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Ethereum Price Prediction – ETH Consolidating at Critical $1803 Resistance

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Highlights:

  • Ethereum is trading at $1803.93 resistance for the third day in a row
  • Rally through this resistance could push Ethereum to $2000 soon
  • Confluence of positive factors likely to push Ethereum to over $2000 

Ethereum is in the green today, mirroring the overall momentum across the cryptocurrency market. At the time of going to press, Ethereum was trading at $1779.2, up by 1.93% in the day. Bitcoin’s rising bullish momentum has boosted Ethereum. However, even Ethereum-specific indicators are increasingly pointing to a potential Ethereum bull rally. 

Record-Breaking ETH Accumulation Signals Investor Faith

One of these indicators is Ethereum long-term holder numbers. ETH inflows to long-term holder wallets surged sharply recently. This means investors anticipate Ethereum to start going up soon. A lot of these holders are also increasingly staking Ethereum. 

Ethereum’s active addresses are also on the rise, pointing to rising network activity. From April 20 to the 22nd, the active addresses increased by almost 10%, from 306,211 to 336,366, showcasing heightened user activity. This increase corresponds with the rise in Ethereum’s price and suggests a healthier on-chain ecosystem.

Ethereum Network Fees Drop to Their Lowest in 5 Years

Ethereum’s transaction fees are also going down, a factor that could draw in more investors. Hovering between $0.16 and $0.31, Ethereum fees are now at their lowest in five years. Although these low expenses point to fewer participants sending ETH or engaging with smart contracts, they could also mean that Ethereum is trading at the bottom and can only go up from here. 

Technical Indicators Point at Possible Ethereum Price Breakout

Ethereum has recently been unable to breach the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is located around $1,820. However, an increase in trading activity, accompanied by a spike in volumes, suggests a breakout is possible. This could see more investors start to take positions in Ethereum, especially now that the broader market appears increasingly bullish.

Ethereum Development Pushes Towards Better Security

Ethereum is also becoming increasingly futuristic in its development, a factor that could draw in long-term holders and push up the price. A key part of the initiative is the shift to Data Availability Sampling (DAS), which permits Ethereum to confirm data integrity without full downloads. Currently, Ethereum uses KZG commitments for this purpose, a powerful trustless cryptographic construction for guaranteeing data integrity that relies on a ‘trusted setup’. This dependence on a one-off trust-based process has led to critique.

As a response, some researchers are working on much simpler cryptographic checks that do not require any setup. One such project is FRIEDA, which seeks to secure blockchains by replacing trust-based systems with proofs of verifiable data maps that are mathematically sure. This has been added to a larger project called Mikan.

Without needing trusted setups, Mikan eases the scalability and security of blockchains. It is also compatible with zero-knowledge proofs and optimized for low-bandwidth devices, making it easier for the average person.

Should it be embraced, Mikan could change not just Ethereum, but also rollups and Bitcoin sidechains, turning the ecosystem more decentralized and resilient. These developments, while still a long way off, may draw institutional money into Ethereum, especially as quantum computers become a real threat to cryptographic networks. 

Technical Analysis – Ethereum Price Consolidating at Resistance

Ethereum is currently in a 3-day consolidation at the $1803.93 resistance. If bulls garner enough momentum and push Ethereum through the $1803.93 resistance, then a rally to $2000, or higher, could follow. 

Ethereum price
Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if bulls fail at the $1803.93 resistance, then a correction to the $1466.33 support could follow. 

Recap

After over a year of stagnation, Ethereum’s long-term outlook looks increasingly better. A combination of increasing long-term holder activity, growing network participation, and groundbreaking technological upgrades tells a more optimistic story. In the short term, Ethereum holders are looking for a breach of the $2000 resistance, which could pave the way for a retest of $3000 or higher. 

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