Bitwise analyst sees equal odds for Ethereum ETF approval

In a recent dialogue with Yahoo Finance, Ryan Rasmussen, a researcher at Bitwise, shared insights on the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs), particularly focusing on the prospects of spot Ethereum ETFs gaining approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Rasmussen’s analysis comes at a critical juncture as the financial industry anticipates the SEC’s decision on key applications, including VanEck’s spot Ethereum ETF, expected by May 23. His assessment aligns with the broader sentiment within Bitwise, as Matt Hougan, the firm’s Global Head of Research, similarly estimated the approval odds at nearly 50%.

The discussion reflects a cautious optimism tempered by recognizing the challenges that have historically beset the approval process for cryptocurrency ETFs. Rasmussen’s comments underscore the SEC’s rigorous criteria and the market’s readiness to meet these standards. This balanced perspective is critical for investors and stakeholders closely monitoring the regulatory environment’s impact on the future of cryptocurrency investments.

SEC decision could boost Ethereum ETF hopes

The anticipation surrounding the SEC’s forthcoming decisions extends beyond Ethereum, touching on the broader trajectory of cryptocurrency ETFs in the United States. Bitwise, despite not currently having a pending application for a spot in Ethereum ETF, achieved a milestone with the approval of its spot in Bitcoin ETF (BITB) on January 10.

This development, which led to BITB attracting $1 billion in assets, signifies a burgeoning interest in cryptocurrency ETFs and their potential to draw institutional investors into crypto. Rasmussen highlighted the significant influx of more than $15 billion into Bitcoin ETFs, suggesting a positive market response that could bode well for future approvals, including Ethereum ETFs.

The analyst also delved into the dynamics influencing the cryptocurrency market, from Bitcoin’s anticipated halving event to Ethereum’s Dencun upgrade, fluctuations in NFT trading volumes, and growth in Solana’s price. Rasmussen posited that these factors contribute to the sector’s recovery from a challenging 2022, hinting at the onset of a multi-year bull cycle. He suggests that Such a cycle could be further bolstered by introducing more cryptocurrency ETFs, potentially replicating the positive price impacts seen with Bitcoin ETFs.

Robust outlook for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market

Bitwise remains bullish on the cryptocurrency market’s potential, with Rasmussen reaffirming the firm’s prediction for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high of at least $88,000 by the end of 2024. This projection underscores Bitwise’s confidence in the market’s growth trajectory and the pivotal role of regulatory developments in shaping this path, such as the approval of cryptocurrency ETFs. A comprehensive analysis informs the firm’s optimistic stance of market trends, regulatory milestones, and the expanding appeal of cryptocurrencies to a wider range of investors, including institutional players.