XRP Spot ETF Could Be Approved by April 2025, Says Analyst

Analyst predicts a U.S. XRP spot ETF could be approved by April 2025, as Ripple’s legal battle and global ETF momentum shape the future of institutional crypto adoption.

A prominent crypto researcher has stirred excitement across the XRP community by predicting that a U.S.-based spot Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) for XRP could be approved as early as April 2025. The potential approval date isn’t random, it coincides with key legal and regulatory milestones that may pave the way for XRP to take its place alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum in the ETF arena.

Ripple vs. SEC: The Legal Battle That Could Decide Everything

The prediction centers around the ongoing lawsuit between Ripple Labs and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The court case, which has been dragging on since late 2020, could have a major impact on how XRP is classified—either as a security or a commodity. The researcher, identified as “MetaLawMan” on X, believes that by April 16, 2025, the Ripple vs. SEC case could be fully resolved. If Ripple secures a favorable outcome or settlement, it would clarify XRP’s legal status and open the door for institutional financial products like ETFs to be approved.

This legal clarity is considered a crucial prerequisite. As we’ve seen with Bitcoin ETFs, the SEC has been cautious about approving crypto-based financial products unless the asset has regulatory clarity.

Brazil Sets the Pace with First-Ever XRP Spot ETF

While the U.S. is still deliberating, other countries are already moving forward. Brazil has officially approved the world’s first XRP spot ETF, launched by investment firm Hashdex. The fund, named the Hashdex Nasdaq XRP Index Fund, will trade on the B3 stock exchange, making it easier for retail and institutional investors in Brazil to gain exposure to XRP without needing to hold the tokens directly.

This international momentum could put pressure on U.S. regulators to follow suit—especially as global investors continue to embrace digital assets through regulated avenues.

Big Names Lining Up to Launch U.S. XRP ETFs

A number of well-known asset management firms are already preparing for the green light from the SEC. Among them are Bitwise, 21Shares, Canary Capital, WisdomTree, and the digital asset giant Grayscale. Grayscale has even proposed converting its existing Grayscale XRP Trust into a spot ETF, pending regulatory approval.

The filings signal strong institutional demand for XRP, and if approved, these funds would make it significantly easier for traditional investors to gain exposure without dealing with crypto wallets or exchanges.

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What Happens If the ETF Gets Approved?

Market analysts suggest that an XRP spot ETF in the U.S. could attract between $4.3 billion and $8.4 billion in capital inflows during its first year. That kind of demand could trigger a major price rally, with some projections putting XRP at $4.60 to $5.00 post-approval.

Of course, this is speculative—but the historical precedent is compelling. Bitcoin surged after its spot ETF approval, and Ethereum is widely expected to follow suit.

Looking Ahead

With the legal landscape gradually evolving and institutional interest steadily rising, the prospect of an XRP spot ETF is becoming increasingly realistic. All eyes are now on April 2025—what could be a defining moment not just for XRP, but for the broader future of crypto-based financial products in the U.S.

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