Bitcoin 4-Year Market Cycle Is Broken: BTC Price To $500K Still Possible?

Key Insights:

• New market forces and institutional players have disrupted Bitcoin (BTC) price’s old 4-year cycle pattern.
• Analysts suggest that longer, steadier growth may now define Bitcoin’s future, and altcoins could benefit from this, too.
• Standard Chartered sees a path to $500,000 BTC by 2029, fueled by expected policy changes and broader adoption.

Bitcoin (BTC) price no longer follows the predictable four-year market cycle that once shaped investor expectations.

What used to be a straightforward pattern of boom and bust every four years now looks like a market rewriting its own rules.

This shift raises serious questions: Is this the start of a longer, more sustained climb? More importantly, investors seek to know if a $500,000 Bitcoin is still within reach.

BTC Price Old Market Pattern Breaks, and That Changes Everything

It is worth noting that the idea of a 4-year cycle guided many in the crypto space for years. It was simple, a halving event, a bull run, a crash, and a recovery.

Essentially, traders timed their moves around it. But now, that cycle appears to have lost its grip.

In a recent development, Michaël van de Poppe, a well-followed market analyst, says this cycle is different.

He argues that larger players with deeper pockets and new risk rules have entered the scene. This has added more liquidity and changed the rhythm of price movement.

Instead of the usual up-and-down flow, Bitcoin usd has shown signs of a slow but steady climb.

He said this may mean longer cycles ahead, with fewer sharp crashes and more extended momentum.

This new structure could also shape altcoin seasons differently. If Bitcoin usd no longer falls off a cliff every few years, altcoins may enjoy more extended periods of growth too.

The usual timing play of rotating from Bitcoin to altcoins might also stretch out. Based on market sentiment, this will offer more chances for gains if investors are patient.

Strong Case for Growth Despite Uncertainty

While some are clinging to the old pattern, others see opportunity in this shift. The belief in BTC price’s long-term value remains strong.

American businessman Robert Kiyosaki says it is the “easiest way to get rich,” urging people to buy and hold even a tiny portion.

His confidence comes from Bitcoin’s limited supply and rising interest from institutions. Also, Robert Kiyosaki warns of a looming US recession following Moody’s credit downgrade. He, however, urged his followers to purchase Bitcoin.

Other institutional investors like Raoul Pal and Michael Saylor also echo this view. They say Bitcoin has reached a point where it is being taken seriously as part of future financial systems.

Strategy recently acquired 4,020 Bitcoin for $427.1 million at an average price of $106,237.

With the recent trend, the digital asset is moving from speculative to strategic. Missing this moment is like walking past a gold mine.

Is BTC Price to $500,000 Still on the Table?

A recent development shows that Standard Chartered believes Bitcoin could reach $500,000.

Reports indicated that the firm’s analysts predict that Bitcoin could hit $500,000 by the end of Donald Trump’s second term in 2029.

It is worth noting that that number may sound bold, but it is based on expected policy changes. They pointed at moves like the repeal of SAB 121 and the idea of a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve.

Both will likely open the door to greater investor access and increase demand. So while the old four-year road map is fading, the destination might be the same or even better.

The path got longer, and maybe stronger.

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