Is TRUMP Poised for a Rally or More Losses Ahead of the Presidential Dinner?

TRUMP is up 21.5% over the past seven days, despite a 2% dip in the last 24 hours. The price action follows the end of the TRUMP meme coin dinner contest, with the highly anticipated Gala Dinner set for May 22.

Participants who hold until the event will receive limited “Diamond Hand” NFTs. The team has also teased major announcements tied to the “Next Era of TRUMP.” As excitement builds, technical indicators suggest momentum is slowing, leaving traders watching closely for a potential trend shift.

TRUMP Contest Ends With Speculation Around Gala Dinner

The TRUMP meme coin dinner contest has ended, and the top 220 holders will receive extra rewards. All participants will get NFTs, and anyone who holds their tokens until the May 22 Gala Dinner will earn a limited “Diamond Hand” NFT on Solana.

This tactic appears designed to prevent sell-offs and keep momentum going in the short term. Despite controversy, TRUMP has jumped nearly 50% in the past month.

The team also teased the “Next Era of TRUMP,” launching a rewards points program that incentivizes long-term holding. Further details will be revealed at the Gala, but accusations of political favoritism and insider benefits are already surfacing.

With rising hype and scrutiny, TRUMP meme coin remains one of the most talked-about meme coins in the space.

TRUMP Momentum Cools as BBTrend Falls and Cloud Signals Weakness

TRUMP’s BBTrend has dropped sharply from 24.3 to 5.44 in just two days. This comes despite the BBTrend staying positive for the last four days, suggesting momentum is slowing.

BBTrend, short for Bollinger Band Trend, measures the strength of a price move based on volatility. Higher values indicate strong trends, while lower readings point to consolidation or weakening direction.

A current reading of 5.44 shows the uptrend is losing strength but hasn’t fully faded. If it drops below 5, it may signal a shift into a sideways or corrective phase.

TRUMP BBTrend. Source: TradingView.

This doesn’t confirm a reversal yet. TRUMP could still consolidate before moving higher, but traders should watch if BBTrend rebounds or continues falling.

The Ichimoku Cloud for TRUMP meme coin shows a mixed and slightly bearish setup at the moment. The price candles are sitting right at the edge of the cloud, suggesting indecision and a lack of clear trend direction.

TRUMP Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView.

The Kijun-sen (red line) is flat and slightly above the current price, acting as a resistance level. The Tenkan-sen (blue line) is also close by, and has recently crossed below the Kijun-sen, which is generally a short-term bearish signal.

The cloud ahead (Senkou Span A and B) is thin and mostly flat, with some transition from red to green areas. This suggests weak momentum and uncertainty about future direction. The Chikou Span (lagging green line) is hovering near past price action, reinforcing the current neutral to bearish tone.

TRUMP EMA Lines Signal Caution as Momentum Weakens

TRUMP’s EMA lines remain bullish, with short-term averages still positioned above long-term ones. However, the gap between them is narrowing, which often signals weakening momentum and a possible trend shift.

If the trend reverses, TRUMP could fall to test support at $12.

TRUMP Price Analysis Cloud. Source: TradingView.

A break below that level may trigger further losses toward $10.37, and in a stronger downtrend, even $8.71 or $7.39 could be on the table.

Still, the uptrend isn’t invalidated yet. If buyers regain control and momentum strengthens, TRUMP meme coin could push higher and test resistance at $15.31. A clean breakout from there might open the door to $16.44, continuing the bullish structure.