Crypto Saw It Coming: How Sunday’s Dip Foreshadowed Monday’s Market Meltdown

Markets opened Monday to a sell-off that crypto investors had seen coming. The collapse of US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad and a new US naval blockade impacted major asset classes.

The weekend’s failures raised fresh fears over supply disruption and cast doubt on a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire on April 22.

Crypto’s Sunday Dip Warned What Monday’s Stock Sell-Off Would Confirm

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped from a weekend high near $74,000 to an intraday low of $70,570 yesterday after Vice President JD Vance confirmed that 21 hours of negotiations had ended without a deal. The total crypto market cap fell about 1.8%.

The sell-off deepened after the US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced a blockade of “all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports on April 13 at 10 a.m. ET.”

BeInCrypto Markets data showed that the total market capitalization has fallen 2.68% over the past 24 hours. At the time of writing, BTC traded at $71,125. Ethereum (ETH) had dropped to $2,204.

Meanwhile, by Monday morning, traditional markets confirmed what crypto had already priced in. The Kobeissi Letter noted that the S&P 500 and Dow Jones each fell roughly 1%, while the Nasdaq 100 slid 1.3%.

“US stock market futures open sharply lower as Iran War peace talks end without a deal,” the post read.

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Gold and silver both declined in early Asian trading hours on Monday. Gold prices fell 0.75% to $4,711 per ounce, retreating rather than rallying despite the geopolitical turmoil. Silver prices dropped more sharply, sliding over 2% to $74.20. 

The weakness across precious metals suggests that rising energy costs and the prospect of prolonged inflation are outweighing safe-haven demand, as traders increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady for longer.

Finally, energy markets also reacted sharply, though in the opposite direction. US crude oil jumped over 10% past $105 per barrel. International Brent crude rose 8%. Wholesale gasoline spiked 6%, and heating oil, a proxy for jet fuel, surged 9.3%.

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The pattern is becoming familiar. Throughout the weeks of the US-Iran conflict, crypto has repeatedly flagged geopolitical risk before equity sessions open. With the two-week ceasefire deadline approaching, traders across both markets face continued uncertainty over whether diplomacy can keep pace with escalation.