Bitcoin’s 4-Year CAGR Hits 31% as Analyst Targets $168K by October

Bitcoin has bounced back strongly after a weak April, reclaiming bullish momentum and lifting long-term performance indicators. By early June 2025, Bitcoin’s price had surged to around $110,000.

After the April trough, when the 4-year CAGR fell to around 7% and holders’ margins were extremely compressed, the market revived by May–June 2025 BTC’s price had approached $110K and the CAGR recovered to roughly 31% (Strong zone).

Although this remains well below historical… pic.twitter.com/8Fz4w9uutB

— Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) June 12, 2025

According to a recent market analysis, the rally sharply boosted Bitcoin’s 4-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). This metric jumped from a cycle low of 7% to nearly 31%. Though still below the 50% to 80% highs seen in past bull markets, analysts describe the current 31% as the “strong zone,” helping restore optimism in the broader market.

Analyst Predicts BTC Could Reach $168K by October

Several factors are fueling this recovery. Macroeconomic support and growing momentum within the crypto sector have played a role. A key example is futures market data showing an increase in open interest and leverage, indicating a stronger appetite for speculative positions. The rise in derivatives activity is widely seen as a signal that participants are positioning for further upside.

Building on this trend, one on-chain analyst suggested that bitcoin could reach even higher price levels in the coming months if the surge in futures participation continues. The analyst outlined a possible target of $168,000 by October 2025, assuming the current market activity holds.

Bitcoin Hits Key Technical Milestone

Adding to the bullish sentiment, market commentator Benjamin Cowen highlighted a historically important technical signal this week. In a CoinTab report, Cowen noted that Bitcoin’s 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) had recently crossed above its former all-time high. This event historically aligns with key turning points in previous cycles.

While Cowen did not offer a precise price target, his observation reinforced the idea that Bitcoin’s latest rally may extend beyond a short-term bounce. For many, this technical crossover is being viewed as a sign that the asset could be entering a new phase of price discovery.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $107,700. Despite a slight 1.6% pullback in the last 24 hours, the asset remains up 3.1% for the week and has posted a 60% increase over the past year.

The post Bitcoin’s 4-Year CAGR Hits 31% as Analyst Targets $168K by October appeared first on Cointab.