforms like Solana, Avalanche, and Binance Smart Chain. These low TVL points to weak DeFi participation and raises questions about Cardano’s real-world utility and adoption.

BitcoinOS Integration: A Turning Point for Cardano?

Cardano’s potential turnaround may be tied to a highly anticipated integration with BitcoinOS, which leverages zero-knowledge cryptography to connect Bitcoin’s liquidity with Cardano’s smart contracts. This system would allow Bitcoin holders to generate passive income on Cardano, without needing intermediaries. Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, believes this integration could unlock billions of dollars for ADA’s ecosystem.

On the technical front, things are looking slightly more optimistic. ADA price has found solid support at the 100-week EMA and has recently broken above a long-standing ascending trendline. Most notably, ADA is forming a bullish falling wedge – a pattern typically followed by breakouts. If ADA breaks this wedge to the upside, its first resistance level would be $1.32, representing a 117% increase from current levels.

Chart 1- ADA/USD Live Price, published on TradingView, April 17, 2025.

However, to hit a full 400% rally and reclaim its ATH near $3.10, the broader market must enter a strong bull phase. Altcoins generally follow Bitcoin’s lead, but Cardano also needs ecosystem growth, particularly in DeFi, NFTs, and real-world applications. Developer engagement and network upgrades will play a critical role in reigniting investor interest.

ADA in 2025: Rebound or Just Another Fade?

While the technical structure hints at a possible breakout, the Cardano price in the long-term trajectory will depend heavily on whether it can build meaningful utility. Analysts suggest that even if ADA reclaims $1.30, ADA in 2025 would still need major ecosystem catalysts and a broader altcoin rally to reach its all-time high again. A 400% rise isn’t impossible, but it’s unlikely without fundamental changes and stronger developer engagement.

Final Verdict: Can Cardano Climb Back to $3.10?

Cardano price action recently is encouraging for bulls, but caution is still warranted. While a move to $1.30 is technically within reach, a 400% rally to a new all-time high will require more than just positive chart patterns—it needs sustained developer growth, real-world use cases, and strong macro conditions in the cryptocurrency market. For now, ADA investors should keep a close eye on the BitcoinOS integration and overall market sentiment as key indicators of what lies ahead.

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