Dogecoin Traders Lost $225M in 24Hours: DOGE Price May Break Lower

Key Insights:

• The Dogecoin price dropped 1.7%, resulting in a $225 million realized loss, which far exceeds its $5.4 million realized profit.
• DOGE price prediction remains bearish below key resistance near $0.18.
• The DOGE price chart forms a descending triangle, with support at $0.157 and upside capped unless volume returns.

In the last 24 hours, Dogecoin traders have realized a staggering $225 million in losses, compared to just $5.4 million in realized profits; the worst P&L imbalance among all top 10 cryptos. For comparison, Bitcoin posted $2.2 billion in profits and only $105 million in losses, while Ethereum held a positive 5:1 profit-to-loss ratio.

DOGE’s realized loss is over 40x higher than its realized profit, a figure unmatched even by volatile meme tokens. The network is currently operating in the Hope/Fear zone per Glassnode’s sentiment framework, with a Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) of just 0.96, indicating more users are selling at a loss than booking profit.

Whale Activity and Holder Trends Show Weakness

Whale conviction is low. The whale transaction count (both >$100K and >$1M USD) has fallen sharply since February, with only brief activity spikes in May and June. This signals a drop in large-volume trades, often used to accumulate or offload positions, both of which typically precede significant moves in DOGE price.

Meanwhile, DOGE’s total number of holders has plateaued near 7.94 million after a steep rise in May. The flattening curve suggests waning retail interest and limited new wallet growth, often a leading indicator of mid-cycle exhaustion.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Prediction: Triangle Pressure Builds Below $0.18

Technically, DOGE price is trading within a descending triangle, a bearish continuation pattern. Price is repeatedly testing horizontal support between $0.153 and $0.157, while forming lower highs capped by a downtrend line. Unless buyers reclaim the $0.18–$0.195 zone convincingly, the structure favors breakdown over breakout.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains weak, hovering around 42, showing a lack of buying momentum. A drop below the triangle base could pull Dogecoin toward $0.145 or lower, while a break above $0.195 would invalidate the bearish setup and open a path toward $0.23.

Network Activity Adds to the Pressure on Dogecoin Price

Daily active addresses have collapsed to just 120K, down from several spikes above 700K seen earlier this year. This sharp drop in participation coincides with stagnant holder growth and declining whale trades, reducing the probability of a near-term rally.

Unless network engagement improves, Dogecoin price prediction will remain under pressure, with limited upside catalysts.

Dogecoin’s short-term outlook remains fragile. A $225 million realized loss, weakening whale flows, low network activity, and a descending triangle pattern all suggest that the DOGE price may break support rather than recover. Bulls must reclaim $0.18+ with volume and activity to change the trend. Until then, the bias tilts bearish.

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