Lightning vs. Islanders odds, Oct 10
Markets price Lightning 55%, Islanders 45%, with 2 venues quoting each result. Starts Sat, Oct 10, 7:30pm ET. Each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This match on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Lightning | Islanders | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 55¢ | 45¢ | 1.2¢ | $7 | $5K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 55¢ | 44¢cheapest to buy | 1.7¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning".
Full settlement wording
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs New York I NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
More NHL matches compared
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Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: Senators 53% · $28K 24h volume, both venues
Sharks vs. Stars
Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: Stars 62% · $23K 24h volume, both venues
Flyers vs. Lightning
Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: Lightning 66% · $19K 24h volume, both venues
Jets vs. Penguins
Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: Penguins 62% · $15K 24h volume, both venues
Predators vs. Maple Leafs
Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: Maple Leafs 59% · $6K 24h volume, both venues
Blues vs. Blackhawks
Polymarket · Kalshi · Favourite: Blues 54% · $5K 24h volume, both venues
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Lightning vs. Islanders"?
Markets price Lightning 55%, Islanders 45% across 2 venues: market-implied probabilities rather than forecasts.
Where can I trade "Lightning vs. Islanders"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.