Lighter (LIT) - Investment Analysis March 2026

Lighter's high-risk/high-reward profile – here's the latest: • Launched 30 December 2025; price down 55% from peak to $1.44 (01 March 2026) • Market share collapsed from 60% to 8.1% post-airdrop, showing weak retention • Core strength is ZK-verified execution & zero retail fees, but faces Hyperliquid competition • Major dilution risk: 500M tokens (50% supply) unlock starting December 2026 • Extreme bearish sentiment with 68.6% short positioning signals contrarian opportunity