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Warsh’s December guidance draws focus during a busy week of crypto events

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kevin warsh federal reserve

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s December guidance, rather than the rate decision alone, is drawing attention in a week packed with central bank meetings and crypto company earnings. The week beginning October 26, 2026, brings decisions from the Fed, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, alongside results from Coinbase Global, Galaxy Digital and Robinhood Markets.

Key takeaways

  • Four central banks set rates between October 28 and October 30.
  • Galaxy Digital reports on October 27; Coinbase follows on October 29.
  • Binance ends EPIC and QUICK spot trading on October 27.
  • CoinDesk puts the IRS comment deadline at October 28, while the linked IRS document sets October 26.

Kevin Warsh and the Federal Reserve lead the policy calendar

The Federal Reserve decision is scheduled for October 28 at 2 p.m., followed by a press conference at 2:30 p.m. Fed funds futures indicate a 90% probability of holding the target range at 3.75%–4.00%, although Bank of America expects a quarter-percentage-point increase.

MEXC CEO Vugar Usi Zade told CoinDesk that traders are paying more attention to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks about December than to the immediate decision. He said an unchanged rate is already priced into expectations and is unlikely to provide a significant positive catalyst.

The Bank of Canada decides on October 28 at 9:45 a.m. and releases its Monetary Policy Report; its previous rate was 2.25%. The ECB follows on October 29 at 9:15 a.m., against a previous deposit rate of 2.50%. President Christine Lagarde’s press conference starts at 9:45 a.m.

The Bank of Japan’s decision and Outlook Report are scheduled for October 30 at 11 p.m., with its previous rate at 1.25%.

Crypto and financial earnings cluster on two days

Galaxy Digital, PayPal and SoFi report before markets open on October 27, followed by Robinhood Markets after the close.

On October 29, Intercontinental Exchange and Mastercard report before trading begins. Coinbase Global and Strategy report after the close. Cboe Global Markets follows before markets open on October 30.

Governance votes, token events and protocol deadlines

ENS DAO’s 201,559 USDC funding vote ends October 26. The request covers the meta-governance working group’s operating expenses through Term 7.

CoW DAO voting ends October 28 on a standing mandate allowing its core team to adjust revenue-generating protocol fee policies within predefined ranges. Space Token’s vote closes November 1, selecting its November 2026 “Coin of the Month” for the Coin Roll Game and a dedicated staking pool.

On October 27 at 11 p.m., Binance will halt spot trading for Epic Chain (EPIC) and QuickSwap (QUICK), while Collector Crypt (CARDS) will release 0.6% of its circulating supply, worth $20.9 million, on October 29. MemeCore (M) unlocks 56.11 million tokens on November 1—about 2.8% of circulating supply, valued at $50.34 million.

Blast’s normal withdrawal interface closes October 26, while withdrawals remain available through bridge contracts on Ethereum. Unichain plans to shift sequencer operations from Uniswap Labs to the Optimism Foundation via OP Enterprise by October 29.

Balancer’s BIP-928 timetable calls for pausable pools to become withdrawal-only on October 30, protocol fees to fall to zero where contracts permit, and bug-bounty coverage to end.

The conference calendar includes The Bridge in New York on October 27; Ripple Swell in New York, Zcon7 in Cancún and MERGE Madrid on October 27–29; Meridian 2026 in Lisbon on October 28–29; and TUM Blockchain Conference in Munich on October 29–31.

Economic releases

CoinDesk gives October 28 as the comment deadline for IRS Notice 2026-62, while the IRS document it links to, proposed regulation REG-116506-25, sets October 26, 2026 for written or electronic comments. CoinDesk says the notice addresses potentially abusive investment-fund tax strategies in the United States, whereas the linked document describes proposed rules on information returns and statements for qualified opportunity funds.

October 27 brings September U.S. durable goods orders at 8:30 a.m., with a 1.5% monthly estimate versus 0.0% previously. New home sales follow at 10 a.m., estimated at 0.65 million versus 0.684 million.

On October 29 at 8:30 a.m., advance third-quarter U.S. GDP is estimated at 3.2% annualized growth versus 2.2% previously. September PCE inflation follows previous annual readings of 3.4% headline and 3.0% core. Initial jobless claims are estimated at 196,000 versus 194,000.

October 30 brings preliminary eurozone third-quarter GDP and September unemployment at 6 a.m.; previous GDP growth was 0.6% quarterly and 1.2% annually. The U.S. third-quarter Employment Cost Index follows at 8:30 a.m., against a previous quarterly increase of 0.9%.

Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.

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