Polymarket Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Natus Vincere, at 69%. The market settles by Oct 5, 2026, and $392K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 69¢ reads as a 69% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natus Vincere compare | 69% | 69¢ | $387K | Trade |
| Map Handicap · 9z +1.5 | 58% | 58¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Map 1 Winner · Natus Vincere | 61% | 61¢ | $2K | Trade |
| O/U 2.5 Games · Under | 54% | 54¢ | $212 | Trade |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap · 9z +3.5 | 57% | 57¢ | $149 | Trade |
| Map 2 Winner · Natus Vincere | 67% | 67¢ | $133 | Trade |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · Under | 51% | 51¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · Under | 52% | 52¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap · 9z +3.5 | 53% | 53¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Show 1 more outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 69¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | 9z | Natus Vincere | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 31¢ | 69¢cheapest to buy | 1.1¢ | $387K | $270K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 30¢cheapest to buy | 71¢ | 1.5¢ | $11K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between 9z and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Natus Vincere.
This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against 9z.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 5, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 69¢ for Natus Vincere right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3)?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Natus Vincere, at 69%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.