Kalshi marketStarts Tue, Oct 6, 7:00am ET

Kalshi Djokovic vs de Minaur odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Novak Djokovic, at 64%. The market settles by Oct 6, 2026, and $30K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 64¢ reads as a 64% chance. We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet, so there is no second price.

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Kalshi · odds · updated

Novak Djokovic64%
Alex de Minaur36%
$30K
24h volume on Kalshi
$31K
total volume on Kalshi
$28K
open interest
Oct 6, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Djokovic vs de Minaur
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Novak Djokovic64%64¢$26KTrade
Alex de Minaur36%36¢$4KTrade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 64¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Novak Djokovic
64%▼ 0.5 pts since Oct 5
Yes price
Oct 554% – 73% scaleOct 5

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Novak Djokovic wins”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 6, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 64¢ for Novak Djokovic right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Djokovic vs de Minaur?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Novak Djokovic, at 64%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.