Why Is The Crypto Market Down Today?
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The crypto market is trading in the red on March 22, raising questions about whether the recent recovery attempt has run its course. After a sharp rally from multi-week lows, major assets are giving back gains at levels that have historically acted as resistance. The charts across Decred (DCR), the total crypto market cap (TOTAL), and Bitcoin (BTC) offer a closer read on today’s pressure.
In the news today:-
- A Nevada judge has temporarily blocked prediction market platform Kalshi from operating in the state for 14 days, ruling that state authorities are likely to succeed in arguing its event contracts violate Nevada gambling laws. The Nevada Gaming Control Board sought the restraining order, citing its duty to protect the public from unlicensed gambling.
- Brazil’s Finance Minister is delaying further crypto tax policy changes until after the October 2026 presidential elections, with a planned public consultation now potentially pushed to 2027. This comes after Brazil already overhauled its crypto tax regime in June 2025, replacing a tiered exemption system with a flat 17.5% capital gains tax on all crypto holdings, including offshore and self-custodied assets.
The Crypto Market Is Sliding Lower
The total crypto market cap is reading $2.36 trillion on the daily chart, up 0.47% on the session with a high of $2.37 trillion and a low of $2.32 trillion. Price has pulled back sharply from the $2.54 trillion high reached on March 16 and is now consolidating just below the $2.37 trillion horizontal support level.
The market cap failing to reclaim $2.37 trillion on a closing basis after the three-session selloff from $2.54 trillion signals distribution at the prior breakout level. The $2.32 trillion horizontal floor visible on the chart is the last meaningful support before the open range below. A close under $2.32 trillion would confirm the rejection of the $2.54 trillion range and accelerate selling toward $2.25 trillion.
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A daily close back above $2.37 trillion would neutralize the immediate bearish setup and reopen the path toward $2.45 trillion. Reclaiming $2.45 trillion would then bring $2.50 trillion back into range. Until $2.37 trillion is recovered on a close, the structure remains tilted toward further downside.
Bitcoin Is Facing Bearish Momentum
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $69,236 on the daily chart, up 0.46% with a high of $69,584. Price has slipped below the $70,552 support level and is now testing the $68,865 horizontal floor. The current candle is forming between those two levels, with $70,552 now acting as overhead resistance following the breakdown.
BTC closing below $70,552 after failing to hold above $74,000 on March 17 confirms that resistance has reasserted. Price pressing into $68,865 support without a recovery close above $70,552 opens the path toward $65,776. A move to that floor would represent a full retracement of the March rally.
A daily close back above $ 70,552 would invalidate the bearish thesis. This would signal that buyers have reclaimed the breakdown zone. That recovery would bring $74,000 back into range as the next resistance test. Without that reclaim, the $68,865 level is the only visible structure preventing a slide toward $65,776.
Decred Takes The Top Spot
Decred (DCR) is trading at $24.37 on the daily chart, down 0.41% with a high of $24.81. Price has broken below the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $24.68 and is now testing the EMA at $25.84 from below. The annotated session shows a $1.86 loss of 7.09%, marking 186 units of selling pressure.
DCR is trading below the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $24.68, with the EMA at $25.84 capping recovery attempts, supporting further downside. The 0.618 level at $23.36 is the next structural support below the current price. A close below $23.36 would expose the support at $21.51, which aligns with the EMA at $21.95 support.
A recovery above the 0.786 level at $24.68 and a daily close back above $26.36 would invalidate the bearish case. That reclaim would bring the 1.236 level at $28.21 back into focus as the next target. Without a close above $26.36, the structure favors sellers retesting lower Fibonacci supports.
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