Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi

These are live prediction market odds from Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. 38,166 questions trade across 9 categories right now. Each price is what a $1 contract costs, so 62¢ means a 62% chance. When two or more venues list a question, you see each price.

Updated

38,166
markets open now
15,931
on Polymarket
633
on Polymarket US
21,602
on Kalshi
1,784
priced on 2+ venues

Most traded right now

MarketChance24h volumeCategory
Kalshi · Favourite: Trace Crowe · resolves Nov 14, 2026
20%$5.1MSports$50 bonusTrade
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: 25 bps increase · resolves Dec 9, 2026
88%$4.2MEconomyTrade
Kalshi · Favourite: Democratic party · resolves Jan 4, 2027
>99%$3.6MPolitics$50 bonusTrade
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: Jon Ossoff · resolves Nov 7, 2028
26%$1.7M on PolymarketPoliticsTrade
Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: FURIA · resolves Nov 14, 2026
53%$1.6MSportsTrade
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: Ciryl Gane · resolves Nov 14, 2026
67%$1.6MSportsTrade
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Favourite: Jon Ossoff · resolves Nov 7, 2028
17%$1.5M on PolymarketPoliticsTrade
Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: Jon Ossoff · resolves Jan 21, 2029
18%$1.3M on KalshiPolitics$50 bonusTrade
Kalshi · Favourite: Chuck Schumer · resolves Jan 1, 2028
86%$1.3MPolitics$50 bonusTrade
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Favourite: Rene Haas · resolves Dec 31, 2028
28%$1.2MEconomyTrade
Close-only for US residents

Ranked by 24-hour volume across every category: the venues' total where more than one prices the market and it is the larger figure, the venue's own otherwise; Polymarket US publishes no 24-hour figure. Chance is the favourite's price on a board of outcomes, the favoured side of a match, or the named market's Yes price.

Priced on both Polymarket and Kalshi

The busiest markets two or more of Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi list. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same $1 payout.

Closing this week

The busiest markets that settle in the next seven days.

MarketVolume24h volumeSettles
$27.9M$5.1MNov 14, 2026$50 bonusTrade
Polymarket · Kalshi · Sports
$1.5M on Polymarket$1.6MNov 14, 2026Trade
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · Sports
$2.4M on Polymarket$1.6MNov 14, 2026Trade
$4.9M$1.1MNov 14, 2026$50 bonusTrade
Polymarket · Kalshi · Sports
$1.7M on Polymarket$1.0MNov 14, 2026Trade
$825K$815KNov 14, 2026$50 bonusTrade
Close-only for US residents

Browse odds by category

Or browse every open event, filtered by category and venue.

Politics

US races, party control, nominations and elections abroad.

1,099 Polymarket · 9,951 Kalshi markets

Busiest: Alaska Senate · $3.6M in 24h on Kalshi

Crypto

Bitcoin and Ethereum price targets, daily ladders and policy.

3,667 Polymarket · 166 Kalshi markets

Busiest: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · $1.1M in 24h on Polymarket

Economy

Fed decisions, inflation, jobs data, oil and IPOs.

591 Polymarket · 1,603 Kalshi markets

Busiest: Fed Decision in December · $4.1M in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi

Sports

Games, futures and awards across US leagues and world soccer.

9,402 Polymarket · 8,653 Kalshi markets

Culture

Awards, TV winners, review scores and viral questions.

470 Polymarket · 786 Kalshi markets

Busiest: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · $812K in 24h on Polymarket

Tech & Science

The best AI model, launch dates, SpaceX and science.

229 Polymarket · 187 Kalshi markets

Busiest: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? · $123K in 24h, both venues

World

Ceasefires, deals, leaders and conflicts worldwide.

157 Polymarket · 3 Kalshi markets

Busiest: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through... · $733K in 24h on Polymarket

Climate & Weather

Daily highs, rain, hurricanes and temperature records.

293 Polymarket · 247 Kalshi markets

Busiest: Where will it rain on Nov 14, 2026? · $200K in 24h on Kalshi

Health

Pandemics, case counts and FDA approvals.

23 Polymarket · 6 Kalshi markets

Busiest: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026 · $4K in 24h on Polymarket

How to read prediction market odds

62¢

What one Yes contract costs.

62%

The chance traders put on Yes.

$1

What it pays if the answer is yes. Profit: 38¢.

A contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if it is no.

So the price is the chance. At 30¢, traders see a 30% chance, and they have money on it.

Prices move with every trade. That is why they react to news before polls or pundits do.

One warning. A market with little trading can sit far from the truth, so read each price with its volume. Our implied probability guide covers the maths, and the odds converter turns a price into American or decimal odds.

Where to trade these markets

Every market here trades on Polymarket, Polymarket US or Kalshi. Polymarket US and Kalshi are CFTC-regulated for US traders.

Kalshi trades in dollars. Polymarket runs Polymarket US for Americans and a crypto app for everyone else.

Before you sign up, check your state. Sports contracts are where the rules differ most.

Polymarket
Regulated
International exchange; US residents trade on Polymarket US
You fund with
Crypto, held as pUSD (Polygon)
Open markets
15,931 markets
Fees
Polymarket's fees
Close-only for US residents
Polymarket US
Regulated
CFTC-designated exchange (QCX LLC)
You fund with
Debit card, ACH, wire
Open markets
633 markets
Fees
Polymarket US's fees
US residents only

$25 bonusNew to Polymarket US? Deposit $10, get a $25 bonus through our link. US only, 18+.

Kalshi
Regulated
CFTC-designated exchange
You fund with
ACH, RTP, debit card and 7 more
Open markets
21,602 markets
Fees
Kalshi's fees

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

Check your state before you sign up · Kalshi vs Polymarket in full · Best prediction market apps

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Common questions

What are prediction market odds?

They are the prices of contracts that pay $1 if an event happens. A price of 40¢ means traders put the chance at 40%. How prediction markets work explains the rest.

Where do these odds come from?

Straight from the order books of Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. We read each venue's published prices and show them with the time we read them.

Are Polymarket odds and Kalshi odds the same?

Often close, rarely identical. Each venue has its own traders, fees and settlement wording. Where two or more list a question, we show their prices side by side.

How often do the odds update?

The prices refresh through the day as the venues trade. Each hub shows when its data was last read.

Can I trade these markets in my state?

Most likely, on a CFTC-regulated venue. Some states have acted against certain contracts, sports above all. Check your state before you trade.