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Cardano Price Forecast – Why ADA Could Drop Below $0.50

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Highlights:

  • Cardano bulls rebound fails at a critical resistance level
  • Bulls’ failure could see Cardano drop through $0.51 support
  • Correction driven by increased panic in the global financial markets

Like the rest of the market, Cardano (ADA) has had a rough start to the week. At the time of this writing, the popular cryptocurrency had decreased by 13.55%, placing its value at $0.553. However, Cardano’s 24-hour trading volumes have jumped by almost 300% to $1.61 billion. An increase in volume paired with declining prices is often a warning that panic selling is taking over the market, and in this particular situation, Cardano holders could be exiting their positions.

Cardano Selloff Linked to Broader Financial Markets

Cardano’s selloff is not isolated. A larger dynamic has been disturbing the financial markets around the world. The situation with stocks, commodities, and even crypto is hurting all assets and causing investors distress. The correction in Cardano and other cryptocurrencies simply points to the correlation between global risk and assets.

ADA Could Crash Further in US Session: “Black Monday” Grips Everyone

Many experts have labelled this sell-off ‘Black Monday, ‘ and fears are that it will worsen when the U.S. markets open. One supporting shred of evidence of this fear is the movement in gold ahead of the US market session. Traditionally, investors tend to buy gold when there is a lack of confidence in the economy, making it a barometer for fear. When gold increases, Bitcoin will likely decline as well, and vice versa. This means that the crypto market could suffer even more in the day.

If Bitcoin’s current trajectory continues to follow a downward trend, there could be renewed selling pressure across altcoins. This would mean that Cardano could tap support levels not experienced in years. 

Tariff Countermeasures Could Add to Cardano’s Struggles

Adding to the chaos, there are rising concerns that additional nations could follow China’s lead to counter-tariff the US. Such a scenario could worsen the downturn while pushing global markets into full-blown recession territory. This could mean even more selloffs for Cardano. 

Fed Rate Cut Could Offer Relief for Cardano and Other Cryptocurrencies

That said, there is one potential wild card that could change the direction of today’s selloff. A Fed rate cut could provide some much-needed reprieve. Lower interest rates make riskier assets more attractive, temporarily bolstering the price of crypto.

President Trump has expressed the need for the Fed to step in and cut rates, given the prevailing market conditions. The central bank’s response, if any, is uncertain. However, the fear that has taken hold could lead the central bank to intervene if concerns around liquidity dynamics continue to deepen.

Technical Analysis – ADA Bulls Fail at Rebound Attempt

After an attempted rebound early in the day, Cardano bears now appear to be regaining control. This is quite expected, given that the market appears to be taking a risk-off approach ahead of the US session. If bears take full control, the key level to watch would be the $0.51 support. 

ADA
Source: TradingView

A breach of this support level could see Cardano plunge to prices as low as $0.40 in the short term. However, if bulls retake control and push Cardano through the $0.55 intraday resistance, then a retest of $0.60 could follow. Of these two scenarios, a crash through the $0.51 support is more likely weighed down by the selloff across the market.

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