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Bitcoin Price Consolidates Below $70K Amid ETF Outflows and Macro Uncertainty

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Highlights:

  • Bitcoin is targeting $62,605 support after the pump failed to reach $70,586 resistance
  • Failure to breach the $62,605 support could see the price continue consolidating
  • Macro uncertainty and tariff tensions keep overall crypto sentiment fragile

Bitcoin (BTC) is in another day of relative inactivity after the pump to $70k earlier in the week. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $67,815.19, down by a negligible 0.88% in the day. However, Bitcoin trading volumes have dropped significantly intraday. They currently stand at $41.62 billion, down by 24.68% in the day.

The drop in volumes when the price is unchanged points to caution on the part of investors. New money is likely not coming in high volumes, as investors wait for Bitcoin to show sustained momentum either to the upside or down. 

On a more positive note, the drop in volumes could be an indicator that holders are not selling. This would indicate that conviction is growing that Bitcoin’s bottom is in, and that the price could be headed higher in the foreseeable future. There are several factors that explain both the caution of new capital and the holder’s conviction in the short term. 

Investors Still On the Sidelines Despite Recent Bitcoin Price Pump

A key factor holding new money back is the fact that Bitcoin has pumped and dumped many times since mid-2025. While every pump feels like the bulls are finally back, it has consistently taken the price back to where it was or lower. In the latest scenario, Bitcoin pumped to over $70k in a matter of hours.

However, this momentum has dwindled, and the price is back in the $67k/$66k price range. This has consistently led to losses, especially for short-term retail traders, hence the move towards sitting on the sidelines even as the price pumps. Until there is a clear breakout that sustains above major resistance levels, volumes could remain low, and the trend relatively directionless.

Institutional Interest In Bitcoin Remains Weak Short Term

Another factor driving investor caution and the low volumes is the fact that Bitcoin ETFs continue to record outflows on average. Data shows that over a period of 5 weeks, Bitcoin ETFs have recorded outflows of $3.8 billion. This is signalling to the market that institutional capital is cutting down on Bitcoin exposure.

Such a perception is likely keeping retail money away from Bitcoin in the short term. The result is that the price is failing after every pump to resistance, and sellers appear to be in overall control. The fact that there is no major liquidity driver expected soon, such as an interest rate cut, could keep the overall Bitcoin sentiment weak in the short to medium term. 

Macro Environment Driving Bitcoin Price Weakness

The macro environment is also making it harder for Bitcoin to have a clear breakout and a full return of the bulls. President Trump’s use of arbitrary tariffs as leverage in trade with the world has created a lot of uncertainty in the markets. That’s because uncertainty usually pushes capital more into risk-off assets. This may explain why Gold has been pushing to new highs constantly since 2025, even as Bitcoin remains bearish. Until there is clarity on the macro front, particularly on the tariff issue, Bitcoin could remain weak, with low volumes.

Technical Analysis – Bitcoin Pushing Back Towards Support

Since bulls failed to push the price to the $70,586 resistance during the pump earlier in the week, Bitcoin’s price is now targeting the $62,605 support.

BTC Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Chart: TradingView 

If the $63,605 support holds, Bitcoin could consolidate for longer. On the other hand, if there is a correction through the $62,605 support, a correction to prices as low as $60k could follow in the short term. Of these scenarios, a continuation of the range-bound trading is more likely. That’s because sentiment is maximum fear, which means short sellers may be getting cautious of a short squeeze as oversold levels, with max fear are usually followed by price reversals. 

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