This Behavior by Whales Could Signal a Bitcoin Surge

The return of familiar patterns in the Bitcoin market is intriguing. Like in 2020, the whales – those entities holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC – are starting to accumulate massively again, despite the surrounding volatility. If history repeats itself, June could well mark the beginning of a spectacular rise… ATH in the process of being downloaded?

2020 vs 2025: Bitcoin whales replicate their winning strategy

In March 2020, while the market was collapsing due to the pandemic shock, the whales took advantage of the panic to strengthen their positions. A few months later, the price of Bitcoin embarked on one of the most powerful rallies in its history. Five years later, the scenario seems to be repeating. After a brutal correction to $81,222 and a dominance that collapsed to 58.8%, the same wallets are reinforcing their holdings, indicating a discreet yet methodical accumulation strategy.

According to CryptoQuant, this behavior is typical of the early phases of a bullish cycle. These so-called “market-leading” wallets act as catalysts. Their resilience contrasts with the visible nervousness among retail investors. This psychological gap between large and small market players has historically preceded strong bullish movements.

From a technical standpoint, the threshold of $84,000 stands out as a major pivot. A sustained break of this level could propel Bitcoin towards $88,000. However, the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain. Between speeches from Jerome Powell, employment announcements, and tariff tensions, the slightest exogenous signal could slow down – or catalyze – this momentum.

BTC: a cycle that rhymes with ascent?

The parallel with 2020 does not stop at behavioral analysis. It fits into a cycle logic, where each phase of consolidation precedes an expansion. The whales seem to know this. They are not looking to beat the market, but to anticipate it. Five years ago, Bitcoin reached its ATH (all-time high) in 2020, surpassing $20,000 on December 16th, initiating a rise that would peak at nearly $64,000 in April 2021.

If we apply a similar cyclical logic, crossing a new ATH in 2025 could happen as early as June, with a gradual ramp-up until autumn. The signals of whale accumulation and the current institutional pressure suggest a bullish scenario that could catapult Bitcoin well beyond $150,000.

The movements of the whales remind us that Bitcoin cycles often obey a repetitive logic. Their strategic accumulation sends a strong signal: the market could be on the brink of a new bullish phase. For investors, ignoring these signals would be akin to turning their backs on history. In the meantime, BTC is on a tightrope this week and could well drop to $72,000.