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CoinStats

New MicroStrategy Bitcoin Metrics: Innovation or Goalpost Moving by Michael Saylor?

2h ago
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Michael Saylor rolled out a new set of Bitcoin (BTC) treasury metrics for MicroStrategy (MSTR), as critics question whether the company can keep adding leverage without hurting common shareholders.

The metrics arrived during a steep pullback in MSTR. The stock now trades below the value of its Bitcoin once debt and preferred obligations are subtracted. Saylor frames the tools as innovation, while skeptics see something more familiar.

MSTR stock trades below the value of its Bitcoin once debt and preferred obligations are subtracted (mNAV)MSTR stock trades below the value of its Bitcoin once debt and preferred obligations are subtracted (mNAV). Source: Bitcoin Treasuries

What Saylor’s New Metrics Measure

MicroStrategy already reports four KPIs to regulators. They are:

  • Bitcoin Per Share
  • BTC Yield
  • BTC Gain, and
  • BTC dollar Gain.

Effective January 2026, the company also changed how it calculates those figures for interim periods.

Michael Saylor’s latest posts go further. He added CEBE BPS, which counts Bitcoin per share after senior claims, and a concept he calls Amplification, the gap that leverage opens between the two readings.

“Not all liabilities are equal. Short-duration, high-cost liabilities can turn amplification into risk and underperformance. Long-duration, low-cost liabilities can turn amplification into common equity upside. If BTC ARR exceeds the cost of capital, a well-capitalized Bitcoin Treasury Company should outperform BTC,” the MicroStrategy chair explained.

Neither term appears in the official filings.

Strategy holds 845,256 BTC after a buying program that began in August 2020, building record Bitcoin holdings now worth about $54 billion.

Company filings put the average entry near $75,700 and the cost basis above $61 billion, leaving the stack underwater while Bitcoin’s spot price hovers near $64,000.

A first-quarter unrealized loss of $14.5 billion drove a $12.5 billion net loss, but Michael Saylor remains keen on buying.

Critics See Goalpost Moving, Supporters See Innovation

Analyst Nic Pucrin warned that Strategy trades around 84% of its gross Bitcoin value and that every option makes things worse.

Issuing stock dilutes Bitcoin per share, more preferreds add to obligations now above $13.5 billion, and selling Bitcoin risks a panic. He saw no clean exit.

“I’m genuinely concerned about Strategy’s position right now,” the Coin Bureau executive stated.

Quinn Thompson echoed the concern. He noted MSTR common trades near 0.8 times net asset value behind $8.2 billion in debt and preferred shares paying as much as 11.5%.

He said the company sells stock worth 80 cents to buy dollar bills. Former banker Pius Sprenger went after the metrics themselves.

Investor Adrian argued the KPIs track capital efficiency, not value. Strategy’s own filings agree, stating the metrics are not valuation measures and that owning a share grants no claim on its Bitcoin.

That admission frames the risks for MSTR shareholders, sharpened by Strategy’s first Bitcoin sale since 2022.

The verdict may rest on Bitcoin itself. A strong rally would validate Saylor’s leveraged Bitcoin bet.

A flat market leaves the senior claims in place. Which outcome arrives first remains the open question.

2h ago
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bearish:

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