Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi
These are live prediction market odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. 29,726 questions trade across 9 categories right now. Each price is what a $1 contract costs, so 62¢ means a 62% chance. When both venues list a question, you see both prices.
Updated
Most traded right now
Ranked by 24-hour volume across every category: both venues' total where both price the market and it is the larger figure, the venue's own otherwise. Chance is the favourite's price on a board of outcomes, the favoured side of a match, or the named market's Yes price.
Priced on both Polymarket and Kalshi
The busiest markets both venues list. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same $1 payout.
Falcons vs. Saints
Favourite: New Orleans Saints
1¢ cheaper on PolymarketResolves Oct 5, 2026
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Chance of Yes
1¢ cheaper on PolymarketResolves Jan 4, 2027
Italy vs. Türkiye
Favourite: Italy
Same priceResolves Oct 5, 2026
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Chance of Yes
2¢ cheaper on KalshiResolves Jan 4, 2027
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
Favourite: Daniil Medvedev
Same priceResolves Oct 12, 2026
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3)
Favourite: Legacy
2¢ cheaper on KalshiResolves Oct 5, 2026
Closing this week
The busiest markets that settle in the next seven days.
Browse odds by category
Or browse every open event, filtered by category and venue.
Politics
US races, party control, nominations and elections abroad.
2,188 Polymarket · 4,227 Kalshi markets
Crypto
Bitcoin and Ethereum price targets, daily ladders and policy.
3,715 Polymarket · 106 Kalshi markets
Economy
Fed decisions, inflation, jobs data, oil and IPOs.
507 Polymarket · 1,380 Kalshi markets
Sports
Games, futures and awards across US leagues and world soccer.
10,507 Polymarket · 4,984 Kalshi markets
Culture
Awards, TV winners, review scores and viral questions.
312 Polymarket · 690 Kalshi markets
Tech & Science
The best AI model, launch dates, SpaceX and science.
217 Polymarket · 175 Kalshi markets
World
Ceasefires, deals, leaders and conflicts worldwide.
132 Polymarket · 5 Kalshi markets
Climate & Weather
Daily highs, rain, hurricanes and temperature records.
355 Polymarket · 201 Kalshi markets
Health
Pandemics, case counts and FDA approvals.
19 Polymarket · 6 Kalshi markets
How to read prediction market odds
What one Yes contract costs.
The chance traders put on Yes.
What it pays if the answer is yes. Profit: 38¢.
A contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if it is no.
So the price is the chance. At 30¢, traders see a 30% chance, and they have money on it.
Prices move with every trade. That is why they react to news before polls or pundits do.
One warning. A market with little trading can sit far from the truth, so read each price with its volume. Our implied probability guide covers the maths, and the odds converter turns a price into American or decimal odds.
Where to trade these markets
Every market here trades on Polymarket or Kalshi. Both are CFTC-regulated for US traders.
Kalshi trades in dollars. Polymarket runs Polymarket US for Americans and a crypto app for everyone else.
Before you sign up, check your state. Sports contracts are where the rules differ most.
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated, via Polymarket US
- You fund with
- Debit card, ACH, wire in the US; crypto, held as pUSD (Polygon) abroad
- Open markets
- 17,952 markets
- Fees
- Polymarket's fees
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated exchange
- You fund with
- ACH, RTP, debit card and 7 more
- Open markets
- 11,774 markets
- Fees
- Kalshi's fees
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $20, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Offer terms
Check your state before you sign up · Kalshi vs Polymarket in full · Every app compared
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Common questions
What are prediction market odds?
They are the prices of contracts that pay $1 if an event happens. A price of 40¢ means traders put the chance at 40%. How prediction markets work explains the rest.
Where do these odds come from?
Straight from Polymarket's and Kalshi's own order books. We read each venue's published prices and show them with the time we read them.
Are Polymarket odds and Kalshi odds the same?
Often close, rarely identical. Each venue has its own traders, fees and settlement wording. Where both list a question, we show both prices side by side.
How often do the odds update?
The prices refresh through the day as the venues trade. Each hub shows when its data was last read.
Can I trade these markets in my state?
Most likely, on a CFTC-regulated venue. Some states have acted against certain contracts, sports above all. Check your state before you trade.