NOIDA (CoinChapter.com) — This week, five key crypto charts demand close attention as major events unfold across the market. Bitcoin (BTC) could see volatility with FTX set to begin creditor repayments totaling $7 billion on Feb. 18. The market will be watching for any price reactions to this significant liquidity movement.
Jupiter (JUP) is another coin under the spotlight as the platform initiates token buybacks, allocating 50% of protocol fees to purchasing JUP. This move could drive price action, making its chart a focal point for traders. Meanwhile, Ethereum (ETH) appears strong, with Hyperliquid integrating ETH spot trading, which could increase market activity around the asset.
Bitcoin (BTC) Faces FTX Payments And Institutional Outflows
Bitcoin price chart is unsurprisingly one of the five to watch this week. BTC could likely face heightened volatility this week as FTX prepares to distribute $6.5 billion to $7 billion in creditor repayments on Feb. 18. On-chain data confirms test transactions from FTX wallets, signaling imminent large-scale transfers.
FTX to inject $7B—Bitcoin volatility ahead?
While fresh liquidity could boost Bitcoin if reinvested, whether creditors will re-enter the crypto market or withdraw into fiat remains uncertain.
Compounding this uncertainty, Bitcoin saw significant outflows of $430 million last week, marking a break in the 19-week post-election inflow streak that added $29.4 billion to digital asset investment products.
Crypto investment vehicles fund flow by asset. Source: Coinshares
These outflows coincided with a hawkish stance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and higher-than-expected US inflation data, indicating that macroeconomic concerns are weighing on sentiment. Notably, there were no inflows into short-Bitcoin products, suggesting investors are not outright bearish but may be shifting to risk-off strategies.
With institutions already increasing exposure to Bitcoin, this week’s price action will be crucial in determining market direction. If FTX payouts fuel buying, Bitcoin could regain strength.
The BTC-USD pair has been moving horizontally for most of Feb. 2025. The token’s 20-day EMA (red) and 50-day EMA (purple) have formed a resistance confluence that could make life difficult for the bulls.
Overcoming this dynamic duo would bring BTC’s price close to the near $100,700 resistance level, the coveted six-figure price tag that Bitcoin has failed to remain above.
However, the 100-day EMA (blue) trendline remains the first line of defense for the bulls, failing which Bitcoin price could drop to the support near $91,600. Any downside movement from this point could exacerbate the bearish pressure against the token.
Moreover, the FTX payouts could trigger volatility, with potential upside if funds re-enter BTC. However, outflows and a weak RSI (44.90) suggest a cautious sentiment. Failure to reclaim resistance may lead to further downside.
Jupiter Buyback Could Attract Traders To JUP
Jupiter (JUP) has launched its token buyback program, committing 50% of protocol fees to repurchases starting Feb. 17, 2025. This move reduces circulating supply, potentially affecting price action, making JUP another crypto chart to watch this week.
Jupiter’s Ultra Mode generates $500,000 to $650,000 in daily fees, total revenue exceeding $9.6 million in two weeks. Buybacks from these earnings could create sustained demand, with all repurchased tokens locked for three years.
Jupiter begins JUP buybacks, locking for three years.
The move aligns with a broader DeFi trend of value-accrual mechanisms, similar to buyback initiatives by Aave and Ethena. With Jupiter’s leading trading volume among Solana-based DEX aggregators, the buyback’s impact on JUP’s price remains a key market focus.
However, despite the launch of its buyback program, the JUP price has struggled to gain traction. The token is down nearly 9% on Feb. 17, trading near $0.813. The drop brings JUP’s losses since Feb. 15 to more than 15%.
JUP price’s continuing downtrend could extend its losses, pushing the token toward the $0.76 support. The RSI stands at 43.08, reflecting weak momentum, while the selling volume remains elevated, indicating persistent bearish pressure.
JUP USD daily price chart with RSI. Source: Tradingview
The market reaction suggests that traders remain cautious despite the buyback announcement. Historically, buybacks create supply constraints over time rather than providing an immediate price boost. As such, the Jupiter token could factor in the buyback announcement later in the week.
If JUP fails to hold support near $0.76, a further drop toward $0.65 remains possible. However, a break above $0.88 could shift sentiment, with the next resistance at $0.94. The market remains unconvinced by the buyback’s short-term impact, keeping JUP’s price action under pressure.
Ethereum Has A Choppy Week Ahead
Ethereum (ETH) enters the spotlight this week as Hyperliquid adds ETH spot trading, potentially increasing liquidity and trading activity. The move integrates spot and derivatives markets, which could impact price dynamics by attracting institutional and retail traders.
Macro factors also play a role. CoinShares data shows ETH saw $7.2 million in outflows last week but maintains $785.8 million in month-to-date inflows, indicating institutional accumulation. Broader market conditions may influence ETH’s trajectory, with Neal Roarty, a cryptocurrency analyst at ClickOut Media, noting that macro uncertainty drives investor caution.
He highlights that “even with a pro-crypto president, market sentiment feels increasingly cautious” ahead of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes. Risk assets like ETH could face downward pressure if the Fed refuses to cut rates.
Meanwhile, broad-based dollar weakness due to weaker US retail sales and ongoing tariff uncertainty may support ETH. A declining dollar has historically driven capital into alternative assets, and if this trend continues, Ethereum could benefit.
Ethereum Exchange Netflow (Total) across all exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant
On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows Ethereum outflows increasing on Feb. 17, suggesting accumulation as traders move ETH off exchanges. The shift could indicate positioning ahead of Hyperliquid’s spot trading launch, reinforcing ETH exchange flow as a key chart to watch this week.
More outflows could indicate growing scarcity in the market, a potential bullish cue for ETH price. However, with macro volatility persisting, ETH’s short-term outlook remains uncertain, making it a key chart to watch as traders assess whether Hyperliquid’s expansion can offset broader market risks.
Another Chart To Watch This Week Is ETH Again
Interestingly, the ETH price action has resulted in the token testing the support level of a bullish technical setup called the ‘ascending triangle.’
The pattern consists of a rising trendline connecting higher lows and a horizontal resistance level. It suggests growing buyer strength, with higher lows forming as selling pressure weakens near resistance.
ETH USD pair has formed a bullish technical setup. Source: Tradingview
ETH is trading around $2,740, bouncing off the ascending trendline near $2,460. This signals strong demand at this level, preventing a deeper retracement. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $2,753 acts as short-term resistance, with a decisive close above it potentially confirming bullish momentum.
The ascending triangle setup traditionally projects a price target by measuring the triangle’s height from its base to the resistance level and adding it to the breakout point. In this case, a confirmed breakout from the pattern gives ETH price a potential target move toward $8,140, a jump of 196% from current levels.
The price target is theoretical and a bit too far-fetched. Yet, moving to the pattern’s upper trendline would bring the ETH price close to $4,000, netting traders substantial gains.
However, failure to sustain support could invalidate the setup, opening downside risks toward the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at $2,100. The RSI at 44.47 suggests ETH remains in neutral territory, leaving room for a stronger push higher if buying volume increases.
Traders are watching for a breakout above $3,450 to confirm a bullish continuation, while downside risks remain if ETH loses trendline support. The coming sessions will determine whether Ethereum maintains its bullish structure or faces renewed selling pressure.
Cardano’s Flag Makes It A Key Chart To Watch This Week
Cardano (ADA) has recently experienced a notable 14% increase over the past week, adding approximately $4 billion to its market capitalization. This surge is largely attributed to Grayscale’s filing for a Cardano spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) and discussions of a potential partnership with Microsoft.
ADA is currently trading at $0.795885, reflecting a slight retreat from its daily high of $0.826589.
Analysts are optimistic about ADA’s trajectory, with some forecasting a rise to $7, contingent on ETF approval and increased institutional adoption. Notably, ADA saw $1.9 million in institutional inflows last week, surpassing Ethereum’s outflows during the same period.
While these developments position Cardano as a cryptocurrency to monitor closely, potential investors should consider market volatility before making investment decisions.
ADA USD pair has formed a bullish technical setup. Source: Tradingview
ADA’s technical structure supports this outlook. The weekly chart shows a bull flag setup, a continuation pattern where a steep price rally (flagpole) is followed by a downward consolidation (flag) before a breakout. The pattern suggests that after a brief pullback, the trend could resume higher.
The bull flag’s price target is calculated by measuring the flagpole’s height and adding it to the breakout point. In ADA’s case, the recent surge from $0.30 to $0.80 suggests a potential move toward $3.38 if the Cardano token manages to stage a successful breakout.
With rising adoption and strong technical signals, ADA remains a key chart to watch this week as market sentiment shifts in its favor.