AVAX Eyes $30 After Whales Dive In But Will Retail Keep Up?

1d ago•

bullish:

bearish:

According to the latest CoinMarketCap data, the AVAX price is currently holding steady just below the key $25 resistance level. This is sparking considerable speculation among traders and analysts.

The AVAX is currently trading around the $21.37 level, hence there is a possibility of a bullish breakout. In the last 24 hours, the coin reached its highest price of $23.80, which is approximately 11.4% above the current price.

Experts warn that the momentum alone will not be enough to guarantee the next big rally. The AVAX price prediction is still uncertain, as both retail investors and big whales are shaping the coin’s short-term outlook.

Whale Accumulation Sparks Fresh Optimism

Whale behaviour has clearly become bullish, and the netflow has been raised by a striking +191.9 % over the past week. This shows that large holders are showing more interest and seem to be positioned near the $25 resistance.

Analysts say this kind of action can act as a strong boost, which possibly gives the liquidity that is needed for AVAX to break through this important level.

The AVAX price is still in a delicate position, and even though the rise in whale activity has brought hope, it doesn’t remove the risk of facing another rejection at the top.

Retail Buyers Fuel Short-Term Momentum

It is not just the AVAX whales who are making moves. Retail wallet Concentration has increased by +12.93%. This suggests a growing interest and participation from individual investors rather than just large holders.

The transactions between $1k and $10k have surged by +282.63%. This wave of small and mid-sized buyers has been a key factor behind the recent short-term momentum.

Analysts note that this increased retail activity is contributing to the current price action. This could help set the stage for a potential breakout if the trend continues

However, other market observers suggest that retail-driven rallies can be volatile. This is because they usually lack the strong liquidity that institutional players bring.

Metrics	Value	Sources
Current AVAX Price	$21.42	Coinmarketcap
24h High Price	$23.80	Coinmarketcap
24h Trading Volume	$585.76M	Coinmarketcap
Market Cap	$9.02B	Coinmarketcap
All-Time High	$146.22 (2021)	Coinmarketcap
Near-term Outlook	$30	Mitrade

Derivatives Market Shows Bullish Bias — But Watch for Risks

On the derivatives side, AVAX has seen a +21.64% increase in trading volume. It nearly reached $963 million, along with a small +2.66% increase in open interest.

Data from Binance shows that about 75% of traders are currently holding long positions on AVAX. This raised the long/short ratio to 3.0,1, which is a clear sign of bullish Sentiment.

Experts warn that this heavy tilt towards long positions increases the risk of a sharp drop if the AVAX price can’t break above the resistance. Too many over-leveraged long positions can quickly cause forced sell-offs.

This might even bring more volatility to the market. As a CoinGlass analyst said Being hopeful is fine, but being too confident can cause heavy losses when things go wrong.

Real-World Deals Strengthen Sentiment but Not Activity

Avalanche recently made the announcement of a $240 billion estate tokenization project; this is the largest Blockchain deed initiative in U.S. history, which has brought new excitement to its ecosystem.

AVAX Price Prediction — AVAX Eyes $30 After Whales Dive In But Will Retail Keep Up? 4

The deal focused on digitizing over 370,000 property records across New Jersey. However, despite the big headlines, on-chain data tells a different story.

Over the past week, new addresses on the network have dropped by 24.77%, and active addresses have fallen by 18.58%. According to IntoTheBlock data, the AVAX price surge, which is driven by the RWA deal, has not yet turned into meaningful growth on the network.

Conclusion

The AVAX price is at an important point, big investors and small buyers are helping to push it towards the $25-$27 resistance level. Though the $240 billion real estate project has brought excitement, experts warn that without more real growth and support from big players, the rally might not last.

The AVAX price prediction is staying hopeful, but traders should be careful; a breakout might lead to $30, but if it fails, then the price could drop quickly.