Kalshi France vs. Belgium odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is France, at 67%. The market settles by Oct 5, 2026, and $278K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 67¢ reads as a 67% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $20, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Offer terms
Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Kalshi odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 67¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match
The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
France · Will France win on Oct 5, 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 67¢ | 33¢ | 1.1¢ | $76K | $345K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 67¢ | 33¢ | 1.6¢ | $185K | – | Trade → |
Draw · Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 20¢ | 80¢ | 0.8¢ | $4K | $257K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 20¢ | 80¢ | 1.1¢ | $20K | – | Trade → |
Belgium · Will Belgium win on Oct 5, 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 15¢ | 85¢ | 0.6¢ | $11K | $290K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 15¢ | 85¢ | 0.9¢ | $73K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The contract is “France wins”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Oct 5, 2026.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 67¢ for France right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $20, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Offer terms
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More sports markets
Italy vs. Türkiye
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 5, 2026
$574K in 24h, both venues
Albania vs. San Marino
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 6, 2026
$143K in 24h, both venues
Croatia vs. Spain
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 6, 2026
$296K in 24h, both venues
Romania vs. Sweden
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 5, 2026
$181K in 24h, both venues
England vs. Czechia
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 6, 2026
$92K in 24h, both venues
Cyprus vs. Latvia
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 5, 2026
$150K in 24h, both venues
Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on France vs. Belgium?
On Kalshi, the favourite is France, at 67%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.