Bitcoin up 10%, eyes $130K in June analyst say

Bitcoin ended May with a nearly 10% gain, and investors are already positioning for an even stronger June. Blockchain adoption is pulling ahead of macro stories, changing the way Bitcoin is being traded and talked about.

This is being powered by corporate treasuries, regulated investment products, and a wave of US policy uncertainty. The OG crypto closed its second straight month in the green, driven by consistent inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and continued accumulation by public companies.

According to Bitcoin Treasuries, the number of Bitcoin held by listed companies rose 4% to $85.6 billion. In the same month, spot ETFs pulled in $5.6 billion. These are long positions sitting on corporate balance sheets, likely untouched by short-term volatility. Traders expect that behavior to keep going into June.

Policy threats and macro fears fuel investor demand

Donald Trump’s tariff decisions rattled broader markets at the end of April, briefly dragging Bitcoin to around $76,000. But the coin reversed fast. It rebounded and closed May with a 13.5% increase, showing how quickly it’s been getting absorbed during dips. Analysts aren’t celebrating yet though.

Chris Rhine, who leads liquid active strategies at Galaxy Digital, said the market is still exposed to shocks. “The fact that significant policy adjustments can be made at any time, especially around tariffs, makes near-term pricing incredibly difficult,” he said. 

Rhine added that uncertainty like this usually forces a slowdown in demand-led markets and could increase the likelihood of monetary policy support, hinting at lower interest rates.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s ability to act independently of equities is starting to get attention. It’s been outperforming in both high-risk and risk-off environments. Traders like Federico Brokate, head of US business at 21Shares, are watching closely. 

“If we continue to see that in June, that’s going to be very bullish for the asset, price-wise,” Federico said. Still, he made it clear that the trend hasn’t been tested over a long stretch yet, and many are watching to see how it holds up in more volatile conditions.

On May 22, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $111,999 but pulled back to about $104,000 a few days later. The dip followed a social media post by Trump, who claimed China had broken its current trade agreement with the US, just one day after Treasury Secretary Bessent told Fox News that talks between the two countries were “a bit stalled.”

Regulatory moves and technical targets keep bulls in control

Despite the noise from the White House, investors remain locked on three things: ETF flows, corporate treasury behavior, and regulatory progress.

One bill in focus is the GENIUS Act, short for Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins. The legislation made it through early resistance and advanced to the Senate on May 19. A full vote is expected in early June. The bill could affect how stablecoins are issued and regulated — a move that might impact Bitcoin liquidity depending on the outcome.

At the same time, Andrew Bauch, an analyst at Wells Fargo, flagged risks from another stablecoin bill in the House. In a note, Andrew wrote, “a difficult road ahead” should be expected, hinting that regulatory friction may continue for weeks.

On the technical side, Bitcoin’s setup is tight. Tracy Jin, chief operating officer at MEXC, said bulls are looking to protect the $109,000 support level. She pointed out that hedge funds are holding put options right at that line, which could trigger pressure if it cracks. 

But the upside is bigger. If Bitcoin can clear the $113,000 to $115,000 resistance zone, Tracy said it could move toward $130,000 in June. “If the current pace is maintained and the $115,000 level is successfully overcome, the price may reach $130,000 in June,” she said.

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