BTC Price Reclaims $104,000: Altcoin Bulls Might be Waking Up

Key Insights:

• BTC price reclaims $104,000 as altcoin market shows signs of bullish momentum.
• Analyst Dan Gambardello points to Ethereum’s critical triangle pattern test.
• Altcoin charts display indicators similar to previous bull market beginnings.

Bitcoin (BTC) price has pushed back above the $104,000 level as crypto analyst Dan Gambardello suggested that altcoin bulls are beginning to wake up.

In his recent market analysis, Gambardello highlights several technical patterns and indicators suggesting that cryptocurrencies may be positioned for a broader rally. The analyst particularly focuses on Ethereum’s test of a multi-year triangle pattern and examines altcoin charts that show promising similarities to previous cycle bottoms.

Ethereum tests critical triangle pattern

Ethereum’s price action currently is one of the most important technical setups in the crypto market, according to Gambardello.

The second-largest cryptocurrency is testing the lower boundary of a multi-year triangle pattern. After previously breaking down and now potentially staging a “busted pattern” reversal.

Gambardello explains,

“This entire move, a multi-year triangle, we’ve tracked, right? The breakout to the downside, the speculation that this would be a fake breakout with a pullback to the triangle itself, a busted pattern in play, and it’s never been more in play than right now.”

Ethereum recently climbed above $2,500, positioning it just below the critical triangle boundary. The analyst notes that this level coincides with the 200-day moving average around $2,700. This creates a key resistance zone that will decide ETH’s next major move.

Gambardello emphasizes that Ethereum’s performance is particularly important as a leading indicator for the broader altcoin market: “This chart is so important, even if you don’t hold Ethereum, because this is a leading indicator for altcoins.”

Should Ethereum successfully reclaim this pattern and hold above it, Gambardello suggests that “$10,000 Ethereum is very much in play for this bull run.”

Altcoin, BTC Price charts show bullish indicators

Examining the broader altcoin market, Gambardello points to several technical indicators that mirror patterns seen at the beginning of previous bull cycles. Looking at the total cryptocurrency market capitalization excluding Bitcoin, he highlights similarities between current conditions and historical bottoms.

Gambardello notes,

“Through the recent weeks, how often were we just talking about how these high fear events, we’ve seen them before, and it’s almost like they always play out the same way.”

The analyst draws parallels between the current market structure and previous cycle bottoms during the 2015 bear market, 2018 bear market low, and the COVID crash of 2020. In each case, these high-fear environments preceded substantial rallies.

Bitcoin dominance is also a very important indicator Gambardello is monitoring. Bitcoin dominance on the monthly time frame is challenging the upper range of a Fibonacci range with potential bearish divergence in momentum oscillators. The pattern is akin to previous BTC price cycle tops in Bitcoin dominance, which are typically followed by altcoin rallies.

Trade deal catalyst could accelerate BTC price surge

A potential US-China trade deal could serve as a short-term catalyst for crypto markets, according to Gambardello’s analysis. He highlights recent developments in trade negotiations that appear to be positively influencing market sentiment.

“Right now, the tariff deal between US and China is very much in play, it’s on the table,” Gambardello states. He references a social media post about a “very good meeting today with China and Switzerland” that mentioned a “total reset, negotiated in a friendly, but constructive manner.”

The analyst points to prediction markets that show quickly shifting odds of a US-China trade deal being reached before June. According to data he shared from PolyMarket, the probability jumped from 21% on May 8 to 67%. This happened within just two days as news of productive negotiations spread.

This potential catalyst arrives alongside what Gambardello sees as favorable macro conditions. This includes shifts in Federal Reserve monetary policy. He said,

“We’re talking about the Fed monetary policy pivot, we’re talking about global M2 money supply and liquidity on a global scale has been just seeing higher highs and higher lows.”

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