Polymarket Hawai'i vs. Arizona State odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Arizona State, at 94%. The market settles by Oct 10, 2026, and $198 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 94¢ reads as a 94% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 93% | 93¢ | $198 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -0.5 | 94% | 94¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -1.5 | 92% | 92¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -2.5 | 91% | 91¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 35.5 · Over | 89% | 89¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -3.5 | 89% | 89¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -4.5 | 89% | 89¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -5.5 | 87% | 87¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -6.5 | 85% | 85¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -7.5 | 81% | 81¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 · Over | 80% | 80¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -8.5 | 79% | 79¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 39.5 · Over | 79% | 79¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -10.5 | 77% | 77¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 41.5 · Over | 77% | 77¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -13.5 | 73% | 73¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 43.5 · Over | 71% | 71¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -14.5 | 69% | 69¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 45.5 · Over | 67% | 67¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -16.5 | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -17.5 | 62% | 62¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 47.5 · Over | 62% | 62¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 49.5 · Over | 54% | 54¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State -20.5 | 54% | 54¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 51.5 · Under | 51% | 51¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 53.5 · Under | 54% | 54¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 55.5 · Under | 61% | 61¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 57.5 · Under | 66% | 66¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 59.5 · Under | 72% | 72¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 61.5 · Under | 74% | 74¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 63.5 · Under | 76% | 76¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 65.5 · Under | 83% | 83¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 67.5 · Under | 83% | 83¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 69.5 · Under | 83% | 83¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 71.5 · Under | 88% | 88¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 75.5 · Under | 89% | 89¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 73.5 · Under | 90% | 90¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State +1.5 | 93% | 93¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State +2.5 | 94% | 94¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Arizona State +3.5 | 94% | 94¢ | $0 | Trade |
130 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 93¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
In the upcoming college football game between Hawai'i and Arizona State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 10, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 93¢ for Arizona State right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Hawai'i vs. Arizona State?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Arizona State, at 94%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.