Crypto prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi
Polymarket and Kalshi both price crypto, mostly Bitcoin and Ethereum price targets. 3,743 crypto questions are trading now, led by “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”. Most are ladders, with one contract per price level. Each level carries its own probability, and the busiest markets are listed first.
Updated
Most traded crypto markets
Polymarket · resolves Oct 5, 2026
Bitcoin above what price on October 5
Polymarket · resolves Nov 1, 2026
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Polymarket · resolves Jan 1, 2027
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
Crypto markets priced on both venues
The busiest crypto markets both venues list. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
Chance of Yes
Same priceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Chance of Yes
10¢ cheaper on PolymarketResolves Dec 31, 2026
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Chance of Yes
1¢ cheaper on KalshiResolves Jan 1, 2027
Every crypto market, priced
Chance is the favourite's price on a board of outcomes, the favoured side of a match, or the named market's Yes price, on its venue.
Crypto markets closing this week
Polymarket or Kalshi for crypto?
Polymarket lists 3,637 open crypto events right now, and Kalshi lists 106.
Polymarket runs more daily and weekly ladders. Kalshi's crypto markets trade in dollars.
One detail decides close calls: the reference price. Each venue's rules name it, so read that line before you trade.
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated, via Polymarket US
- You fund with
- Debit card, ACH, wire in the US; crypto, held as pUSD (Polygon) abroad
- Open crypto markets
- 3,637 markets
- Fees
- Polymarket's fees
- Regulated
- CFTC-designated exchange
- You fund with
- ACH, RTP, debit card and 7 more
- Open crypto markets
- 106 markets
- Fees
- Kalshi's fees
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What crypto markets you can trade
Price targets dominate. A ladder asks whether Bitcoin closes above each level on a given day.
Longer markets ask how high a coin gets this month or this year. A few price policy, such as crypto bills.
- Bitcoin or Ethereum above a price on a set date
- The highest or lowest price a coin reaches in a month or year
- Which of two prices a coin hits first
- Crypto laws and approvals, such as the CLARITY Act
What moves crypto odds
The spot price does most of the work. When Bitcoin moves 3%, every rung of the ladder reprices at once.
Near the deadline, prices snap towards 0 or 100 as the answer becomes clear.
Macro data and policy news matter too. A delayed bill can pull a coin and its markets down together.
More crypto markets
Other categories
Common questions
What is Polymarket crypto?
It is Polymarket's crypto category: markets on where Bitcoin, Ethereum and other coins will trade, plus crypto policy. The busiest are listed above.
Does Kalshi have crypto markets?
Yes. Kalshi lists Bitcoin and Ethereum price markets, from daily ranges to year-end targets, and they trade in dollars.
How does a Bitcoin price ladder work?
Each rung is its own contract, such as Bitcoin above $120,000 on Friday. Each pays $1 if true, so each price is that rung's chance.
Which price settles a Bitcoin market?
The reference price the market's rules name, often one exchange or index at a set time. It can differ between venues.
Do crypto markets charge fees?
Yes. Both venues charge a trading fee on crypto markets, largest near 50¢. Compare fees before you trade often.