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Bitcoin Price Prediction – BTC Could Rally to $90K as Key Support Holds

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Highlights:

  • Bitcoin is trending towards $88k after $86,421 support held
  • Bitcoin could rally to $90k if $88k resistance gives way 
  • Rising Bitcoin adoption in the US could trigger a rally through $90k

Bitcoin is showing slight improvement today amid optimism around the leading cryptocurrency. At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $87,236, which indicates a slight increase of 0.10%. Even though there has been little change in the price, its trading volumes have risen sharply by 52% to $32.8 billion, which indicates that market activity and investor sentiment have turned positive. 

Pro Crypto Legislation Increases with the US – Bullish for Bitcoin

One of the key factors driving positive Bitcoin price action is the ongoing adoption of Bitcoin by different US states. In a groundbreaking development, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear signed the ‘Bitcoin Rights’ bill, which grants cryptocurrency users a legal framework in the state.

The legislation sponsored by Representative Adam Bowling in February guarantees the right to access digital assets, self-custody wallets, and running Bitcoin nodes without being discriminated against. It also protects crypto miners from local zoning law harassment and clarifies that crypto mining and staking cannot be classified as securities.

Oklahoma and Kentucky Leading Bitcoin Reserve Strategies

Kentucky became the second state in the US to support Bitcoin after Oklahoma by passing HB 120, which allows Bitcoin to be held as a reserve. Oklahoma passed this bill earlier last year. Oklahoma also proposed a bill allowing people within the borders to withdraw salaries via Bitcoin, creating a direct staking ground for BTC.

Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (HB 1203) was approved on the 19th in Oklahoma’s House of Representatives with a vote of 77-15 as of March 2023. The bill allows the government to create a reserve Bitcoin reserve. This marks a key milestone for Bitcoin adoption. The US has been lacking strategic moves to consolidate assets. Firstly, as proposed in January 2023 by Cody Maynard, the act will head to the Senate, where it is expected to receive general approval before being sent to the Governor.

Analysts Increasingly Bullish on Bitcoin Price

Cryptocurrency researcher Axel Adler Jr. believes Bitcoin is in a healthy consolidation stage and not entering a bearish cycle. Adler indicates that based on on-chain metrics such as the Investor Price Model, Bitcoin is not in overheated territory. He further contended that the market is in the growth stage, with long-term holders still accumulating rather than offloading. If history is anything to go by, Bitcoin will likely surpass the mark of $130,000 in the next three months.

Bitcoin Open Interest Surges

Such predictions are corroborated by Bitcoin’s open interest data. Market data reveals a significant increase in Bitcoin’s open interest (OI), which grew by $1.5 billion within the last 24 hours alone. OI indicates the total value of outstanding futures contracts and is an essential indicator of the direction of market sentiment.

Despite this, other indicators point to funding rates staying at the same level, which is close to neutral, implying an even market stance between bullish and bearish traders. Analysts, however, caution that the combination of mounting OI and steep price increases could send the market into volatile territory, precipitating liquidation cascades.

Mt. Gox Bitcoin Movements Raise Concerns

While Bitcoin remains predominantly bullish in the market, the dormant Mt. Gox estate recently moved an enormous chunk of Bitcoin, raising potential sell pressure worries. The bankrupt exchange has moved over 11,501 BTC in its third major transaction this month, worth over a billion dollars.

Blockchain analytics company Arkham Intelligence claimed the most recent transfer also included 893 BTC sent to a cold wallet and 10,608 BTC sent to a change wallet, following previous withdrawals of 12,000 BTC on March 6 and 11,833 on March 11. Mt. Gox Creditors and Future Payouts. While this could drive some FUD, data indicates that Mt. Gox’s moving Bitcoin may be having a lessening impact on the price of Bitcoin. 

Technical Analysis – Bitcoin Price Rebounds At Intra-Day Support

Bitcoin is rebounding after establishing strong intraday support at $86,421. Bitcoin could rally to the $88,488 resistance in the day if the rebound continues. A rally through this resistance could see Bitcoin test $90k in the short term. 

BTC
Source: TradingView 

On the other hand, if bears regain control and push Bitcoin through the $86,421 support, a correction to around $78k could follow.

Bitcoin’s long-term outlook is still likely positive, even in the face of short-term turbulence. Significant foundational support on the blockchain, coupled with growing institutional interest and adoption at the state level, will likely propel Bitcoin’s value. A rally through $100k could be a realistic target in the short term.

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