Bitcoin Price Forecast After the Latest News from the SEC

The latest moves by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have rocked the cryptocurrency market, and individuals are looking forward to a regulatory decision and shift in prices. Bitcoin recently went past the $120,000 mark but then hit multiple lows; this volatility is keeping enthusiasts and investors on edge, waiting for more clarity on its price prediction. In this blog, we will explore how the SEC’s news may affect Bitcoin’s future price over the short term and the long term. 

Bitcoin and the SEC: A Long, Complicated History

Bitcoin’s journey has always been indirectly affected by the SEC. In the past, SEC statements and lawsuits on crypto projects have made Bitcoin’s price fluctuate, creating a mix of panic and optimism in the crypto market. In July 2025, the SEC announced Project Crypto, which, according to them, was, “ a Commission-wide initiative to modernize the securities rules and regulations to enable America’s financial market to move ‘on-chain.’” In the same month, Bitcoin soared past the $4.5 billion mark, indicating its better performance in a strictly regulated environment. 

It also marks a stark contrast in the way the SEC has behaved in its earlier days, as it has shifted from its aggressive enforcement policies to a more open policy that welcomes innovation and clarity. This new shift will also help in raising the confidence of the investors and minimizing the perceived risk that seems to scares many away from investing in Bitcoin.

On the cultural side, notable personalities have also played a role in shaping the narrative around Bitcoin. A recent example is the social media post by Michael Saylor, the co-founder of Strategy, who recently compared bitcoin with gold in an Indiana Jones-style monologue.

Read here to know more about this: Michael Saylor Turns Indiana Jones in a Bold Bitcoin vs Gold Social Media Post.

Bitcoin’s Short-Term Price Prediction: What the Charts Say Now

Bitcoin prices in August show consolidation even during volatility: the cryptocurrency traded between $116,000 and $120,000. Some platforms predicted a bullish run, with CoinCodex forecasting a 7.64% gain in the coin’s price. Similarly, Wallet Investor predicted a surge in BTC that could exceed $120,000 by late August. 

On-chain prediction sentiments were also bullish, as Polymarket showed a 60% probability of BTC staying above the $115,000 mark. The volatility of Bitcoin also dropped to 28.53%, which is the lowest since 2023, showing an increasing trust and calmer trades despite sudden regulatory news. If the current price structure holds and there are no further dips, traders are expecting BTC to reach $125,000 next.

Bitcoin’s Future Price: Long-Term Outlook Based on Fundamentals

There are several structural and economic factors that could shape Bitcoin’s value over the coming years. Let us discuss them one by one.

1. Halving Cycle Insights

Although the next halving cycle is scheduled to be sometime in 2028, historical patterns show that scarcity induced by halving events tends to precede significant price rallies.

2. Institutional adoption trends

Institutional demand is surging: in 2025 alone, Bitcoin ETF inflows surpassed $50 billion, and public companies’ Bitcoin holdings swelled to over $103 billion, up 159% from the prior year.

3. Supply constraints vs. growing demand

Supply dynamics reinforce upward potential: 90% of Bitcoin’s total supply is mined and in circulation, reinforcing scarcity.

For traders watching key technical barriers, one ongoing debate centers around Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the $71K mark, a psychological and strategic threshold in market structure. A detailed breakdown examines whether BTC has the momentum and macroeconomic backdrop to maintain this level. You can read that analysis here: Will BTC Succeed Above $71K?.

How to Interpret These Predictions Without Getting Burned

1. Long-term holding vs. speculative trading

While retail traders chase short-term price swings and risk loss, most seasoned traders hold their bitcoin through volatility and for longer periods, which offers compounding benefits and more profits.

2. Diversification to hedge volatility

If you spread your investments across diversified asset classes, like equities, bonds, or gold, you would be in a better position when the market is volatile. According to an Economic Times report, in just the last decade, a portfolio consisting of equities, debt, and gold spread in the ratio 2:1:1 has been delivering the second-best results in 7 out of 10 years, while managing volatility more effectively than a unified investment strategy focusing only on equities.

3. Following credible sources vs. influencer hype

In the world of crypto, always rely on data-driven research and credible news outlets instead of random social media posts that make Bitcoin’s price prediction.

4. Understanding the limits of price forecasting

Relying on price forecasts is fine, but only up to a limit. You should also cross-check other sources and not rely too much on forecasts, as they don’t take policy shifts or sudden regulations into account.

5. Importance of aligning price insights with your risk tolerance

Before investing in Bitcoin, always make sure to calculate your risk-taking abilities. Always invest only what you can afford to lose, and always make calculated decisions instead of going with your intuition. 

Final Thoughts

After the recent developments with the SEC and US legislation, Bitcoin has reentered the spotlight, holding its ground even with stricter regulations. Ultimately, if you are an investor, rational analysis, credible data, and risk management can help you minimize your losses even in the most volatile conditions. 

If you want to read more such insights about Bitcoin or cryptocurrency in general, pay a visit to 36 Crypto right now.

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