Bitcoin Has 1 Week to Secure Its Best April Since 2020

Bitcoin (BTC) is heading into the final week of April 2026 with a +13.71% gain so far. That leaves holders just half a percentage point short of the strongest April performance for the asset in five years.

Only a few days remain before the monthly close. BTC must add roughly 0.5% to surpass April 2025’s +14.08% return. That would secure Bitcoin’s best April since 2020.

April Joins a Familiar Pattern for Bitcoin

April has historically been Bitcoin’s strongest month. The average April gain stands at +13.11%, with a median return of +10.49%, according to Coinglass. The 2026 figure already sits above both benchmarks heading into the final week of trading.

The previous five Aprils tell a mixed story. Bitcoin gained +14.08% in 2025 and +34.26% in 2020, but it lost ground in 2024 (-14.76%), 2022 (-17.30%), and 2021 (-1.98%). The 2023 print of +2.81% rounded out a stretch where positive Aprils were the exception rather than the rule.

The current recovery also stands out against early-year weakness. Bitcoin lost 10.17% in January and another 14.94% in February before adding a small +1.81% in March.

April’s rebound has now reversed about half of those year-to-date losses. Improving ETF flows and a softer dollar print have helped.

Bitcoin Monthly returns,Source: Coinglass

Sentiment Still Lags the Price Recovery

Despite the monthly gain, sentiment data shows that traders remain cautious. The Fear and Greed Index printed 31 on April 25, holding in Fear territory. The same gauge had touched Extreme Fear at 10 just one month earlier.

The reading of 26 last week was actually lower than today, indicating a slow recovery in conviction. Bitcoin is currently trading near $77,500, still about 38% below the ATH of $126,198 reached in October 2025. The gap explains the disconnect between the strong monthly print and the cautious sentiment showing in retail and derivatives positioning.

Persistent geopolitical risk has weighed on broader markets through April. US-Iran tensions and the wider Middle East conflict have kept BTC perpetual funding rates near zero or negative for stretches of the month. The pattern signals that traders have avoided chasing the rally with leverage.

Fear & Greed Index, Source: alternative.me

One Week Left to Set the April Record

The final six trading sessions will decide where April 2026 lands in Bitcoin’s record books. A strong close would make it the second-best April since 2020, while a weaker finish would slot it behind 2025. With sentiment cautious and macro headlines unresolved, the path forward is far from certain.

A close roughly 0.5% higher by April 30 would be enough to clear 2025’s +14.08% mark. Whether Bitcoin can hold that level through the weekend remains an open question.

Thin liquidity and continuing geopolitical headlines could test the rally before the monthly close.