Bitcoin Could Avoid Major Crash as Lyn Alden Warns Traders Not to Expect Guaranteed Gains

• Lyn Alden sees stability ahead as Bitcoin avoids expected major crash.
• Analysts dispute cycle theories while traders lower expectations for gains.
• Market remains divided as warnings challenge hopes for rapid Bitcoin recovery.

Fresh caution is spreading across the crypto market as new commentary challenges expectations for Bitcoin’s next major move. Many traders anticipated a strong year end climb, yet recent insights point toward a more measured outlook that could reshape sentiment.

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Analysts challenge cycle theories as traders scale back expectations

According to macroeconomist Lyn Alden, Bitcoin has not entered the euphoric phase that usually precedes deep market collapses. She explained on the What Bitcoin Did podcast that current conditions offer little reason to expect a severe capitulation. Moreover she emphasized that broader macro trends now guide Bitcoin’s direction rather than the familiar halving cycle.

Besides this shift, Alden noted that the cycle could last longer than many forecasts suggest. Her view aligns with Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan who also dismissed the four year cycle narrative and predicted several strong years for the market. Their comments present a calmer perspective during a volatile period.

However, concerns remain among some industry voices. Sigma Capital CEO Vineet Budki expects Bitcoin to retrace between 65% and 70% in the coming two years. His warning contrasts sharply with Alden’s stance, yet she maintained that markets rarely match the extreme scenarios investors imagine.

Bitcoin recently fell from its record high of one hundred twenty five thousand one hundred dollars reached on October five. It slipped to eighty thousand seven hundred dollars before recovering to eighty five thousand seven hundred ten dollars at the time of reporting. Market sentiment weakened as traders abandoned hopes for another quick surge. Some analysts including BitMEX co founder Arthur Hayes had predicted a run toward two hundred fifty thousand dollars.

Alden’s warning against expecting guaranteed gains

Alden urged investors to stop assuming that bull markets will appear automatically. She stressed that no one is owed a bullish phase and that expectations must remain grounded. Additionally she projected that Bitcoin could reclaim one hundred thousand dollars in 2026. She added that new all time highs could follow either in 2026 or in 2027 depending on market conditions.

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s outlook remains divided as steady confidence meets sharp caution. Alden’s message stands out by reminding traders to avoid expecting guaranteed rewards while the market navigates another unpredictable stretch.

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